Broad Run
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 88.0715Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 14- 5 321 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 13- 0 325 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 15- 6 326 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 19- 2 328 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 14- 7 404 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 14- 4 407 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 12- 6 409 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 14- 6 422 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 6-15 429 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 10-11 430 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 12- 6 506 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 19- 0 508 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 7-15 513 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 19- 5 515 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 9- 5 523 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 6- 8 528 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 14- 6 602 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 6-11 606 N Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Fairfax 14- 5 9 3 1.85
321 H Loudoun Valley 13- 0 13 8 0.00
325 H Fauquier 15- 6 9 6 0.00
326 A Tuscarora 19- 2 17 11 0.00
328 H Heritage Leesburg 14- 7 7 7 0.00
404 H Kettle Run 14- 4 10 9 0.00
407 H Lightridge 12- 6 6 4 1.23
409 A Dominion 14- 6 8 5 0.44
422 A Briar Woods 6-15 -9 -4 -1.23
429 A Stone Bridge 10-11 -1 -2 1.28
430 A Potomac Falls 12- 6 6 8 0.00
506 A Park View 19- 0 19 23 0.00
508 H Loudoun County 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.19
513 H John Champe 19- 5 14 8 0.00
515 A Woodgrove 9- 5 4 2 1.94
523 A Loudoun County 6- 8 -2 -3 1.02
528 A Heritage Leesburg 14- 6 8 5 0.00
602 A Loudoun County 6-11 -5 -3 -1.98
606 N Salem 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Loudoun County 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Broad Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Alexandria City | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Annandale | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bayside | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Benedictine | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Blacksburg | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Brooke Point | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Centreville | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chantilly | |
| Charlottesville | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Clover Hill | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Colgan | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Cox | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Culpeper County | Broad Run | Broad Run 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Broad Run | Broad Run 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Fairfax | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Falls Church | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Fauquier | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| First Colonial | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Flint Hill | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Fluvanna County | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Forest Park | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Fredericksburg Acade | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Glen Allen | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Goochland | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Grafton LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Grassfield LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Green Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Handley | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Hanover | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Hayfield | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Hidden Valley | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Highland School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Highland Springs | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Hylton | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence 9- 0 vs 6- 3 | ||
| James Monroe | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Broad Run | |
| James River | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Jamestown LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Justice | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Kellam | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Kempsville | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Kettle Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Lake Braddock | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Landstown | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Broad Run | |
| Lightridge | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Marshall | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Massaponax | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Matoaca | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Maury LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Menchville LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Meridian | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Broad Run | |
| Midlothian | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Mills Godwin | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Monacan | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Monticello | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Mount Vernon | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Mountain View | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| New Covenant School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Cross School | |
| North Stafford | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Orange County | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Osbourn | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Osbourn Park | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Park View | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Patrick Henry Roano | |
| Patriot | Broad Run | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Powhatan | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Princess Anne | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Riverbend | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside 7- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Robinson | |
| Rock Ridge | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Rockbridge County | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Rockingham LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Seton School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| South County | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| South Lakes | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Annes-Belfield | |
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Steward School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Tabb LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Tallwood | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Tandem Friends | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Thomas Dale | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Trinity Christian | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Tuscarora | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Unity Reed | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Veritas School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Virginia Academy | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Wakefield HS | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Wakefield School | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Western Albemarle | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Westfield | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Broad Run | |
| William Byrd | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| William Fleming | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodberry Forest | |
| Woodbridge | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Woodgrove | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Woodson | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| York LC | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 135
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 14- 5 -15.59 19.41 0.61 0.73 14.69
0 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 13- 0 -19.64 15.36 -0.61 0.73 10.82
0 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 15- 6 -17.69 17.31 -0.61 0.73 12.26
0 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 19- 2 -23.31 11.70 0.61 0.73 9.03
0 H Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 14- 7 -17.73 17.28 -0.61 0.73 12.23
0 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 14- 4 -20.53 14.47 -0.61 0.73 10.18
0 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 12- 6 -14.99 20.01 -0.61 0.73 14.24
0 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 14- 6 -16.99 18.01 0.61 0.73 13.66
0 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 6-15 -8.67 26.33 0.61 0.73 -5.92
0 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 10-11 -10.16 24.84 0.61 0.73 -7.01
0 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 12- 6 -20.06 14.94 0.61 0.73 11.41
0 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 19- 0 -35.00 1.00 0.61 0.73 1.18
0 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 7-15 -9.41 25.59 -0.61 0.73 -7.36
0 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 19- 5 -19.14 15.87 -0.61 0.73 11.20
0 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 9- 5 -14.49 20.51 0.61 0.73 15.50
0 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 6- 8 -9.41 25.59 0.61 0.73 -6.46
0 A Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 14- 6 -17.73 17.28 0.61 0.73 13.13
0 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 6-11 -9.41 25.59 0.61 0.73 -6.46
0 N Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 4- 9 -8.12 26.88 -0.00 0.73 -5.96
------
110.36
|
winning pts = 149.5234 losing points = -39.1642
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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