All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.0100021 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 3-14 403 H Lexington ( 9-10, 77.5) 17- 5 405 A Acton Boxborough (17- 4, 88.2) 7-20 409 A Arlington HS (13- 6, 78.1) 6- 7 411 H Watertown ( 4-13, 64.3) 18- 2 415 H Melrose ( 9- 9, 78.1) 15- 4 417 A Billerica Memorial (22- 1, 91.0) 7-18 419 A Nauset (17- 5, 84.4) 8-14 422 H Swampscott (11- 9, 76.2) 11-10 424 H Westford Academy (16- 5, 85.2) 9-17 430 H Belmont ( 5-14, 74.3) 18- 5 502 A Woburn Memorial ( 5-13, 72.3) 19- 2 506 A Andover HS (13- 4, 88.0) 4-19 508 H Winchester (13- 8, 85.9) 4-13 513 A Wakefield Memorial (16- 4, 81.4) 10- 7 516 H Stoneham ( 4-15, 69.0) 16- 5 519 H Wilmington ( 4-14, 70.6) 16- 5 522 H North Andover ( 9-11, 83.1) 13-11 530 H Foxborough ( 5-14, 75.4) 17- 8 603 A Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 80.8) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Reading Memorial 3-14 -11 -7 0.00 403 H Lexington 17- 5 12 4 + 2.68 405 A Acton Boxborough 7-20 -13 -8 0.00 409 A Arlington HS 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.07 411 H Watertown 18- 2 16 17 0.00 415 H Melrose 15- 4 11 3 + 3.20 417 A Billerica Memorial 7-18 -11 -10 0.00 419 A Nauset 8-14 -6 -4 -1.80 422 H Swampscott 11-10 1 5 -- -4.66 424 H Westford Academy 9-17 -8 -3 - -3.70 430 H Belmont 18- 5 13 7 0.00 502 A Woburn Memorial 19- 2 17 7 0.00 506 A Andover HS 4-19 -15 -7 0.00 508 H Winchester 4-13 -9 -4 - -2.93 513 A Wakefield Memorial 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.22 516 H Stoneham 16- 5 11 12 0.00 519 H Wilmington 16- 5 11 11 0.00 522 H North Andover 13-11 2 -1 + 3.19 530 H Foxborough 17- 8 9 6 0.56 603 A Nashoba Regional 8- 9 -1 0 -0.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Swampscott 11-10 1 5 -- -4.66 409 A Arlington HS 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.07 424 H Westford Academy 9-17 -8 -3 - -3.70 508 H Winchester 4-13 -9 -4 - -2.93OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A Wakefield Memorial 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.22 403 H Lexington 17- 5 12 4 + 2.68 415 H Melrose 15- 4 11 3 + 3.20 522 H North Andover 13-11 2 -1 + 3.19
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.01 Power Rank................. 38 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 57.27 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 28 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6932 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 25 RPI Rating............... .5560 RPI Rank................... 55 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 52 Selection sum ........... 157 Selection Rank ............ 44 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 74 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 77 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3