Bonney Lake
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 87.5169Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Orting ( 7- 6, 88.2) 11- 8 327 A Puyallup ( 2-11, 85.6) 18-10 401 A Emerald Ridge ( 2-12, 83.1) 9- 7 404 H Peninsula ( 3- 8, 86.0) 12- 9 408 H South Kitsap ( 0- 7, 74.1) 15- 1 415 A Enumclaw ( 6- 8, 88.1) 18-15 418 H Rogers (12- 3, 94.9) 5-16 421 H White River ( 4- 9, 82.9) 5- 3 423 A Gig Harbor (11- 5, 87.3) 11-16 430 H Auburn Riverside ( 9- 3, 91.2) 5-10 506 H Stadium ( 8- 6, 83.0) 15- 3 508 A Sumner ( 7- 6, 91.8) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Orting 11- 8 3 0 + 3.17
327 A Puyallup 18-10 8 1 + 3.61
401 A Emerald Ridge 9- 7 2 4 -1.89
404 H Peninsula 12- 9 3 2 0.96
408 H South Kitsap 15- 1 14 14 0.00
415 A Enumclaw 18-15 3 -1 ++ 4.07
418 H Rogers 5-16 -11 -7 0.00
421 H White River 5- 3 2 5 - -3.00
423 A Gig Harbor 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.66
430 H Auburn Riverside 5-10 -5 -3 -1.85
506 H Stadium 15- 3 12 5 0.00
508 A Sumner 5-10 -5 -5 -0.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Gig Harbor 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.66 421 H White River 5- 3 2 5 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Enumclaw 18-15 3 -1 ++ 4.07 317 H Orting 11- 8 3 0 + 3.17 327 A Puyallup 18-10 8 1 + 3.61 |
Bonney Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes | Anacortes | Anacortes | ||
| Archbishop Murphy | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Arlington | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Auburn Riverside | Auburn Riverside | Auburn Riverside | ||
| Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bainbridge Island | |
| Ballard | Ballard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ballard | |
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bellevue | Bellevue | Bellevue | ||
| Bellingham | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Blanchet | Blanchet | Blanchet | ||
| Bothell | Bothell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bothell | |
| Burlington-Edison | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Camas | Camas | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Camas | |
| Cedarcrest | Bonney Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Chiawana | Chiawana | Chiawana | ||
| Curtis | Curtis | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Curtis | |
| East Valley | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eastlake | |
| Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | ||
| Emerald Ridge | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Enumclaw | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Franklin | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Gig Harbor | Gig Harbor | Gig Harbor | ||
| Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | ||
| Graham Kapowsin | Graham Kapowsin | tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 3) | Graham Kapowsin | |
| Hanford | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Hermiston | Hermiston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hermiston | |
| Inglemoor | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Interlake | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Issaquah | Issaquah | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Issaquah | |
| Jackson | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Juanita | Juanita | Juanita | ||
| Kamiak | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Kamiakin | Kamiakin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kamiakin | |
| Kennedy Catholic | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Klahowya | Bonney Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Lake Washington | Bonney Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Lakeside | Lakeside | Lakeside | ||
| Liberty | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Lincoln | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bonney Lake | |
| Lynden | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Marysville Getchell | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Mercer Island | Mercer Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercer Island | |
| Monroe | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Mount Si | Mount Si | Mount Si 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount Vernon | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Mountain View | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Nathan Hale | Nathan Hale | Nathan Hale | ||
| Newport | Bonney Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| North Creek | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| North Kitsap | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| O'Dea | O'Dea | O'Dea | ||
| Olympia | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Bonney Lake | |
| Orting | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Overlake | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Peninsula | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Providence Classical | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Puyallup | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Redmond | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Richland | Richland | Richland | ||
| Rogers | Rogers | Rogers | ||
| Roosevelt | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bonney Lake | |
| Sammamish | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | ||
| Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | ||
| Sedro-Woolley | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Sehome | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Selah | Selah | Selah | ||
| Shorecrest | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Skyline | Skyline | Skyline | ||
| Skyview | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Snohomish | Snohomish | Snohomish | ||
| South Kitsap | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Southridge | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Squalicum | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Stadium | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Stanwood | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Sumner | Sumner | Sumner | ||
| Tahoma | Tahoma | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Tahoma | |
| Union | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Vashon Island | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Walla Walla | Walla Walla | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Walla Walla | |
| Wenatchee | Wenatchee | Wenatchee | ||
| West Seattle | Bonney Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bonney Lake | |
| White River | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Woodinville | Woodinville | Woodinville |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Orting ( 7- 6, 88.2) 11- 8 -11.69 14.11 -0.52 0.95 12.84
0 A Puyallup ( 2-11, 85.6) 18-10 -14.30 11.50 0.52 0.95 11.36
0 A Emerald Ridge ( 2-12, 83.1) 9- 7 -16.79 9.01 0.52 0.95 9.01
0 H Peninsula ( 3- 8, 86.0) 12- 9 -13.90 11.90 -0.52 0.95 10.75
0 H South Kitsap ( 0- 7, 74.1) 15- 1 -25.80 1.00 -0.52 0.95 0.45
0 A Enumclaw ( 6- 8, 88.1) 18-15 -11.83 13.97 0.52 0.95 13.70
0 H Rogers (12- 3, 94.9) 5-16 -4.96 20.84 -0.52 0.95 -5.18
0 H White River ( 4- 9, 82.9) 5- 3 -17.01 8.79 -0.52 0.95 7.81
0 A Gig Harbor (11- 5, 87.3) 11-16 -12.57 13.23 0.52 0.95 -11.39
0 H Auburn Riversi ( 9- 3, 91.2) 5-10 -8.72 17.08 -0.52 0.95 -8.73
0 H Stadium ( 8- 6, 83.0) 15- 3 -16.94 8.86 -0.52 0.95 7.88
0 A Sumner ( 7- 6, 91.8) 5-10 -8.14 17.66 0.52 0.95 -7.20
------
41.31
|
winning pts = 73.8046 losing points = -32.4973
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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