---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Joel Barlow 1
  
Joel Barlow           
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 89.2443

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 3-13 408 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 5- 2 410 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 20- 3 415 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 67.9) 23- 6 417 H Notre Dame-West Have (11- 6, 91.6) 7-15 419 H Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 72.4) 20- 0 422 H Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 17- 4 424 H Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 13- 4 429 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 18- 8 501 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 6-13 503 A Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 8- 6 506 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 15- 9 510 A Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 7- 2 513 A Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 10- 4 515 H Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 76.4) 18- 2 519 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 15- 3 523 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 14- 5 527 H New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 2- 4 607 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 16- 4 611 N Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 7- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Cheshire HS             3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   408 A New Fairfield           5- 2       3    -2    ++     4.75
   410 A Pomperaug              20- 3      17     9           0.00
   415 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   23- 6      17    22           0.00
   417 H Notre Dame-West Have    7-15      -8    -2    -     -3.08
   419 H Bunnell-Stratford      20- 0      20    17           0.00
   422 H Weston                 17- 4      13     6           0.00
   424 H Brookfield             13- 4       9     5           0.20
   429 A New Milford            18- 8      10     5           0.06
   501 A Greenwich HS            6-13      -7    -7           0.00
   503 A Daniel Hand             8- 6       2     0    +      2.19
   506 H Newtown                15- 9       6     5           0.40
   510 A Masuk                   7- 2       5     7           0.00
   513 A Bethel                 10- 4       6     3           1.64
   515 H Immaculate  Danbury    18- 2      16    13           0.00
   519 H Masuk                  15- 3      12     8           0.00
   523 H Bethel                 14- 5       9     4           0.69
   527 H New Fairfield           2- 4      -2    -1          -1.20
   607 H East Catholic          16- 4      12     7           0.00
   611 N Guilford                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Notre Dame-West Have    7-15      -8    -2    -     -3.08
   611 N Guilford                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A New Fairfield           5- 2       3    -2    ++     4.75
   503 A Daniel Hand             8- 6       2     0    +      2.19

Joel Barlow Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Avon HS Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bacon Academy Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Berlin Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Bethel Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Branford Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Brien McMahon Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bristol Co-Op Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Brookfield Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Bunnell-Stratford Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Canton Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Capital-Classical Pr Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS  
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Conard
Cromwell Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Danbury Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Daniel Hand Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
East Lyme Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Ellington Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Enfield Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
EO Smith Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Fairfield Warde Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Farmington Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Fitch Groton Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Foran Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Glastonbury Glastonbury insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS  
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Hall Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Hamden Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Holy Cross Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Immaculate Danbury Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Jonathan Law Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Lakeview United Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Ledyard-Griswold Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Lewis Mills Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Lyman Hall Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Maloney-Platt Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Masuk Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Middletown Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Montville Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Morgan School Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - (11- 0) (11- 0) New Fairfield
New Milford Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Newington Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Newtown Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
North Branford Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
North Haven Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Joel Barlow
Northwest Catholic Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Norwalk Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Norwich Free Academy Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Norwich Tech Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Notre Dame-Fairfield Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Old Saybrook Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Pomperaug Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Prince-Cheney Tech Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
RHAM Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Rocky Hill Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Sheehan Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Joel Barlow
Shelton Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Simsbury Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Joel Barlow
Somers Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Joel Barlow
South Windsor Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Joel Barlow
Southington Joel Barlow tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Joel Barlow
St Bernard-Wheeler Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stamford Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Staples
Stonington Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Suffield Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Tolland Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Trumbull Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) Joel Barlow
Valley Regional Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Waterford Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Watertown Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
West Haven Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Westhill Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Weston Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Wethersfield Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Wilbur Cross Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wilton
Windsor Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Wolcott Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Woodstock Academy Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Xavier Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   4- 3 vs 1- 6

PowerWise = 83


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cheshire HS     (14- 4, 94.3)     3-13       -5.60      34.65       0.47         0.85            -4.36
   0 A New Fairfield   (20- 2, 90.5)     5- 2       -9.38      30.87       0.47         0.85            26.66
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 79.7)    20- 3      -20.23      20.02       0.47         0.85            17.43
   0 H Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1-15, 67.9)    23- 6      -31.96       8.29      -0.47         0.85             6.65
   0 H Notre Dame-Wes  (11- 6, 91.6)     7-15       -8.26      31.99      -0.47         0.85            -7.43
   0 H Bunnell-Stratf  ( 3-13, 72.4)    20- 0      -27.50      12.76      -0.47         0.85            10.45
   0 H Weston          ( 9-10, 83.9)    17- 4      -15.97      24.29      -0.47         0.85            20.25
   0 H Brookfield      (12- 8, 84.9)    13- 4      -14.98      25.27      -0.47         0.85            21.09
   0 A New Milford     ( 9- 9, 83.8)    18- 8      -16.07      24.19       0.47         0.85            20.97
   0 A Greenwich HS    (11- 5, 95.8)     6-13       -4.12      36.14       0.47         0.85            -3.10
   0 A Daniel Hand     (13- 8, 89.0)     8- 6      -10.94      29.31       0.47         0.85            25.33
   0 H Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)    15- 9      -14.78      25.47      -0.47         0.85            21.26
   0 A Masuk           ( 8-10, 81.5)     7- 2      -18.35      21.90       0.47         0.85            19.03
   0 A Bethel          (13- 7, 85.4)    10- 4      -14.49      25.76       0.47         0.85            22.31
   0 H Immaculate  Da  ( 6-10, 76.4)    18- 2      -23.51      16.75      -0.47         0.85            13.84
   0 H Masuk           ( 8-10, 81.5)    15- 3      -18.35      21.90      -0.47         0.85            18.23
   0 H Bethel          (13- 7, 85.4)    14- 5      -14.49      25.76      -0.47         0.85            21.51
   0 H New Fairfield   (20- 2, 90.5)     2- 4       -9.38      30.87      -0.47         0.85            -8.38
   0 H East Catholic   ( 8- 9, 83.0)    16- 4      -16.87      23.39      -0.47         0.85            19.49
   0 N Guilford        (13- 8, 86.9)     7- 8      -13.04      27.22      -0.00         0.85           -11.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       250.15

winning pts = 284.5095 losing points = -34.3613

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------