All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.8600006 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 4-10 320 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 7- 4 322 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 7- 1 325 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 8- 7 327 H Cosby (18- 2, 84.6) 1- 8 329 N McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 15- 1 402 H Colgan (13- 5, 72.7) 16- 6 410 A Gainesville (15- 5, 78.3) 12- 3 422 A Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 60.2) 21- 0 423 H Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 3- 8 424 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 50.7) 17- 1 428 H Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 12- 2 501 A Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 8- 5 507 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 59.6) 19- 2 508 H West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 10- 5 516 H Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 8- 1 519 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 6- 0 527 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 65.5) 17- 0 529 H Mountain View (10-10, 70.6) 12- 0 604 H Gainesville (15- 5, 78.3) 22- 6 606 H Deep Run ( 9- 8, 82.2) 12- 9 610 A West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Independence 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.67 320 A Briar Woods 7- 4 3 0 + 2.32 322 H Lake Braddock 7- 1 6 9 -1.00 325 A Loudoun County 8- 7 1 1 -0.16 327 H Cosby 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.06 329 N McLean 15- 1 14 4 + 2.01 402 H Colgan 16- 6 10 11 0.00 410 A Gainesville 12- 3 9 4 + 2.18 422 A Osbourn Park 21- 0 21 22 0.00 423 H Madison 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.43 424 H Osbourn 17- 1 16 33 0.00 428 H Patriot 12- 2 10 9 0.00 501 A Freedom South Riding 8- 5 3 5 - -2.30 507 H Unity Reed 19- 2 17 25 0.00 508 H West Potomac 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.41 516 H Patriot 8- 1 7 9 0.00 519 H Freedom South Riding 6- 0 6 6 -0.86 527 H Forest Park 17- 0 17 19 0.00 529 H Mountain View 12- 0 12 14 0.00 604 H Gainesville 22- 6 16 6 0.62 606 H Deep Run 12- 9 3 2 0.52 610 A West Potomac 8- 9 -1 0 -0.03UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Cosby 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.06 423 H Madison 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.43 318 A Independence 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.67 501 A Freedom South Riding 8- 5 3 5 - -2.30OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H West Potomac 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.41 320 A Briar Woods 7- 4 3 0 + 2.32 329 N McLean 15- 1 14 4 + 2.01 410 A Gainesville 12- 3 9 4 + 2.18
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.86 Power Rank................. 21 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.32 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 44 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7469 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6711 RPI Rank................... 6 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 19 Selection sum ........... 15 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 16 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 4.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0