---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:55 PDT

safe3step boys John Bapst Memorial 1
  
John Bapst Memorial   
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 78.2233

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 421 A Lincoln Academy ( 4- 8, 82.0) 1-13 423 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 2-15 430 A MCI-Nokomis ( 0- 8, 74.9) 12- 7 505 A Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 3-16 512 A Cony ( 4-10, 81.0) 4-11 526 A Maranacook-Winthrop (10- 4, 88.1) 7-14 603 A Camden Hills Regiona ( 6- 8, 82.3) 3-16 604 H Mount Blue ( 4- 5, 83.8) 5-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Lincoln Academy         1-13     -12    -5          -0.45
   423 A Erskine Academy         2-15     -13    -6           0.00
   430 A MCI-Nokomis            12- 7       5     3    +      2.38
   505 A Brewer                  3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   512 A Cony                    4-11      -7    -3          -1.53
   526 A Maranacook-Winthrop     7-14      -7   -11           0.00
   603 A Camden Hills Regiona    3-16     -13    -5          -0.21
   604 H Mount Blue              5-10      -5    -5          -0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A MCI-Nokomis            12- 7       5     3    +      2.38

John Bapst Memorial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor Bangor   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Biddeford Biddeford   Biddeford
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bonny Eagle
Brewer Brewer Brewer  
Brunswick Brunswick insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brunswick
Camden Hills Regiona Camden Hills Regiona Camden Hills Regiona  
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheverus
Cony Cony Cony  
Deering Deering insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Deering
Edward Little Edward Little Edward Little   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Erskine Academy Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Fryeburg Academy
Gardiner Area Gardiner Area Gardiner Area   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Gorham Gorham   Gorham
Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/ insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gray/New Gloucester/
Greely Greely insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greely
Hampden Academy Hampden Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hampden Academy
Houlton/Hogdon Houlton/Hogdon insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Houlton/Hogdon
Kennebunk Kennebunk insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kennebunk
Lake Region Lake Region   Lake Region
Lawrence/Winslow Lawrence/Winslow tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Lawrence/Winslow
Lewiston Lewiston Lewiston   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy  
Maranacook-Winthrop Maranacook-Winthrop Maranacook-Winthrop  
Marshwood Marshwood   Marshwood
Massabesic Massabesic   Massabesic
MCI-Nokomis John Bapst Memorial John Bapst Memorial  
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Morse/Boothbay Morse/Boothbay Morse/Boothbay   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Mount Blue Mount Blue Mount Blue  
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Noble/Sanford
North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Yarmouth Acade
Oak Hill Oak Hill Oak Hill   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Oxford Hills Oxford Hills insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Oxford Hills
Portland Portland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Portland
Scarborough Scarborough   Scarborough
South Portland South Portland   South Portland
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Traip Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Traip Academy
Waynflete School Waynflete School   Waynflete School
Wells Wells tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wells
Westbrook Westbrook tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westbrook
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Windham
Yarmouth Yarmouth   Yarmouth
York York   York

PowerWise = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lincoln Academ  ( 4- 8, 82.0)     1-13      -17.87      10.57       0.74         1.62           -27.83
   0 A Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 83.9)     2-15      -15.96      12.48       0.74         1.62           -24.73
   0 A MCI-Nokomis     ( 0- 8, 74.9)    12- 7      -25.04       3.41       0.74         1.62             6.74
   0 A Brewer          ( 4- 4, 83.1)     3-16      -16.80      11.64       0.74         1.62           -26.10
   0 A Cony            ( 4-10, 81.0)     4-11      -18.94       9.50       0.74         1.62           -29.58
   0 A Maranacook-Win  (10- 4, 88.1)     7-14      -11.84      16.60       0.74         1.62           -18.04
   0 A Camden Hills R  ( 6- 8, 82.3)     3-16      -17.62      10.82       0.74         1.62           -27.44
   0 H Mount Blue      ( 4- 5, 83.8)     5-10      -16.14      12.31      -0.74         1.62           -27.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -174.41

winning pts = 6.7357 losing points = -181.1421

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------