---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Bethesda-Chevy Chase 1 
  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
W-L: ( 9- 6)  PR =    82.7848
 
Schedule/Results All Games
 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 A Blake                                ( 8- 6, 82.3)     6-11   
 326 H Quince Orchard                       ( 8- 6, 82.1)    15-10   
 328 H Sherwood                             (15- 2, 89.6)     3-15   
 402 A Walt Whitman                         (14- 3, 86.9)    10-11   
 404 H Winston Churchill                    (10- 3, 83.6)     9-10   
 407 A Paint Branch                         ( 3-10, 73.4)    11- 2   
 408 A Walter Johnson                       ( 6- 7, 82.7)     7- 6   
 409 H Seneca Valley                        ( 8- 5, 77.9)    14- 4   
 411 A Gaithersburg                         ( 5- 8, 77.5)     9- 6   
 424 H Northwest                            ( 9- 5, 80.9)     9- 2   
 428 H Northwood                            ( 6- 8, 73.6)    18- 5   
 502 A Wootton                              ( 4-10, 77.4)    11- 3   
 507 H Gaithersburg                         ( 5- 8, 77.5)    18- 1   
 509 A Winston Churchill                    (10- 3, 83.6)     4-13   
 512 A Walt Whitman                         (14- 3, 86.9)     9-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Blake                   6-11      -5     0    --    -5.03
   326 H Quince Orchard         15-10       5     1    +      3.83
   328 H Sherwood                3-15     -12    -6           0.00
   402 A Walt Whitman           10-11      -1    -5    +      3.56
   404 H Winston Churchill       9-10      -1     0          -0.63
   407 A Paint Branch           11- 2       9     9           0.00
   408 A Walter Johnson          7- 6       1     0           1.40
   409 H Seneca Valley          14- 4      10     5           0.00
   411 A Gaithersburg            9- 6       3     5          -1.80
   424 H Northwest               9- 2       7     2    +      2.68
   428 H Northwood              18- 5      13    10           0.00
   502 A Wootton                11- 3       8     5           0.11
   507 H Gaithersburg           18- 1      17     6           0.00
   509 A Winston Churchill       4-13      -9    -1    -     -3.74
   512 A Walt Whitman            9-14      -5    -5          -0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Blake                   6-11      -5     0    --    -5.03
   509 A Winston Churchill       4-13      -9    -1    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Quince Orchard         15-10       5     1    +      3.83
   402 A Walt Whitman           10-11      -1    -5    +      3.56
   424 H Northwest               9- 2       7     2    +      2.68

Bethesda-Chevy Chase Evaluation 

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point? 		Head-2-Head
Point 		Common Opponent
Point 		Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bishop McNamara Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Friends Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Garrett County LC Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Georgetown Day Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Jemicy School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Salisbury School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Sandy Spring Friends Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Academy for College Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Atholton Bethesda-Chevy Chase tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Baltimore Polytechni Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bladensburg Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair Bethesda-Chevy Chase insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blake Blake Blake  
Bohemia Manor Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Calvert Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Cambridge SD Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Carver A&T Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Clarksburg Bethesda-Chevy Chase insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) Damascus
Digital Harbor Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Dr Henry Wise Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Dundalk Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
DuVal Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Eastern Tech Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Edmondson-Westside Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Einstein Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Eleanor Roosevelt Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Elkton Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Fairmont Heights Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Francis Scott Key Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Frederick Douglass B Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Frederick Douglass P Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Friendly Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Gaithersburg Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Glen Burnie Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Great Mills Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Guilford Park Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Gwynn Park Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Hammond Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Harford Tech Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Havre De Grace Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Kennedy Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Kent County Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Lake Clifton Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Lansdowne Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Laurel Bethesda-Chevy Chase insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Long Reach Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Magruder Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Mergenthaler Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
MJ McDonough Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
New Town Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Caroline Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North East Cecil Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Hagerstown Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Northwestern PG Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northwood Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Oakdale Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Oakland Mills Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Old Mill Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Overlea Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Owings Mills Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Oxon Hill Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Paint Branch Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Parkdale Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patapsco Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patterson HS Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patterson Mill Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patuxent Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Perry Hall Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Perryville Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Pikesville Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Poolesville Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Randallstown Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Reginald F Lewis Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Reservoir Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Rising Sun Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Bethesda-Chevy Chase insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Seneca Valley Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Severn Run Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood  
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   2- 3 vs 0- 5
St Charles Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Surrattsville Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Thomas Stone Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Urbana Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman Walt Whitman  
Walter Johnson Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Watkins Mill Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Western STES Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Westlake Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Wicomico Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Wilde Lake Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill Winston Churchill  
Winters Mill Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Woodlawn Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Wootton Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Archbishop Carroll Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
DC International PCS Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Jackson Reed Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase

PowerWise = 138


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Blake           ( 8- 6, 82.3)     6-11      -17.59      18.01       0.45         0.81           -13.87
   0 H Quince Orchard  ( 8- 6, 82.1)    15-10      -17.84      17.75      -0.45         0.81            14.00
   0 H Sherwood        (15- 2, 89.6)     3-15      -10.31      25.28      -0.45         0.81            -8.70
   0 A Walt Whitman    (14- 3, 86.9)    10-11      -13.00      22.60       0.45         0.81           -10.16
   0 H Winston Church  (10- 3, 83.6)     9-10      -16.30      19.29      -0.45         0.81           -13.55
   0 A Paint Branch    ( 3-10, 73.4)    11- 2      -26.49       9.11       0.45         0.81             7.73
   0 A Walter Johnson  ( 6- 7, 82.7)     7- 6      -17.16      18.43       0.45         0.81            15.27
   0 H Seneca Valley   ( 8- 5, 77.9)    14- 4      -21.99      13.61      -0.45         0.81            10.65
   0 A Gaithersburg    ( 5- 8, 77.5)     9- 6      -22.36      13.23       0.45         0.81            11.07
   0 H Northwest       ( 9- 5, 80.9)     9- 2      -18.99      16.60      -0.45         0.81            13.07
   0 H Northwood       ( 6- 8, 73.6)    18- 5      -26.26       9.33      -0.45         0.81             7.19
   0 A Wootton         ( 4-10, 77.4)    11- 3      -22.46      13.14       0.45         0.81            10.99
   0 H Gaithersburg    ( 5- 8, 77.5)    18- 1      -22.36      13.23      -0.45         0.81            10.35
   0 A Winston Church  (10- 3, 83.6)     4-13      -16.30      19.29       0.45         0.81           -12.83
   0 A Walt Whitman    (14- 3, 86.9)     9-14      -13.00      22.60       0.45         0.81           -10.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        31.05

winning pts = 100.3133 losing points = -69.2608

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------