Bay City Central
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 79.7128Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 4- 8 410 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 5-10 411 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 4-13, 73.6) 11- 1 415 A Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 9- 7 417 A Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 9- 3 422 A Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 11- 5 424 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 4-18 426 H Sault Area ( 0- 5, 77.6) 5- 4 426 H West Bloomfield ( 2-14, 76.7) 7- 2 428 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 4-13, 73.6) 6- 3 429 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 3- 8 503 A East Kentwood ( 0-17, 69.9) 9- 3 505 A L'Anse Creuse ( 7-11, 74.7) 12- 5 506 H Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 9- 6 508 H Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-10 516 A Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 0-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Saginaw Heritage 4- 8 -4 -4 -0.31
410 A Davison 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.49
411 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 11- 1 10 7 0.00
415 A Midland 9- 7 2 4 - -2.43
417 A Bay City John Glenn 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.03
422 A Lapeer 11- 5 6 1 + 3.94
424 H Midland Dow 4-18 -14 -6 0.00
426 H Sault Area 5- 4 1 3 -1.56
426 H West Bloomfield 7- 2 5 4 1.46
428 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 6- 3 3 6 - -2.00
429 H Grand Blanc 3- 8 -5 -7 0.00
503 A East Kentwood 9- 3 6 9 0.00
505 A L'Anse Creuse 12- 5 7 5 0.46
506 H Bay City Western 9- 6 3 2 1.46
508 H Flint Powers 9-10 -1 -2 0.98
516 A Oxford 0-17 -17 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Davison 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.49 415 A Midland 9- 7 2 4 - -2.43 428 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 6- 3 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Bay City John Glenn 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.03 422 A Lapeer 11- 5 6 1 + 3.94 |
Bay City Central Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Bay City Western | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Belleville | Belleville | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Birmingham United | |
| Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | ||
| Bishop Foley | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Brighton B | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton B | |
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cass Tech | Bay City Central | Bay City Central 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chelsea | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Bay City Central | Bay City Central 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Coopersville | Coopersville | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Coopersville | |
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cranbrook | |
| Dakota | Dakota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dakota | |
| Davison | Davison | Davison | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | De La Salle | |
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Kentwood | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay City Central | |
| Fenton | Fenton | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Fenton | |
| Flint Powers | Flint Powers | Flint Powers | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Hills Eastern | |
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | |
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Haven | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | ||
| Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Rapids Christi | |
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Ile | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Harper Creek | Harper Creek | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holland Christian | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holland West Ottawa | |
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | Howell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Jenison | |
| Kalamazoo United | Bay City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay City Central | |
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | ||
| L'Anse Creuse | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| L'Anse Creuse North | Bay City Central | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bay City Central | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Shore | Lake Shore | Lake Shore | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | Lakeview | ||
| Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lansing Catholic | |
| Lapeer | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Linden | Linden | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Linden | |
| Livonia United | Livonia United | Livonia United | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | Midland Dow | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northview | |
| Northville | Northville | Northville | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Novi | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Ortonville Brandon | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Bay City Central | |
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Pennfield | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Petoskey | Petoskey | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Petoskey | |
| Pinckney | Bay City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | Plymouth | ||
| Port Huron United | Bay City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay City Central | |
| Portage Central | Portage Central | Portage Central | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Reeths Puffer | |
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Rochester HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rochester HS | |
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rochester Stoney Cre | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Bay City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay City Central | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Clair | Bay City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay City Central | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Swartz Creek | Bay City Central | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Bay City Central | |
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Traverse City West | |
| Troy | Troy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| University Detroit J | University Detroit J | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | University Detroit J | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Walled Lake Northern | |
| Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | ||
| Waterford United | Waterford United | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Waterford United | |
| West Bloomfield | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 4- 8 -16.99 15.32 0.50 1.00 -16.56
0 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 5-10 -23.17 9.14 0.50 1.00 -22.76
0 H St Johns/Ovid- ( 4-13, 73.6) 11- 1 -26.31 6.01 -0.50 1.00 5.53
0 A Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 9- 7 -25.11 7.20 0.50 1.00 7.73
0 A Bay City John ( 6- 8, 78.2) 9- 3 -21.65 10.66 0.50 1.00 11.20
0 A Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 11- 5 -21.75 10.57 0.50 1.00 11.10
0 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 4-18 -13.67 18.64 -0.50 1.00 -14.22
0 H Sault Area ( 0- 5, 77.6) 5- 4 -22.25 10.06 -0.50 1.00 9.60
0 H West Bloomfiel ( 2-14, 76.7) 7- 2 -23.23 9.08 -0.50 1.00 8.62
0 A St Johns/Ovid- ( 4-13, 73.6) 6- 3 -26.31 6.01 0.50 1.00 6.53
0 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 3- 8 -12.64 19.68 -0.50 1.00 -13.18
0 A East Kentwood ( 0-17, 69.9) 9- 3 -30.00 2.32 0.50 1.00 2.82
0 A L'Anse Creuse ( 7-11, 74.7) 12- 5 -25.22 7.09 0.50 1.00 7.61
0 H Bay City Weste ( 6-12, 78.7) 9- 6 -21.23 11.09 -0.50 1.00 10.63
0 H Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 9-10 -17.71 14.61 -0.50 1.00 -18.27
0 A Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 0-17 -12.87 19.44 0.50 1.00 -12.42
------
-16.04
|
winning pts = 81.3652 losing points = -97.4030
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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