Bel Air
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 84.9757Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 14- 0 326 A Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 16- 4 331 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 16- 9 402 H Archbishop Curley (10- 5, 89.6) 1-14 405 A Howard (13- 4, 87.1) 3- 4 408 A Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 18- 1 409 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 1-12 411 A Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 17-11 415 H Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 2-16 424 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 20- 7 425 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 6-10 509 A City College ( 8- 4, 78.0) 16- 0 512 A Baltimore Polytechni (11- 2, 82.3) 13- 6 514 A Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 3-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Harford Tech 14- 0 14 6 0.00
326 A Havre De Grace 16- 4 12 3 1.61
331 H Patterson Mill 16- 9 7 4 1.03
402 H Archbishop Curley 1-14 -13 -4 -0.85
405 A Howard 3- 4 -1 -3 1.55
408 A Joppatowne 18- 1 17 13 0.00
409 H CM Wright 1-12 -11 -3 -1.66
411 A Aberdeen 17-11 6 6 0.00
415 H Fallston 2-16 -14 -5 0.00
424 H Perryville 20- 7 13 8 0.00
425 A North Harford 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.42
509 A City College 16- 0 16 7 0.00
512 A Baltimore Polytechni 13- 6 7 2 + 2.78
514 A Severna Park 3-17 -14 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A North Harford 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Baltimore Polytechni 13- 6 7 2 + 2.78 |
Bel Air Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Friends | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Garrett County LC | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Georgetown Day | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Jemicy School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Landon | Landon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Landon | |
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Mount Carmel | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Salisbury School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Albans | |
| St Andrews Episcopal | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marys Ryken | |
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Academy for College | Bel Air | Bel Air 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis | |
| Arundel | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Atholton | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bladensburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Blair | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Blake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Boonsboro | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bowie | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Calvert | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Cambridge SD | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Carver A&T | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Catoctin | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Century | Century | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Chopticon | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| City College | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Clarksburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Crofton | |
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Bel Air | Bel Air 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dundalk | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| DuVal | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Eastern Tech | Bel Air | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Easton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Edgewood | Bel Air | Bel Air 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Einstein | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Elkton | Bel Air | Bel Air 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Bel Air | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Francis Scott Key | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Franklin | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Frederick | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Friendly | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Gaithersburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Glen Burnie | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Great Mills | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Guilford Park | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Gwynn Park | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Hammond | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Harford Tech | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Havre De Grace | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hereford | |
| High Point | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Joppatowne | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kennedy | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kent County | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bel Air | |
| La Plata | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Lackey | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Lake Clifton | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lansdowne | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Laurel | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Linganore | Linganore | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Long Reach | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Magruder | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Mergenthaler | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| MJ McDonough | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| New Town | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Caroline | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North County | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| North Dorchester | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North East Cecil | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Bel Air | |
| North Hagerstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northeast AA | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northwestern PG | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northwood | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Oakdale | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Oakland Mills | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Old Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Overlea | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Owings Mills | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Oxon Hill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Paint Branch | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Parkdale | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Patapsco | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Patterson HS | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Patterson Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Patuxent | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Perry Hall | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Perryville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Pikesville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Poolesville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Randallstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Reservoir | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Rising Sun | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | Bel Air | |
| River Hill | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Rockville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Seneca Valley | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Severn Run | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| South Carroll | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| South Hagerstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South River | |
| Southern AA | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St Charles | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Surrattsville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Thomas Stone | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Watkins Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Western STES | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Westlake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wicomico | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wilde Lake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Winston Churchill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Winters Mill | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Woodlawn | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wootton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| DC International PCS | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Jackson Reed | Bel Air | Bel Air |
PowerWise = 157
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 14- 0 -21.02 14.57 0.45 0.87 13.02
0 A Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 16- 4 -18.76 16.83 0.45 0.87 14.97
0 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 16- 9 -18.45 17.15 -0.45 0.87 14.48
0 H Archbishop Cur (10- 5, 89.6) 1-14 -10.33 25.27 -0.45 0.87 -9.34
0 A Howard (13- 4, 87.1) 3- 4 -12.82 22.77 0.45 0.87 -10.73
0 A Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 18- 1 -28.80 6.79 0.45 0.87 6.27
0 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 1-12 -11.14 24.45 -0.45 0.87 -10.04
0 A Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 17-11 -21.85 13.74 0.45 0.87 12.30
0 H Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 2-16 -9.06 26.53 -0.45 0.87 -8.24
0 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 20- 7 -22.34 13.25 -0.45 0.87 11.10
0 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 6-10 -15.79 19.81 0.45 0.87 -13.30
0 A City College ( 8- 4, 78.0) 16- 0 -21.92 13.67 0.45 0.87 12.24
0 A Baltimore Poly (11- 2, 82.3) 13- 6 -17.59 18.00 0.45 0.87 15.99
0 A Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 3-17 -5.52 30.07 0.45 0.87 -4.40
------
44.32
|
winning pts = 100.3677 losing points = -56.0456
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------