All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.8499985 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 14- 5 321 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 67.9) 13- 0 325 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 15- 6 326 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 60.8) 19- 2 328 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 14- 7 404 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 65.7) 14- 4 407 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 12- 6 409 A Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 14- 6 422 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 6-15 429 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10-11 430 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 12- 6 506 A Park View ( 0-14, 53.0) 19- 0 508 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 7-15 513 H John Champe ( 5-10, 66.1) 19- 5 515 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 9- 5 523 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 6- 8 528 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 14- 6 602 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 6-11 606 N Salem (17- 3, 83.9) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Fairfax 14- 5 9 4 + 2.25 321 H Loudoun Valley 13- 0 13 10 0.00 325 H Fauquier 15- 6 9 9 0.00 326 A Tuscarora 19- 2 17 16 0.00 328 H Heritage Leesburg 14- 7 7 8 0.00 404 H Kettle Run 14- 4 10 12 0.00 407 H Lightridge 12- 6 6 4 1.12 409 A Dominion 14- 6 8 5 1.70 422 A Briar Woods 6-15 -9 -5 -1.67 429 A Stone Bridge 10-11 -1 -2 1.71 430 A Potomac Falls 12- 6 6 9 -1.00 506 A Park View 19- 0 19 24 0.00 508 H Loudoun County 7-15 -8 -3 - -3.71 513 H John Champe 19- 5 14 12 0.00 515 A Woodgrove 9- 5 4 1 + 2.27 523 A Loudoun County 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.85 528 A Heritage Leesburg 14- 6 8 6 0.36 602 A Loudoun County 6-11 -5 -4 -0.15 606 N Salem 4- 9 -5 -6 1.10UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Loudoun County 7-15 -8 -3 - -3.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Fairfax 14- 5 9 4 + 2.25 515 A Woodgrove 9- 5 4 1 + 2.27 523 A Loudoun County 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.85
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.85 Power Rank................. 41 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.69 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 73 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5975 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 55 RPI Rating............... .5300 RPI Rank................... 61 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 27 Selection sum ........... 178 Selection Rank ............ 49 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 73 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 62 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7