All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4599991 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Ballston Spa (11- 8, 79.7) 17- 7 412 A Webster Thomas ( 7-10, 82.1) 14-12 415 H West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 16-18 417 H Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 9, 86.4) 12-15 419 A Irondequoit (12- 7, 84.7) 8- 9 422 H East Syracuse-Minoa ( 9- 8, 79.6) 13- 5 424 A Liverpool ( 6-11, 81.0) 20- 7 426 H Victor (14- 5, 88.8) 14-18 502 A West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 14-15 508 H Jamesville-DeWitt (17- 4, 91.5) 10-11 510 A Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 9, 86.4) 6- 5 513 H Liverpool ( 6-11, 81.0) 14-10 515 A Cicero-North Syracuse (11- 5, 85.2) 11-12 517 A Canandaigua (19- 3, 88.4) 9- 8 524 H Rome Free Academy ( 5-10, 66.8) 23- 5 528 A Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 9, 86.4) 12- 7 531 N West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 10-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Ballston Spa 17- 7 10 8 0.00 412 A Webster Thomas 14-12 2 4 - -2.80 415 H West Genesee 16-18 -2 -3 1.69 417 H Fayetteville-Manlius 12-15 -3 1 -- -4.60 419 A Irondequoit 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.21 422 H East Syracuse-Minoa 13- 5 8 8 0.00 424 A Liverpool 20- 7 13 5 1.08 426 H Victor 14-18 -4 0 - -3.22 502 A West Genesee 14-15 -1 -4 + 3.83 508 H Jamesville-DeWitt 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.44 510 A Fayetteville-Manlius 6- 5 1 0 0.54 513 H Liverpool 14-10 4 7 - -3.00 515 A Cicero-North Syracuse 11-12 -1 1 - -2.71 517 A Canandaigua 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.54 524 H Rome Free Academy 23- 5 18 21 0.00 528 A Fayetteville-Manlius 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.54 531 N West Genesee 10-15 -5 -4 -0.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Fayetteville-Manlius 12-15 -3 1 -- -4.60 412 A Webster Thomas 14-12 2 4 - -2.80 419 A Irondequoit 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.21 426 H Victor 14-18 -4 0 - -3.22 513 H Liverpool 14-10 4 7 - -3.00 515 A Cicero-North Syracuse 11-12 -1 1 - -2.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 528 A Fayetteville-Manlius 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.54 502 A West Genesee 14-15 -1 -4 + 3.83 508 H Jamesville-DeWitt 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.44 517 A Canandaigua 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.54
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 87.46 Power Rank................. 26 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 67.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 18 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7133 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 11 RPI Rating............... .6026 RPI Rank................... 51 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 148 Selection sum ........... 156 Selection Rank ............ 35 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 109 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 94 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0