All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.9700012 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region (15- 5, 89.8) 7-10 401 A Dracut (17- 4, 84.9) 9- 5 404 A Westford Academy (16- 5, 85.2) 14- 6 408 H Chelmsford ( 2-17, 77.5) 17- 5 411 A North Andover ( 9-11, 83.1) 20- 2 415 A Andover HS (13- 4, 88.0) 16- 7 417 H Burlington (11- 9, 81.0) 18- 7 419 H Central Catholic ( 7-13, 80.6) 20- 8 422 A Exeter HS (13- 7, 81.5) 15- 8 424 H Nauset (17- 5, 84.4) 19- 7 428 N Longmeadow (17- 4, 88.7) 11-10 501 A Chelmsford ( 2-17, 77.5) 13- 5 503 A Needham (12- 8, 83.0) 16- 9 508 A Central Catholic ( 7-13, 80.6) 19- 8 513 H Andover HS (13- 4, 88.0) 14-13 515 H North Andover ( 9-11, 83.1) 16- 5 519 H Boston College HS (19- 4, 92.0) 8- 7 526 H Pinkerton Academy (16- 5, 82.6) 16- 4 602 H Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 75.3) 19- 1 604 H Agawam (13- 4, 78.9) 21- 6 608 H Walpole (17- 4, 86.6) 11- 6 611 N Mansfield (20- 2, 88.8) 10- 7 614 N Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 17-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.99 401 A Dracut 9- 5 4 5 -1.22 404 A Westford Academy 14- 6 8 4 + 2.04 408 H Chelmsford 17- 5 12 14 0.00 411 A North Andover 20- 2 18 7 0.00 415 A Andover HS 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.89 417 H Burlington 18- 7 11 10 0.00 419 H Central Catholic 20- 8 12 11 0.00 422 A Exeter HS 15- 8 7 8 n/a 424 H Nauset 19- 7 12 7 0.00 428 N Longmeadow 11-10 1 2 -1.26 501 A Chelmsford 13- 5 8 12 0.00 503 A Needham 16- 9 7 7 0.00 508 A Central Catholic 19- 8 11 9 0.00 513 H Andover HS 14-13 1 3 - -2.81 515 H North Andover 16- 5 11 8 0.00 519 H Boston College HS 8- 7 1 0 1.16 526 H Pinkerton Academy 16- 4 12 8 n/a 602 H Tantasqua Regional 19- 1 18 16 0.00 604 H Agawam 21- 6 15 12 0.00 608 H Walpole 11- 6 5 5 -0.23 611 N Mansfield 10- 7 3 2 0.88 614 N Reading Memorial 17-16 1 3 - -2.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.99 513 H Andover HS 14-13 1 3 - -2.81 614 N Reading Memorial 17-16 1 3 - -2.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Andover HS 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.89 404 A Westford Academy 14- 6 8 4 + 2.04
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.97 Power Rank................. 2 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 64.68 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6853 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 28 RPI Rating............... .7078 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 18.0 Championship Rank ......... 1 Selection sum ........... 33 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 210. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 160. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 22- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0