Burlington
W-L: ( 9- 3) PR = 94.4295Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 13- 1 417 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 5- 3 429 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 3- 7 502 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 10- 7 505 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 17- 3 508 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 9- 8 512 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 13-11 517 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 8- 3 527 A Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 8- 4 528 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 8-13 531 H St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 11-10 607 H Mt Anthony Union ( 6- 9, 92.9) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Lyndon Institute 13- 1 12 12 0.00
417 A Rice Memorial 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.64
429 A Harwood Union 3- 7 -4 -5 1.00
502 H Milton 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.52
505 A Colchester 17- 3 14 5 0.00
508 A Mount Abraham 9- 8 1 4 - -2.86
512 A Milton 13-11 2 -1 + 3.35
517 A Montpelier 8- 3 5 3 1.65
527 A Spaulding 8- 4 4 6 -1.00
528 H Hartford Union 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.07
531 H St Johnsbury Academy 11-10 1 1 0.03
607 H Mt Anthony Union 6-11 -5 2 --- -6.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 607 H Mt Anthony Union 6-11 -5 2 --- -6.93 508 A Mount Abraham 9- 8 1 4 - -2.86 528 H Hartford Union 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Rice Memorial 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.64 502 H Milton 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.52 512 A Milton 13-11 2 -1 + 3.35 |
Burlington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Burlington | Burlington 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Burlington | Burlington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Burlington | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Burlington | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Burr and Burton Acad | |
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Green Mountain Valle | Burlington | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Burlington | |
| Hartford Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Montpelier | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Mount Abraham | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | Burlington | Burlington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Randolph Union | Burlington | Burlington 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rice Memorial | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Rutland | Rutland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Stowe | Burlington | Burlington 8- 1 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Burlington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Burlington | |
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 17
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 13- 1 -17.04 1.00 -0.42 1.18 0.69
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 5- 3 -4.24 12.80 0.42 1.18 15.57
0 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 3- 7 -0.69 16.35 0.42 1.18 -0.32
0 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 10- 7 -4.53 12.51 -0.42 1.18 14.25
0 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 17- 3 -11.23 5.82 0.42 1.18 7.34
0 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 9- 8 -9.74 7.30 0.42 1.18 9.09
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 13-11 -4.53 12.51 0.42 1.18 15.23
0 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 8- 3 -9.23 7.81 0.42 1.18 9.69
0 A Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 8- 4 -11.42 5.63 0.42 1.18 7.12
0 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 8-13 -2.13 14.92 -0.42 1.18 -3.00
0 H St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 11-10 -6.03 11.01 -0.42 1.18 12.49
0 H Mt Anthony Uni ( 6- 9, 92.9) 6-11 -6.98 10.06 -0.42 1.18 -8.72
------
79.44
|
winning pts = 91.4742 losing points = -12.0378
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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