All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.3099976 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Monticello (14- 3, 76.7) 7- 6 325 H St John Paul the Great ( 5- 9, 68.7) 15-12 326 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 8- 5 401 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 59.6) 18- 3 403 A James Monroe (11- 3, 69.2) 15- 7 409 A Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 65.7) 15- 7 410 H Meridian (13- 6, 77.1) 3- 9 422 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 13-14 424 H Culpeper County ( 4-11, 61.5) 14- 5 428 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 65.7) 18- 8 501 A Eastern View ( 0-13, 56.4) 18- 0 507 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 65.5) 17-12 512 A Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 69.2) 11- 3 519 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 16- 5 527 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 20-10 529 H Western Albemarle (14- 5, 77.1) 7-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Monticello 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.59 325 H St John Paul the Great 15-12 3 6 - -3.44 326 H Heritage Leesburg 8- 5 3 4 -1.66 401 H Unity Reed 18- 3 15 15 0.00 403 A James Monroe 15- 7 8 4 + 2.71 409 A Kettle Run 15- 7 8 7 0.00 410 H Meridian 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.97 422 H Lightridge 13-14 -1 1 - -2.34 424 H Culpeper County 14- 5 9 13 0.00 428 H Kettle Run 18- 8 10 9 0.00 501 A Eastern View 18- 0 18 17 0.00 507 H Forest Park 17-12 5 9 - -2.00 512 A Liberty Bealeton 11- 3 8 4 + 2.66 519 H Fauquier 16- 5 11 5 1.30 527 H Fauquier 20-10 10 5 1.30 529 H Western Albemarle 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.98UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 H Western Albemarle 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.98 325 H St John Paul the Great 15-12 3 6 - -3.44 410 H Meridian 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.97 422 H Lightridge 13-14 -1 1 - -2.34 507 H Forest Park 17-12 5 9 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Monticello 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.59 403 A James Monroe 15- 7 8 4 + 2.71 512 A Liberty Bealeton 11- 3 8 4 + 2.66
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.31 Power Rank................. 65 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 39.30 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 112 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5602 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 77 RPI Rating............... .5620 RPI Rank................... 44 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 25 Selection sum ........... 152 Selection Rank ............ 45 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 33 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 31 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7