Boulder Creek
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 89.4297Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 3-14 212 A Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 4, 93.7) 3- 9 221 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10- 5 227 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 5- 7 307 H Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 11- 5 311 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 5-16 328 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 6-13 404 H Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 3- 8 411 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 7-13 417 A Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 14-13 422 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10- 8 425 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 1-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Chandler 3-14 -11 -6 0.00
212 A Notre Dame Prep 3- 9 -6 -4 -0.62
221 H Scottsdale 10- 5 5 2 + 3.36
227 A Corona del Sol 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.11
307 H Higley 11- 5 6 1 + 3.85
311 A Brophy Prep 5-16 -11 -11 0.00
328 H Desert Vista 6-13 -7 -6 0.00
404 H Arcadia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.35
411 H Pinnacle 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.53
417 A Oro Valley 14-13 1 2 -0.91
422 H Scottsdale 10- 8 2 2 0.36
425 A Brophy Prep 1-16 -15 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Arcadia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.35 411 H Pinnacle 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Scottsdale 10- 5 5 2 + 3.36 307 H Higley 11- 5 6 1 + 3.85 |
Boulder Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | ||
| Brophy Prep II | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Cactus | Boulder Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Boulder Creek | |
| Cactus Shadows | Boulder Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boulder Creek | |
| Catalina Foothills | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Chandler | Chandler | Chandler | ||
| Corona del Sol | Corona del Sol | Corona del Sol | ||
| Desert Vista | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Desert Vista II | Boulder Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boulder Creek | |
| Higley | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Notre Dame Prep II | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Oro Valley | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Pinnacle | Pinnacle | Pinnacle | ||
| Salpointe Catholic | Boulder Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Boulder Creek | |
| Scottsdale | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| West Valley | Boulder Creek | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Boulder Creek |
PowerWise = 11
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 3-14 -4.23 13.90 0.12 1.14 -4.68
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 7- 4, 93.7) 3- 9 -6.21 11.92 0.12 1.14 -6.94
0 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10- 5 -11.99 6.15 -0.12 1.14 6.87
0 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 5- 7 -8.71 9.43 0.12 1.14 -9.79
0 H Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 11- 5 -11.50 6.64 -0.12 1.14 7.43
0 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 5-16 -0.00 18.13 0.12 1.14 -0.14
0 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 6-13 -4.40 13.73 -0.12 1.14 -5.16
0 H Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 3- 8 -8.70 9.43 -0.12 1.14 -10.06
0 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 7-13 -7.87 10.26 -0.12 1.14 -9.12
0 A Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 14-13 -12.51 5.63 0.12 1.14 6.56
0 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10- 8 -11.99 6.15 -0.12 1.14 6.87
0 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 1-16 -0.00 18.13 0.12 1.14 -0.14
------
-18.32
|
winning pts = 27.7179 losing points = -46.0339
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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