All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6200027 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H John Carroll ( 1-14, 85.2) 11- 6 309 H Hill Academy II ( 8- 2, 86.4) 12- 8 314 A New Covenant School ( 1- 8, 69.0) 18- 3 315 A Cardinal Gibbons (24- 2, 92.2) 9-12 318 A Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 7- 9 321 A Norfolk Academy (13- 8, 85.7) 17- 8 324 H Kiski Prep (13- 9, 90.1) 10-14 326 A Woodberry Forest ( 9- 9, 85.9) 10- 7 402 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 13-11 404 H Collegiate School (13- 6, 88.2) 8- 4 405 A Lake Norman HS (20- 5, 91.2) 9-10 408 H Fork Union Military Ac ( 6- 5, 77.7) 17- 6 411 H St Christophers (17- 5, 90.4) 12-13 417 H Virginia Episcopal Sch ( 5- 9, 72.0) 18- 4 422 A Landon (18- 1, 97.1) 6-12 423 A Lawrenceville School P (17- 3, ****) 8-15 429 A Covenant School ( 9- 7, 76.5) 21- 5 430 A North Cross School (13- 7, 79.6) 12-10 502 H Christchurch ( 9- 8, 91.1) 13- 8 505 H Virginia Episcopal Sch ( 5- 9, 72.0) 17- 3 507 H North Cross School (13- 7, 79.6) 15- 4 515 H Collegiate School (13- 6, 88.2) 13-12 517 H Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H John Carroll 11- 6 5 6 n/a 309 H Hill Academy II 12- 8 4 5 n/a 314 A New Covenant School 18- 3 15 20 0.00 315 A Cardinal Gibbons 9-12 -3 -2 n/a 318 A Paul VI 7- 9 -2 -2 0.21 321 A Norfolk Academy 17- 8 9 4 + 2.90 324 H Kiski Prep 10-14 -4 1 n/a 326 A Woodberry Forest 10- 7 3 3 -0.96 402 A St Annes-Belfield 13-11 2 -6 +++ 8.32 404 H Collegiate School 8- 4 4 3 0.82 405 A Lake Norman HS 9-10 -1 -1 n/a 408 H Fork Union Military Ac 17- 6 11 13 0.00 411 H St Christophers 12-13 -1 0 -1.96 417 H Virginia Episcopal Sch 18- 4 14 19 0.00 422 A Landon 6-12 -6 -7 n/a 423 A Lawrenceville School P 8-15 -7 -10 n/a 429 A Covenant School 21- 5 16 13 0.00 430 A North Cross School 12-10 2 10 -- -5.00 502 H Christchurch 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.73 505 H Virginia Episcopal Sch 17- 3 14 19 0.00 507 H North Cross School 15- 4 11 11 0.00 515 H Collegiate School 13-12 1 3 - -2.18 517 H Paul VI 9-11 -2 0 -1.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Kiski Prep 10-14 -4 1 -- 430 A North Cross School 12-10 2 10 -- -5.00 515 H Collegiate School 13-12 1 3 - -2.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A St Annes-Belfield 13-11 2 -6 +++ 8.32 502 H Christchurch 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.73 321 A Norfolk Academy 17- 8 9 4 + 2.90
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.62 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 69.79 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5569 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 79 RPI Rating............... .6684 RPI Rank................... 7 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 93 Selection Rank ............ 25 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 145. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3