Bear River
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 91.0910Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Hillcrest ( 2-15, 79.7) 16- 4 312 H Woods Cross (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 5 314 A Layton ( 2-16, 81.0) 20- 3 317 A Juan Diego Catholic (13- 7, 92.0) 7- 6 319 A Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 7- 2 326 A Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 10- 5 328 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 8- 9 409 H Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 9- 5 411 A West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 5-11 416 H Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 6- 5 418 H Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 16- 0 421 A Box Elder ( 9-10, 89.2) 6- 4 425 H Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 12- 3 430 A Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 8- 5 502 A Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 14- 6 507 H West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 10-15 509 A Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 10-18 515 H Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 17- 2 517 H Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 15-11 521 N Judge Memorial Catho (14- 5, 95.3) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Hillcrest 16- 4 12 11 0.00
312 H Woods Cross 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.47
314 A Layton 20- 3 17 10 0.00
317 A Juan Diego Catholic 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.44
319 A Logan 7- 2 5 7 0.00
326 A Mountain Crest 10- 5 5 2 + 2.57
328 H Green Canyon 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.60
409 H Ridgeline 9- 5 4 5 -0.55
411 A West Field 5-11 -6 -3 -1.67
416 H Sky View 6- 5 1 1 0.25
418 H Logan 16- 0 16 8 0.00
421 A Box Elder 6- 4 2 1 0.66
425 H Mountain Crest 12- 3 9 3 1.52
430 A Green Canyon 8- 5 3 2 1.45
502 A Ridgeline 14- 6 8 3 1.50
507 H West Field 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.72
509 A Sky View 10-18 -8 0 -- -4.70
515 H Jordan 17- 2 15 11 0.00
517 H Sky View 15-11 4 1 + 3.25
521 N Judge Memorial Catho 3-13 -10 -4 -0.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 A Sky View 10-18 -8 0 -- -4.70 328 H Green Canyon 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.60 507 H West Field 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Woods Cross 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.47 317 A Juan Diego Catholic 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.44 326 A Mountain Crest 10- 5 5 2 + 2.57 517 H Sky View 15-11 4 1 + 3.25 |
Bear River Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alta | Alta | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Alta | |
| American Fork | Bear River | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bear River | |
| Bingham | Bear River | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bear River | |
| Bonneville | Bear River | Bear River 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Bountiful | Bear River | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Bear River | |
| Box Elder | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Brighton | |
| Canyon View | Bear River | Bear River 3- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cedar | Bear River | Bear River 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cedar Valley | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Clearfield | Bear River | Bear River 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Copper Hills | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Corner Canyon | Corner Canyon | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Corner Canyon | |
| Crimson Cliffs | Bear River | Bear River 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Davis | Davis | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Davis | |
| Desert Hills | Bear River | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bear River | |
| Dixie | Bear River | Bear River 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| East | Bear River | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bear River | |
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 1) | Farmington | |
| Fremont | Fremont | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 2- 1) | Fremont | |
| Green Canyon | Bear River | Bear River 7- 2 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Herriman | Bear River | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Bear River | |
| Highland | Highland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Highland | |
| Hillcrest | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Hurricane | Bear River | Bear River 5- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jordan | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Juan Diego Catholic | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Judge Memorial Catho | Judge Memorial Catho | Judge Memorial Catho | ||
| Layton | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Lehi | Bear River | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bear River | |
| Logan | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Lone Peak | Lone Peak | Lone Peak | ||
| Maple Mountain | Maple Mountain | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Maple Mountain | |
| Mountain Crest | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mountain Ridge | Mountain Ridge | Mountain Ridge | ||
| Mountain View | Bear River | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Bear River | |
| Northridge | Northridge | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Northridge | |
| Olympus | Olympus | Olympus 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Orem | Bear River | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bear River | |
| Park City | Park City | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Park City | |
| Payson | Bear River | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Bear River | |
| Pine View | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Pleasant Grove | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Provo | Bear River | Bear River 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ridgeline | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Riverton | Bear River | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Bear River | |
| Roy | Bear River | Bear River 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Salem Hills | Bear River | Bear River 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sky View | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Skyline | Bear River | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bear River | |
| Skyridge | Skyridge | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Skyridge | |
| Snow Canyon | Bear River | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bear River | |
| Spanish Fork | Bear River | Bear River 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Springville | Bear River | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Bear River | |
| Syracuse | Bear River | Bear River 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Timpanogos | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Timpview | Bear River | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bear River | |
| Viewmont | Bear River | Bear River 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Wasatch | Bear River | Bear River 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Waterford | Bear River | Bear River 7- 2 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Weber | Bear River | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) | Bear River | |
| West | Bear River | Bear River 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Field | West Field | West Field | ||
| West Jordan | Bear River | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bear River | |
| Westlake | Bear River | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bear River | |
| Woods Cross | Bear River | Bear River |
PowerWise = 50
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hillcrest ( 2-15, 79.7) 16- 4 -20.20 9.31 0.53 0.93 9.16
0 H Woods Cross (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 5 -6.81 22.70 -0.53 0.93 20.65
0 A Layton ( 2-16, 81.0) 20- 3 -18.92 10.59 0.53 0.93 10.35
0 A Juan Diego Cat (13- 7, 92.0) 7- 6 -7.90 21.61 0.53 0.93 20.62
0 A Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 7- 2 -16.47 13.04 0.53 0.93 12.64
0 A Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 10- 5 -11.76 17.75 0.53 0.93 17.02
0 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 8- 9 -10.88 18.63 -0.53 0.93 -10.62
0 H Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 9- 5 -12.83 16.68 -0.53 0.93 15.04
0 A West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 5-11 -6.00 23.51 0.53 0.93 -5.10
0 H Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 6- 5 -9.03 20.48 -0.53 0.93 18.58
0 H Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 16- 0 -16.47 13.04 -0.53 0.93 11.66
0 A Box Elder ( 9-10, 89.2) 6- 4 -10.68 18.83 0.53 0.93 18.03
0 H Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 12- 3 -11.76 17.75 -0.53 0.93 16.04
0 A Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 8- 5 -10.88 18.63 0.53 0.93 17.84
0 A Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 14- 6 -12.83 16.68 0.53 0.93 16.02
0 H West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 10-15 -6.00 23.51 -0.53 0.93 -6.08
0 A Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 10-18 -9.03 20.48 0.53 0.93 -7.92
0 H Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 17- 2 -18.80 10.71 -0.53 0.93 9.49
0 H Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 15-11 -9.03 20.48 -0.53 0.93 18.58
0 N Judge Memorial (14- 5, 95.3) 3-13 -4.56 24.95 -0.00 0.93 -4.24
------
197.76
|
winning pts = 231.7321 losing points = -33.9704
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------