--- 07-19-25 08:24 PDT
safe3step boys Tulsa Alliance 1
Tulsa Alliance
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 93.9785
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 A 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8-12
228 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 6-16
304 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 14-10
306 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8- 7
310 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 15-12
325 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 7- 6
327 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 5-10
401 H Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 5-11
403 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 5- 8
411 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 12-15
416 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 3-13
422 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 13-14
430 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 15- 4
501 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 8-14
505 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A 405 LC 8-12 -4 -2 -1.80
228 H Cascia Hall 6-16 -10 -6 0.00
304 A Broken Arrow 14-10 4 -3 +++ 6.55
306 H 405 LC 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.51
310 A Union 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.00
325 H Owasso 7- 6 1 2 -1.35
327 A Jenks 5-10 -5 -4 -1.15
401 H Broken Arrow 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.14
403 A Bixby 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.29
411 H Union 12-15 -3 0 - -2.70
416 A Cascia Hall 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
422 H Bixby 13-14 -1 0 -0.99
430 A Owasso 15- 4 11 2 + 3.35
501 H Jenks 8-14 -6 -3 -1.85
505 A Jenks 9-15 -6 -4 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 H Broken Arrow 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.14
403 A Bixby 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.29
411 H Union 12-15 -3 0 - -2.70
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Broken Arrow 14-10 4 -3 +++ 6.55
310 A Union 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.00
306 H 405 LC 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.51
430 A Owasso 15- 4 11 2 + 3.35
|
Tulsa Alliance Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets
the Point?
| Head-2-Head
Point |
Common Opponent
Point |
Power Rating
Point |
| 405 LC |
405 LC |
|
tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 3) |
405 LC |
| Bixby |
Bixby |
Bixby |
| |
| Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
|
Broken Arrow 5- 1 vs 3- 5 |
|
| Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
| |
| Jenks |
Jenks |
Jenks |
| |
| Owasso |
Tulsa Alliance |
Tulsa Alliance |
| |
| Union |
Tulsa Alliance |
|
Tulsa Alliance 3- 5 vs 0- 6 |
|
PowerWise = 2
division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8-12 -4.07 3.86 0.35 1.05 -3.90
0 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 6-16 -0.00 7.92 -0.35 1.05 -0.37
0 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 14-10 -3.72 4.21 0.35 1.05 4.78
0 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8- 7 -4.07 3.86 -0.35 1.05 3.68
0 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 15-12 -5.27 2.65 0.35 1.05 3.15
0 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 7- 6 -7.92 1.00 -0.35 1.05 0.68
0 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 5-10 -2.42 5.50 0.35 1.05 -2.17
0 H Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 5-11 -3.72 4.21 -0.35 1.05 -4.27
0 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 5- 8 -5.56 2.36 0.35 1.05 -5.48
0 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 12-15 -5.27 2.65 -0.35 1.05 -5.90
0 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 3-13 -0.00 7.92 0.35 1.05 -0.37
0 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 13-14 -5.56 2.36 -0.35 1.05 -6.21
0 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 15- 4 -7.92 1.00 0.35 1.05 1.42
0 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 8-14 -2.42 5.50 -0.35 1.05 -2.91
0 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-15 -2.42 5.50 0.35 1.05 -2.17
------
-20.02
|
winning pts = 13.7168 losing points = -33.7379
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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