Bethel
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 85.4077Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 12- 3 408 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 19- 3 410 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 72.4) 15- 3 415 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 13-11 416 A Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 76.4) 17- 5 419 H Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 10-11 422 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 9- 7 424 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 3-14 426 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 10- 9 429 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 67.9) 15- 4 503 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 9- 8 506 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 15-10 508 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 10-11 513 H Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 4-10 515 H Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 13-14 517 A Fairfield Warde ( 6-10, 80.0) 16- 7 519 A Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 12- 6 523 A Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 5-14 604 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 16- 6 607 A Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 9-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Brien McMahon 12- 3 9 6 0.00
408 A Pomperaug 19- 3 16 5 0.00
410 A Bunnell-Stratford 15- 3 12 13 0.00
415 A Brookfield 13-11 2 0 1.98
416 A Immaculate Danbury 17- 5 12 9 0.00
419 H Foran 10-11 -1 2 - -3.47
422 H Masuk 9- 7 2 4 - -2.33
424 A New Fairfield 3-14 -11 -6 0.00
426 H Guilford 10- 9 1 -1 1.98
429 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 15- 4 11 18 0.00
503 A Stamford 9- 8 1 2 -0.85
506 A New Milford 15-10 5 1 + 3.90
508 H Newtown 10-11 -1 1 -1.76
513 H Joel Barlow 4-10 -6 -3 -1.64
515 H Weston 13-14 -1 2 - -2.95
517 A Fairfield Warde 16- 7 9 5 0.02
519 A Weston 12- 6 6 1 + 4.00
523 A Joel Barlow 5-14 -9 -4 -0.69
604 H Hall 16- 6 10 3 1.83
607 A Cheshire HS 9-19 -10 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Foran 10-11 -1 2 - -3.47 422 H Masuk 9- 7 2 4 - -2.33 515 H Weston 13-14 -1 2 - -2.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A New Milford 15-10 5 1 + 3.90 519 A Weston 12- 6 6 1 + 4.00 |
Bethel Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Bethel | Bethel 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Avon HS | Bethel | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bethel | |
| Bacon Academy | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Berlin | Bethel | Bethel 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Branford | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Brien McMahon | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Brookfield | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Canton | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Danbury | Bethel | Bethel 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 3) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | Bethel | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Bethel | |
| East Lyme | Bethel | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bethel | |
| Ellington | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Enfield | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| EO Smith | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Farmington | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bethel | |
| Fitch Groton | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bethel | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) | Greenwich HS | |
| Guilford | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Hamden | Bethel | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Bethel | |
| Holy Cross | Bethel | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bethel | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Lakeview United | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Lewis Mills | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Lyman Hall | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bethel | |
| Maloney-Platt | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Masuk | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Middletown | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Montville | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Morgan School | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bethel | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New Milford | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Newington | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| North Haven | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Northwest Catholic | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Norwalk | Bethel | Bethel 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Norwich Tech | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Notre Dame-West Have | |
| Old Lyme | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Old Saybrook | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Pomperaug | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| RHAM | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville Co-op | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Rocky Hill | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Sheehan | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Bethel | |
| Shelton | Bethel | Bethel 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Southington | Southington | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 0) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Stamford | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Suffield | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Tolland | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Waterford | Bethel | Bethel 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Watertown | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| West Haven | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bethel | |
| Westhill | Bethel | Bethel 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Weston | Bethel | insuffient: ( 8- 3)( 7- 4) | Bethel | |
| Wethersfield | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Wilbur Cross | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Wolcott | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Xavier | Bethel | Bethel 4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 75
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 12- 3 -20.46 19.80 -0.47 0.85 16.43
0 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 19- 3 -20.23 20.02 0.47 0.85 17.43
0 A Bunnell-Stratf ( 3-13, 72.4) 15- 3 -27.50 12.76 0.47 0.85 11.25
0 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 13-11 -14.98 25.27 0.47 0.85 21.90
0 A Immaculate Da ( 6-10, 76.4) 17- 5 -23.51 16.75 0.47 0.85 14.65
0 H Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 10-11 -16.49 23.77 -0.47 0.85 -14.43
0 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 9- 7 -18.35 21.90 -0.47 0.85 18.23
0 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 3-14 -9.38 30.87 0.47 0.85 -7.58
0 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 10- 9 -13.04 27.22 -0.47 0.85 22.75
0 H Notre Dame-Fai ( 1-15, 67.9) 15- 4 -31.96 8.29 -0.47 0.85 6.65
0 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 9- 8 -16.81 23.44 0.47 0.85 20.34
0 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 15-10 -16.07 24.19 0.47 0.85 20.97
0 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 10-11 -14.78 25.47 -0.47 0.85 -12.97
0 H Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 4-10 -10.66 29.60 -0.47 0.85 -9.47
0 H Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 13-14 -15.97 24.29 -0.47 0.85 -13.98
0 A Fairfield Ward ( 6-10, 80.0) 16- 7 -19.95 20.31 0.47 0.85 17.67
0 A Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 12- 6 -15.97 24.29 0.47 0.85 21.06
0 A Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 5-14 -10.66 29.60 0.47 0.85 -8.66
0 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 16- 6 -17.19 23.07 -0.47 0.85 19.22
0 A Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 9-19 -5.60 34.65 0.47 0.85 -4.36
------
157.09
|
winning pts = 228.5414 losing points = -71.4510
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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