All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.2900009 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Amity Regional (10- 7, 74.8) 8- 6 408 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 74.6) 10-11 410 A Newtown (13- 7, 75.8) 10- 7 412 A Stamford ( 8- 9, 74.7) 9- 6 414 H Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 6, 87.1) 3-17 415 H Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 11-13 417 H Fairfield Warde ( 6-10, 69.1) 13- 5 419 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 68.0) 12-10 422 H Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 59.0) 19- 0 424 A Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 4-13 426 A Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 9- 8 429 H Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 65.4) 14- 5 506 A New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 4-13 513 A Weston ( 9-10, 74.4) 7- 9 514 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 56.0) 17- 3 515 H Masuk ( 8-10, 72.1) 11- 5 519 A New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 2-13 604 H EO Smith ( 8- 9, 65.0) 14- 6 607 A Foran (12- 6, 74.3) 15- 5 611 N Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Amity Regional 8- 6 2 1 0.92 408 H New Milford 10-11 -1 1 - -2.30 410 A Newtown 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.17 412 A Stamford 9- 6 3 0 + 3.04 414 H Fairfield Ludlowe 3-17 -14 -11 0.00 415 H Bethel 11-13 -2 0 -1.18 417 H Fairfield Warde 13- 5 8 6 0.15 419 A Pomperaug 12-10 2 6 -- -4.61 422 H Bunnell-Stratford 19- 0 19 16 0.00 424 A Joel Barlow 4-13 -9 -7 0.00 426 A Xavier 9- 8 1 0 0.57 429 H Immaculate Danbury 14- 5 9 10 0.00 506 A New Fairfield 4-13 -9 -9 0.00 513 A Weston 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.20 514 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 17- 3 14 19 0.00 515 H Masuk 11- 5 6 3 + 2.16 519 A New Fairfield 2-13 -11 -9 0.00 604 H EO Smith 14- 6 8 10 0.00 607 A Foran 15- 5 10 0 +++ 6.67 611 N Daniel Hand 5-18 -13 -6 -0.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Pomperaug 12-10 2 6 -- -4.61 408 H New Milford 10-11 -1 1 - -2.30 513 A Weston 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 607 A Foran 15- 5 10 0 +++ 6.67 410 A Newtown 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.17 412 A Stamford 9- 6 3 0 + 3.04 515 H Masuk 11- 5 6 3 + 2.16
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 75.29 Power Rank................. 26 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.58 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 31 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6512 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13 RPI Rating............... .5469 RPI Rank................... 34 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 18 Selection sum ........... 84 Selection Rank ............ 29 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -90. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 37 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 37 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7