---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Bacon Academy 1
  
Bacon Academy         
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 83.1101

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 19- 4 410 H East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 5- 6 422 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 12- 5 424 A Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 24- 2 426 A Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 11- 7 429 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8- 7 501 A Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 73.2) 15- 0 503 H Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 8-13 506 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 7- 2 508 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 14- 4 510 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 6-16 513 H Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 17- 6 515 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 18- 5 517 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 7- 5 519 H Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 22- 5 521 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 10- 6 527 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 11- 7 529 A East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 7-10 604 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Old Lyme               19- 4      15     8           0.00
   410 H East Lyme               5- 6      -1     0          -1.00
   422 A Stonington             12- 5       7     5           0.00
   424 A Montville              24- 2      22    13           0.00
   426 A Northwest Catholic     11- 7       4     0    ++     4.07
   429 H St Bernard-Wheeler      8- 7       1     2          -0.92
   501 A Norwich Free Academy   15- 0      15     9           0.00
   503 H Granby Memorial         8-13      -5     1    --    -5.74
   506 A Waterford               7- 2       5     3    +      2.06
   508 H Ledyard-Griswold       14- 4      10     8           0.00
   510 A Somers                  6-16     -10    -4          -0.85
   513 H Woodstock Academy      17- 6      11    10           0.00
   515 H Montville              18- 5      13    14           0.00
   517 A New Milford             7- 5       2    -1    +      3.19
   519 H Fitch  Groton          22- 5      17     9           0.00
   521 H Suffield               10- 6       4     2    +      2.28
   527 H St Bernard-Wheeler     11- 7       4     2    +      2.08
   529 A East Lyme               7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.05
   604 H North Branford         11-12      -1     2    -     -3.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Granby Memorial         8-13      -5     1    --    -5.74
   529 A East Lyme               7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.05
   604 H North Branford         11-12      -1     2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Northwest Catholic     11- 7       4     0    ++     4.07
   506 A Waterford               7- 2       5     3    +      2.06
   517 A New Milford             7- 5       2    -1    +      3.19
   521 H Suffield               10- 6       4     2    +      2.28
   527 H St Bernard-Wheeler     11- 7       4     2    +      2.08

Bacon Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amity Regional
Avon HS Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Berlin Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Bethel Bethel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bethel
Branford Bacon Academy tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Bacon Academy
Brien McMahon Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Bristol Co-Op Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Canton Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Bacon Academy
Capital-Classical Pr Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Cromwell Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Danbury Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Bacon Academy
Enfield Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
EO Smith Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Farmington Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Fitch Groton Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Foran Foran insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial  
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Hamden Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Holy Cross Bacon Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Immaculate Danbury Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Bacon Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bacon Academy
Lakeview United Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Ledyard-Griswold Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Lewis Mills Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lyman Hall Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Maloney-Platt Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Masuk Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Middletown Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Montville Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Morgan School Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Bacon Academy
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) New Fairfield
New Milford Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Newington Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford  
North Haven Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Northwest Catholic Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Norwalk Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Norwich Free Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Norwich Tech Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Notre Dame-Fairfield Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Prince-Cheney Tech Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
RHAM RHAM tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Bacon Academy
Rocky Hill Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Sheehan Sheehan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Sheehan
Shelton Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Simsbury Simsbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Southington Southington tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Stamford Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Suffield Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Tolland Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Bacon Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Bacon Academy
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Waterford Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Watertown Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
West Haven Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Westhill Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Weston Weston tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Weston
Wethersfield Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bacon Academy
Wilbur Cross Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Wolcott Bacon Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Woodstock Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Xavier Xavier tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Xavier

PowerWise = 63


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Old Lyme        ( 4-12, 74.7)    19- 4      -25.18      15.07       0.47         0.90            13.92
   0 H East Lyme       (15- 4, 83.6)     5- 6      -16.31      23.94      -0.47         0.90           -15.03
   0 A Stonington      ( 7- 9, 77.5)    12- 5      -22.45      17.81       0.47         0.90            16.37
   0 A Montville       ( 2-14, 69.6)    24- 2      -30.27       9.99       0.47         0.90             9.37
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 8- 9, 82.7)    11- 7      -17.20      23.06       0.47         0.90            21.07
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 9- 7, 81.7)     8- 7      -18.24      22.02      -0.47         0.90            19.29
   0 A Norwich Free A  ( 7- 9, 73.2)    15- 0      -26.67      13.59       0.47         0.90            12.59
   0 H Granby Memoria  (13- 6, 82.8)     8-13      -17.06      23.20      -0.47         0.90           -15.69
   0 A Waterford       (10- 5, 79.7)     7- 2      -20.20      20.05       0.47         0.90            18.38
   0 H Ledyard-Griswo  ( 8- 8, 75.4)    14- 4      -24.51      15.75      -0.47         0.90            13.67
   0 A Somers          (20- 2, 86.8)     6-16      -13.11      27.14       0.47         0.90           -11.32
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 4-11, 73.2)    17- 6      -26.74      13.51      -0.47         0.90            11.67
   0 H Montville       ( 2-14, 69.6)    18- 5      -30.27       9.99      -0.47         0.90             8.52
   0 A New Milford     ( 9- 9, 83.8)     7- 5      -16.07      24.19       0.47         0.90            22.08
   0 H Fitch  Groton   ( 3-10, 74.6)    22- 5      -25.34      14.91      -0.47         0.90            12.93
   0 H Suffield        ( 9- 9, 81.9)    10- 6      -18.04      22.22      -0.47         0.90            19.47
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 9- 7, 81.7)    11- 7      -18.24      22.02      -0.47         0.90            19.29
   0 A East Lyme       (15- 4, 83.6)     7-10      -16.31      23.94       0.47         0.90           -14.18
   0 H North Branford  (11- 8, 81.5)    11-12      -18.44      21.81      -0.47         0.90           -16.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       145.44

winning pts = 218.5902 losing points = -73.1535

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------