All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.4000015 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 69.2) 18- 3 320 H Battlefield (18- 4, 83.9) 4- 7 321 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 14- 6 324 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 10- 4 402 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 6- 5 407 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 9- 8 409 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 60.8) 24- 4 422 H Broad Run (13- 6, 77.8) 15- 6 425 A Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 15- 7 429 H Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 13- 8 430 A Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 7- 8 506 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 12-11 508 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 16- 3 513 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 12- 9 515 H Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 8-14 519 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 18- 3 521 A Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 8- 3 523 A Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 8- 9 528 A Riverbend ( 8- 9, 69.0) 20- 5 602 H Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 8- 9 605 A Patrick Henry Roanoke (10- 5, 79.7) 11- 8 610 A Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 84.7) 7-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Liberty Bealeton 18- 3 15 13 0.00 320 H Battlefield 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.32 321 A Woodgrove 14- 6 8 6 0.72 324 A Patriot 10- 4 6 6 -0.25 402 H Freedom South Riding 6- 5 1 5 -- -4.40 407 H Loudoun County 9- 8 1 1 -0.26 409 H Tuscarora 24- 4 20 22 0.00 422 H Broad Run 15- 6 9 5 1.67 425 A Dominion 15- 7 8 9 0.00 429 H Westfield 13- 8 5 7 - -2.00 430 A Riverside 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.62 506 A Stone Bridge 12-11 1 1 -0.84 508 H Potomac Falls 16- 3 13 15 0.00 513 A Lightridge 12- 9 3 7 -- -4.00 515 H Independence 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.77 519 H Potomac Falls 18- 3 15 15 0.00 521 A Independence 8- 3 5 -4 +++ 9.79 523 A Riverside 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.62 528 A Riverbend 20- 5 15 12 0.00 602 H Independence 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.23 605 A Patrick Henry Roanoke 11- 8 3 1 1.08 610 A Douglas Freeman 7-11 -4 -3 -0.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 82.40 Power Rank................. 25 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.43 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 36 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7377 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 2 RPI Rating............... .6190 RPI Rank................... 20 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 26 Selection sum ........... 36 Selection Rank ............ 7 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -5. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 28 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 14 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7