Avon
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 86.7979Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Strongsville (11- 8, 85.7) 14- 9 322 H Boardman (13- 6, 83.8) 15- 8 325 A Wooster (18- 3, 92.6) 2-14 331 H Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 13-14 403 A Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 6-16 405 A Bowling Green ( 7-12, 77.8) 18- 4 408 A Bay ( 5- 8, 81.7) 12- 4 410 H Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 8-13 412 H University School Cl ( 7-10, 88.4) 6- 9 417 A Chagrin Falls (11- 7, 90.3) 8-18 426 A Anthony Wayne ( 7- 7, 86.1) 9- 6 429 A Avon Lake (11- 5, 88.0) 7-10 502 A Jackson Massillon ( 4-14, 86.5) 6- 3 503 H Sylvania Northview ( 3-13, 80.1) 16- 2 505 A Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 5-15 508 A Kenston (11- 7, 88.6) 9- 8 516 A Medina (13- 5, 89.2) 5-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Strongsville 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.32
322 H Boardman 15- 8 7 3 1.56
325 A Wooster 2-14 -12 -6 0.00
331 H Westlake 13-14 -1 3 - -3.63
403 A Rocky River 6-16 -10 -7 0.00
405 A Bowling Green 18- 4 14 9 0.00
408 A Bay 12- 4 8 5 0.38
410 H Brunswick 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.31
412 H University School Cl 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.86
417 A Chagrin Falls 8-18 -10 -4 -1.08
426 A Anthony Wayne 9- 6 3 0 + 2.72
429 A Avon Lake 7-10 -3 -2 -1.36
502 A Jackson Massillon 6- 3 3 0 + 3.19
503 H Sylvania Northview 16- 2 14 7 0.00
505 A Olmsted Falls 5-15 -10 -5 -0.04
508 A Kenston 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.30
516 A Medina 5-15 -10 -3 - -2.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Brunswick 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.31 331 H Westlake 13-14 -1 3 - -3.63 516 A Medina 5-15 -10 -3 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Strongsville 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.32 426 A Anthony Wayne 9- 6 3 0 + 2.72 502 A Jackson Massillon 6- 3 3 0 + 3.19 508 A Kenston 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.30 |
Avon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Avon | Avon | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Avon | Avon | ||
| Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Archbishop Hoban | |
| Archbishop McNichola | Avon | Avon | ||
| Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | ||
| Aurora | Avon | Avon | ||
| Avon Lake | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bay | Avon | Avon | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Avon | Avon | ||
| Benedictine Clevela | Avon | Avon 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Watterson | |
| Boardman | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bowling Green | Avon | Avon | ||
| Brecksville-Broadvie | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Canal Winchester | Avon | Avon | ||
| Canfield | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Avon | |
| Canton Central Catho | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Cardinal Mooney | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Carroll | Avon | Avon | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | ||
| Chaminade Julienne | Avon | Avon | ||
| Chardon | Avon | Avon 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Chr | Avon | Avon | ||
| Clay | Avon | Avon 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cleveland Heights | Avon | Avon | ||
| Clinton-Massie | Avon | Avon | ||
| Columbus Academy | Avon | Avon | ||
| Copley | Copley | Copley 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Chri | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | |
| Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Delaware Hayes | |
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dublin Coffman | |
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dublin Jerome | |
| Dublin Scioto | Avon | Avon 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Edgewood | Avon | Avon | ||
| Elder Cincinnati | Avon | Avon | ||
| Elyria Catholic | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Fairfield | Avon | Avon | ||
| Fairmont Kettering | Avon | Avon | ||
| Findlay | Avon | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Avon | |
| Franklin | Avon | Avon | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Gilmour Academy | |
| GlenOak-Canton | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Avon | |
| Granville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Green | Avon | Avon 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Grove City | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Hawken School | Avon | Avon 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Highland | Highland | Highland 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hilliard Davidson | |
| Holy Name | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Hudson | |
| Hudson Blue | Avon | Avon | ||
| Indian Hill | Avon | Avon | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Avon | Avon | ||
| John Glenn | Avon | Avon | ||
| Johnstown | Avon | Avon | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jonathan Alder | |
| Kenston | Avon | Avon | ||
| Kent Roosevelt | Avon | Avon | ||
| Keystone | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Kings | Avon | Avon | ||
| Kirtland | Avon | Avon | ||
| La Salle | Avon | Avon | ||
| Lake Uniontown | Avon | Avon 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lakewood | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon | |
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Licking Valley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Lima | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Lincoln Gahanna | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Little Miami | Avon | Avon | ||
| Louisville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Loveland | Loveland | Loveland | ||
| Madeira | Avon | Avon | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Avon | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Avon | |
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Medina | Medina | Medina | ||
| Mentor | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Avon | |
| Miamisburg | Avon | Avon | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Monroe | Avon | Avon | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany | ||
| Newark | Avon | Avon | ||
| North Ridgeville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Northmont | Avon | Avon | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Oak Hills | Avon | Avon | ||
| Oakwood | Avon | Avon | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | ||
| Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | ||
| Orange | Avon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon | |
| Ottawa Hills | Avon | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Avon | |
| Padua Franciscan | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Perrysburg | Avon | Avon 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Pickerington Central | Avon | Avon | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Revere | Avon | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon | |
| Riverside Painesvill | Avon | Avon 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Seven Hills | Avon | Avon | ||
| Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights 7- 2 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Solon | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Southeast Ravenna | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Charles Prep | |
| St Edward | St Edward | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | St Edward | |
| St Francis De Sales | St Francis De Sales | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) | St Francis De Sales | |
| St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | ||
| St Ignatius Cle Blu | Avon | Avon | ||
| St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | St Ignatius Clevelan | |
| St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | St Johns Jesuit | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Avon | Avon | ||
| St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Strongsville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Summit CDS | Avon | Avon | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Avon | Avon | ||
| Sylvania Southview | Avon | Avon 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tipp City | Avon | Avon | ||
| Toledo United | Avon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon | |
| Turpin | Avon | Avon | ||
| University School Cl | University School Cl | University School Cl | ||
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Wadsworth | Wadsworth | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Wadsworth | |
| Walnut Hills | Avon | Avon | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Waynesville | Avon | Avon | ||
| West Geauga | Avon | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon | |
| Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | ||
| Westerville Central | Avon | Avon | ||
| Westerville North | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon | |
| Westerville South | Avon | Avon | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Willoughby South | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Wilmington | Avon | Avon | ||
| Winton Woods | Avon | Avon | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster | ||
| Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | ||
| Wyoming | Avon | Avon | ||
| Xenia | Avon | Avon |
PowerWise = 101
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Strongsville (11- 8, 85.7) 14- 9 -14.23 17.95 0.45 0.92 17.02
0 H Boardman (13- 6, 83.8) 15- 8 -16.09 16.09 -0.45 0.92 14.47
0 A Wooster (18- 3, 92.6) 2-14 -7.29 24.90 0.45 0.92 -6.33
0 H Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 13-14 -15.28 16.90 -0.45 0.92 -14.55
0 A Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 6-16 -6.41 25.78 0.45 0.92 -5.51
0 A Bowling Green ( 7-12, 77.8) 18- 4 -22.10 10.08 0.45 0.92 9.74
0 A Bay ( 5- 8, 81.7) 12- 4 -18.17 14.02 0.45 0.92 13.38
0 H Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 8-13 -12.97 19.22 -0.45 0.92 -12.41
0 H University Sch ( 7-10, 88.4) 6- 9 -11.52 20.67 -0.45 0.92 -11.07
0 A Chagrin Falls (11- 7, 90.3) 8-18 -9.63 22.56 0.45 0.92 -8.49
0 A Anthony Wayne ( 7- 7, 86.1) 9- 6 -13.83 18.36 0.45 0.92 17.39
0 A Avon Lake (11- 5, 88.0) 7-10 -11.91 20.28 0.45 0.92 -10.60
0 A Jackson Massil ( 4-14, 86.5) 6- 3 -13.36 18.82 0.45 0.92 17.82
0 H Sylvania North ( 3-13, 80.1) 16- 2 -19.77 12.42 -0.45 0.92 11.07
0 A Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 5-15 -8.59 23.59 0.45 0.92 -7.53
0 A Kenston (11- 7, 88.6) 9- 8 -11.25 20.93 0.45 0.92 19.77
0 A Medina (13- 5, 89.2) 5-15 -10.74 21.45 0.45 0.92 -9.52
------
34.66
|
winning pts = 120.6709 losing points = -86.0078
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------