---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Brainerd 1
  
Brainerd              
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 84.5678

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Big Lake/Princeton ( 6- 7, 84.5) 10-11 415 H St Cloud Unified ( 1-13, 80.9) 13- 4 417 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 1-10 421 H Rocori ( 8- 7, 84.3) 8- 4 424 A St Cloud Unified ( 1-13, 80.9) 11- 7 429 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 16-13 507 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 9- 4 509 H Big Lake/Princeton ( 6- 7, 84.5) 8- 7 513 A Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 7- 8 515 H Monticello ( 8- 7, 88.8) 6-10 516 A Rocori ( 8- 7, 84.3) 5-16 520 H Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 2-16 522 H Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 3-11 527 H Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 14-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Big Lake/Princeton     10-11      -1    -1          -0.34
   415 H St Cloud Unified       13- 4       9     4           0.60
   417 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids     1-10      -9    -4          -1.47
   421 H Rocori                  8- 4       4     1    +      2.98
   424 A St Cloud Unified       11- 7       4     3           1.08
   429 A Becker                 16-13       3    -1    +      3.53
   507 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa    9- 4       5     1    ++     4.44
   509 H Big Lake/Princeton      8- 7       1     1           0.18
   513 A Grand Rapids/Greenwa    7- 8      -1    -1          -0.08
   515 H Monticello              6-10      -4    -3          -0.51
   516 A Rocori                  5-16     -11     0    --    -4.53
   520 H Moorhead                2-16     -14   -10           0.00
   522 H Sartell/Sauk Rapids     3-11      -8    -2    -     -2.95
   527 H Becker                 14-16      -2     1    -     -2.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Rocori                  5-16     -11     0    --    -4.53
   522 H Sartell/Sauk Rapids     3-11      -8    -2    -     -2.95
   527 H Becker                 14-16      -2     1    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa    9- 4       5     1    ++     4.44
   421 H Rocori                  8- 4       4     1    +      2.98
   429 A Becker                 16-13       3    -1    +      3.53

Brainerd Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Andover
Anoka Anoka   Anoka
Becker Brainerd Brainerd   4- 5 vs 1- 5
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake/Princeton Brainerd tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) Brainerd
Blaine Blaine   Blaine
Blake School Blake School   Blake School
Bloomington Jefferso Bloomington Jefferso   Bloomington Jefferso
Bloomington Kennedy/ Brainerd insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Brainerd
Breck School Breck School   Breck School
Buffalo Buffalo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Buffalo
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park   Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen   Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska   Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 0) Chisago Lakes
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton Brainerd Brainerd   3- 3 vs 0- 3
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall   Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Delano/Rockford
Duluth East/Denfield Duluth East/Denfield tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Duluth East/Denfield
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duluth Marshall
Eagan Eagan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Eagan
East Ridge East Ridge   East Ridge
Eastview/Apple Valle Eastview/Apple Valle   Eastview/Apple Valle
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake Forest Lake tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Forest Lake
Grand Rapids/Greenwa Grand Rapids/Greenwa tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Grand Rapids/Greenwa
Hastings Hastings   Hastings
Hermantown/Proctor Hermantown/Proctor tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Hermantown/Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray   Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Brainerd   Brainerd
Holy Family Catholic Brainerd   Brainerd
Hopkins/St Louis Par Hopkins/St Louis Par   Hopkins/St Louis Par
Hutchinson Brainerd Brainerd   2- 2 vs 0- 2
Irondale Irondale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North   Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South   Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi   Mahtomedi
Mankato United Mankato United   Mankato United
Maple Grove Maple Grove   Maple Grove
Minneapolis United Minneapolis United tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Minneapolis United
Minnetonka Minnetonka tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Moorhead Moorhead Moorhead  
Mound Westonka Brainerd   Brainerd
Mounds View Mounds View   Mounds View
New Prague New Prague   New Prague
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Orono Orono   Orono
Osseo/Park Center Brainerd insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Brainerd
Owatonna Owatonna insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Owatonna
Park Cottage Grove Park Cottage Grove   Park Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Providence Academy Providence Academy tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Providence Academy
Robbinsdale Armstron Robbinsdale Armstron   Robbinsdale Armstron
Rochester United Rochester United   Rochester United
Rocori Brainerd insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 4) Brainerd
Rogers Rogers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell/Sauk Rapids Sartell/Sauk Rapids Sartell/Sauk Rapids  
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Brainerd   Brainerd
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coo Spring Lake Park/Coo   Spring Lake Park/Coo
St Cloud Unified Brainerd Brainerd  
St Michael-Albertvil St Michael-Albertvil St Michael-Albertvil   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy   St Thomas Academy
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stillwater
Totino Grace Brainerd   Brainerd
TriMAC Academy TriMAC Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) TriMAC Academy
Waconia Waconia   Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata   Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury   Woodbury

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Big Lake/Princ  ( 6- 7, 84.5)    10-11      -15.41       9.66       0.74         1.04           -15.33
   0 H St Cloud Unifi  ( 1-13, 80.9)    13- 4      -18.99       6.08      -0.74         1.04             5.58
   0 A Sartell/Sauk R  ( 8- 6, 87.4)     1-10      -12.54      12.52       0.74         1.04           -12.33
   0 H Rocori          ( 8- 7, 84.3)     8- 4      -15.61       9.46      -0.74         1.04             9.11
   0 A St Cloud Unifi  ( 1-13, 80.9)    11- 7      -18.99       6.08       0.74         1.04             7.12
   0 A Becker          ( 4-11, 84.4)    16-13      -15.54       9.53       0.74         1.04            10.73
   0 H Grand Rapids/G  ( 6- 7, 84.7)     9- 4      -15.15       9.92      -0.74         1.04             9.59
   0 H Big Lake/Princ  ( 6- 7, 84.5)     8- 7      -15.41       9.66      -0.74         1.04             9.31
   0 A Grand Rapids/G  ( 6- 7, 84.7)     7- 8      -15.15       9.92       0.74         1.04           -15.05
   0 H Monticello      ( 8- 7, 88.8)     6-10      -11.10      13.96      -0.74         1.04           -12.37
   0 A Rocori          ( 8- 7, 84.3)     5-16      -15.61       9.46       0.74         1.04           -15.53
   0 H Moorhead        (15- 4, 94.8)     2-16       -5.09      19.98      -0.74         1.04            -6.09
   0 H Sartell/Sauk R  ( 8- 6, 87.4)     3-11      -12.54      12.52      -0.74         1.04           -13.88
   0 H Becker          ( 4-11, 84.4)    14-16      -15.54       9.53      -0.74         1.04           -17.01
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -56.15

winning pts = 51.4375 losing points = -107.5851

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------