Ballard
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 92.5114Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 315 H Seattle Academy ( 5- 8, 92.0) 9-10 318 A Eastside Catholic ( 8- 4, 94.7) 6-11 320 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 12- 9 325 A Kennedy Catholic ( 4-10, 86.9) 19- 6 327 A Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 14- 5 401 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 13- 5 403 A Blanchet ( 5- 7, 89.8) 13-12 405 A Lakeside ( 5- 7, 89.3) 15- 7 408 A Bellarmine Prep ( 8- 6, 96.0) 7-19 410 A Nathan Hale (10- 2, 92.1) 17- 3 425 A Bainbridge Island (12- 5, 91.3) 9-10 429 H West Seattle ( 3- 7, 83.4) 15- 3 501 H Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 19- 8 503 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 3-15 512 H Anacortes ( 9- 3, 88.2) 10- 3 517 H Gig Harbor (11- 5, 87.3) 13- 5 521 A Mercer Island (12- 3, 99.1) 5-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
315 H Seattle Academy 9-10 -1 1 -2.00
318 A Eastside Catholic 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.33
320 H Woodinville 12- 9 3 3 0.07
325 A Kennedy Catholic 19- 6 13 5 0.00
327 A Lincoln 14- 5 9 5 0.20
401 A Shorecrest 13- 5 8 5 0.36
403 A Blanchet 13-12 1 2 -1.18
405 A Lakeside 15- 7 8 3 + 2.33
408 A Bellarmine Prep 7-19 -12 -4 -1.03
410 A Nathan Hale 17- 3 14 0 ++ 5.14
425 A Bainbridge Island 9-10 -1 1 -1.69
429 H West Seattle 15- 3 12 10 0.00
501 H Roosevelt 19- 8 11 6 0.00
503 A Eastlake 3-15 -12 -8 0.00
512 H Anacortes 10- 3 7 5 0.17
517 H Gig Harbor 13- 5 8 6 0.00
521 A Mercer Island 5-16 -11 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Eastside Catholic 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Nathan Hale 17- 3 14 0 ++ 5.14 405 A Lakeside 15- 7 8 3 + 2.33 |
Ballard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Archbishop Murphy | Ballard | Ballard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Arlington | Ballard | Ballard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Auburn Riverside | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ballard | |
| Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | ||
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | ||
| Bellevue | Bellevue | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Bellevue | |
| Bellingham | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard | |
| Blanchet | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bonney Lake | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Bothell | Bothell | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Bothell | |
| Burlington-Edison | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Camas | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ballard | |
| Cedarcrest | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Chiawana | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Curtis | Curtis | Curtis 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| East Valley | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | Eastlake | ||
| Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | ||
| Emerald Ridge | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Enumclaw | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ballard | |
| Franklin | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gig Harbor | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Glacier Peak | |
| Graham Kapowsin | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Hanford | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Hermiston | Hermiston | Hermiston | ||
| Inglemoor | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Interlake | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Issaquah | Ballard | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Ballard | |
| Jackson | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Juanita | Ballard | Ballard 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Kamiak | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Kamiakin | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ballard | |
| Kennedy Catholic | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Klahowya | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Lake Stevens | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ballard | |
| Lake Washington | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Lakeside | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Liberty | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Lincoln | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Lynden | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marysville Getchell | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Mercer Island | Mercer Island | Mercer Island | ||
| Monroe | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Mount Si | Mount Si | Mount Si 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mount Vernon | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Mountain View | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Nathan Hale | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Newport | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard | |
| North Creek | Ballard | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Ballard | |
| North Kitsap | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| O'Dea | O'Dea | O'Dea 7- 1 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Olympia | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Orting | Ballard | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Ballard | |
| Overlake | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Peninsula | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard | |
| Providence Classical | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Puyallup | Ballard | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Ballard | |
| Redmond | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Richland | Richland | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Richland | |
| Rogers | Rogers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rogers | |
| Roosevelt | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Sammamish | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | ||
| Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep 9- 0 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Sedro-Woolley | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Sehome | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Selah | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ballard | |
| Shorecrest | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Skyline | Skyline | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Skyline | |
| Skyview | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Snohomish | Ballard | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Ballard | |
| South Kitsap | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Southridge | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Squalicum | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stadium | Ballard | Ballard 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Stanwood | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard | |
| Sumner | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Ballard | |
| Tahoma | Tahoma | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Tahoma | |
| Union | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Vashon Island | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Walla Walla | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Wenatchee | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| West Seattle | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| White River | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Woodinville | Ballard | Ballard |
PowerWise = 69
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Seattle Academ ( 5- 8, 92.0) 9-10 -7.87 17.93 -0.52 0.67 -5.60
0 A Eastside Catho ( 8- 4, 94.7) 6-11 -5.24 20.56 0.52 0.67 -3.15
0 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 12- 9 -9.80 16.00 -0.52 0.67 10.33
0 A Kennedy Cathol ( 4-10, 86.9) 19- 6 -12.99 12.81 0.52 0.67 8.90
0 A Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 14- 5 -12.71 13.09 0.52 0.67 9.08
0 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 13- 5 -12.55 13.25 0.52 0.67 9.19
0 A Blanchet ( 5- 7, 89.8) 13-12 -10.09 15.71 0.52 0.67 10.82
0 A Lakeside ( 5- 7, 89.3) 15- 7 -10.58 15.22 0.52 0.67 10.50
0 A Bellarmine Pre ( 8- 6, 96.0) 7-19 -3.94 21.86 0.52 0.67 -2.28
0 A Nathan Hale (10- 2, 92.1) 17- 3 -7.76 18.04 0.52 0.67 12.38
0 A Bainbridge Isl (12- 5, 91.3) 9-10 -8.60 17.20 0.52 0.67 -5.39
0 H West Seattle ( 3- 7, 83.4) 15- 3 -16.53 9.27 -0.52 0.67 5.84
0 H Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 19- 8 -12.44 13.35 -0.52 0.67 8.56
0 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 3-15 -0.36 25.44 0.52 0.67 -0.11
0 H Anacortes ( 9- 3, 88.2) 10- 3 -11.70 14.10 -0.52 0.67 9.06
0 H Gig Harbor (11- 5, 87.3) 13- 5 -12.57 13.23 -0.52 0.67 8.48
0 A Mercer Island (12- 3, 99.1) 5-16 -0.79 25.01 0.52 0.67 -0.18
------
86.43
|
winning pts = 103.1317 losing points = -16.6981
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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