Bay City Western
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 78.6736Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 8- 4 326 A Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 5- 3 408 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 11- 4 410 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 3-10 411 H Traverse City Centra ( 5-13, 83.9) 3- 9 415 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-11 418 A Waterford United ( 7-11, 82.5) 4-13 422 H Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 7- 3 424 H Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 7- 8 426 H Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4- 3 426 A West Bloomfield ( 2-14, 76.7) 5- 3 428 H Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 5- 9 429 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 1-12 501 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 8-17 505 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 11-15 506 A Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 6- 9 508 A Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4-10 515 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 H Bay City John Glenn 8- 4 4 1 + 3.08
326 A Midland 5- 3 2 3 -1.39
408 H Lapeer 11- 4 7 1 + 3.98
410 H Grand Blanc 3-10 -7 -8 0.00
411 H Traverse City Centra 3- 9 -6 -5 -0.31
415 A Flint Powers 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.02
418 A Waterford United 4-13 -9 -4 -0.67
422 H Davison 7- 3 4 2 1.56
424 H Saginaw Heritage 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.74
426 H Bay City John Glenn 4- 3 1 1 0.08
426 A West Bloomfield 5- 3 2 2 0.49
428 H Linden 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.51
429 A Saginaw Heritage 1-12 -11 -5 -0.27
501 H Midland Dow 8-17 -9 -7 0.00
505 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.42
506 A Bay City Central 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.46
508 A Bay City John Glenn 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.93
515 A Flint Powers 9-14 -5 -4 -0.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 A Bay City John Glenn 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.93 505 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Bay City John Glenn 8- 4 4 1 + 3.08 408 H Lapeer 11- 4 7 1 + 3.98 415 A Flint Powers 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.02 424 H Saginaw Heritage 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.74 |
Bay City Western Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Bay City Central | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Belleville | Belleville | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United | ||
| Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | ||
| Bishop Foley | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brighton B | Brighton B | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton B | |
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Bay City Western | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cass Tech | Bay City Western | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| Chelsea | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Bay City Western | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Clarkston | |
| Coopersville | Coopersville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coopersville | |
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Dakota | Dakota | ||
| Davison | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | De La Salle | |
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Kentwood | Bay City Western | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| East Lansing | East Lansing | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Bay City Western | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| Fenton | Fenton | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Fenton | |
| Flint Powers | Flint Powers | Flint Powers | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Forest Hills Central | |
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | ||
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | ||
| Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grandville | |
| Grosse Ile | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Harper Creek | Harper Creek | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland | ||
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holland West Ottawa | |
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | Jenison | ||
| Kalamazoo United | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | ||
| L'Anse Creuse | Bay City Western | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| L'Anse Creuse North | L'Anse Creuse North | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | L'Anse Creuse North | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lake Shore | Lake Shore | Lake Shore | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | Lakeview | ||
| Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | ||
| Lapeer | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Linden | Linden | Linden | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | Livonia United | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | Midland Dow | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | Northville | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Novi | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Ortonville Brandon | Bay City Western | Bay City Western 3- 3 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Pennfield | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Petoskey | Petoskey | Petoskey 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Pinckney | Bay City Western | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | Plymouth | ||
| Port Huron United | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Portage Central | Portage Central | Portage Central | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Rochester HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rochester HS | |
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rochester Stoney Cre | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Royal Oak Shrine | Royal Oak Shrine | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Bay City Western | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Western | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Clair | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Bay City Western | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay City Western | |
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 3- 6) ( 3- 5) | Swartz Creek | |
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | Traverse City West 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Troy | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| University Detroit J | University Detroit J | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | University Detroit J | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | ||
| Waterford United | Waterford United | Waterford United | ||
| West Bloomfield | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bay City John ( 6- 8, 78.2) 8- 4 -21.65 10.66 -0.50 0.89 9.07
0 A Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 5- 3 -25.11 7.20 0.50 0.89 6.87
0 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 11- 4 -21.75 10.57 -0.50 0.89 8.98
0 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 3-10 -12.64 19.68 -0.50 0.89 -11.72
0 H Traverse City ( 5-13, 83.9) 3- 9 -16.04 16.27 -0.50 0.89 -14.76
0 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-11 -17.71 14.61 0.50 0.89 -15.35
0 A Waterford Unit ( 7-11, 82.5) 4-13 -17.40 14.91 0.50 0.89 -15.08
0 H Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 7- 3 -23.17 9.14 -0.50 0.89 7.71
0 H Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 7- 8 -16.99 15.32 -0.50 0.89 -15.60
0 H Bay City John ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4- 3 -21.65 10.66 -0.50 0.89 9.07
0 A West Bloomfiel ( 2-14, 76.7) 5- 3 -23.23 9.08 0.50 0.89 8.55
0 H Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 5- 9 -18.24 14.08 -0.50 0.89 -16.71
0 A Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 1-12 -16.99 15.32 0.50 0.89 -14.72
0 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 8-17 -13.67 18.64 -0.50 0.89 -12.64
0 A Goodrich/Lake ( 6- 8, 79.8) 11-15 -20.15 12.16 0.50 0.89 -17.53
0 A Bay City Centr (10- 6, 79.7) 6- 9 -20.19 12.12 0.50 0.89 -17.57
0 A Bay City John ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4-10 -21.65 10.66 0.50 0.89 -18.87
0 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-14 -17.71 14.61 0.50 0.89 -15.35
------
-135.66
|
winning pts = 50.2469 losing points = -185.9050
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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