Avon HS
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 80.1816Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 7- 2 410 H Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 7- 8 416 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 2-19 422 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-13 424 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 4-11 426 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 5-15 501 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 8- 7 503 H Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 4-13 505 A Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 0 508 A Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 8- 9 510 A Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 6-10 515 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 3-19 517 A RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 7-11 519 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 7-14 521 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 4-18 523 H Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 12- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Pomperaug 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.01
410 H Lewis Mills 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.13
416 H Daniel Hand 2-19 -17 -8 0.00
422 A Conard 4-13 -9 -10 0.00
424 H Simsbury 4-11 -7 -5 0.00
426 H Farmington 5-15 -10 -2 - -2.67
501 A Hall 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.01
503 H Somers 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
505 A Tolland 14- 0 14 8 0.00
508 A Northwest Catholic 8- 9 -1 -3 1.99
510 A Canton 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.06
515 H Glastonbury 3-19 -16 -15 0.00
517 A RHAM 7-11 -4 -3 -0.52
519 H East Catholic 7-14 -7 -2 - -2.62
521 H Southington 4-18 -14 -7 0.00
523 H Rocky Hill 12- 3 9 10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Lewis Mills 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.13 426 H Farmington 5-15 -10 -2 - -2.67 510 A Canton 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.06 519 H East Catholic 7-14 -7 -2 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Pomperaug 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.01 501 A Hall 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.01 |
Avon HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) | Avon HS | |
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Brien McMahon | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Bristol Co-Op | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Canton | Canton | Canton | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Danbury | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Avon HS | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Enfield | Avon HS | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Avon HS | |
| EO Smith | Avon HS | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Prep | |
| Fairfield Warde | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch Groton | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Holy Cross | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Jonathan Law | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Lakeview United | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Avon HS | Avon HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | Avon HS | Avon HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Montville | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Morgan School | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | Newington 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Norwich Tech | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Lyme | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Pomperaug | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville Co-op | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Avon HS | |
| Rocky Hill | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 8)( 2- 7) | Avon HS | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Avon HS | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Tolland | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon HS | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Waterford | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Watertown | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Avon HS | |
| West Haven | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Westhill | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 2- 7) ( 2- 7) | Wethersfield | |
| Wilbur Cross | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Wolcott | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon HS | |
| Woodstock Academy | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Xavier | Xavier | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Xavier |
PowerWise = 48
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 7- 2 -20.23 20.02 -0.47 1.06 20.78
0 H Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 7- 8 -20.38 19.88 -0.47 1.06 -22.17
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 2-19 -10.94 29.31 -0.47 1.06 -12.14
0 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-13 -10.26 30.00 0.47 1.06 -10.40
0 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 4-11 -13.94 26.31 -0.47 1.06 -15.33
0 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 5-15 -16.92 23.34 -0.47 1.06 -18.49
0 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 8- 7 -17.19 23.07 0.47 1.06 25.03
0 H Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 4-13 -13.11 27.14 -0.47 1.06 -14.44
0 A Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 0 -28.05 12.21 0.47 1.06 13.48
0 A Northwest Cath ( 8- 9, 82.7) 8- 9 -17.20 23.06 0.47 1.06 -17.78
0 A Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 6-10 -18.25 22.00 0.47 1.06 -18.90
0 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 3-19 -4.61 35.64 -0.47 1.06 -5.41
0 A RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 7-11 -16.72 23.54 0.47 1.06 -17.27
0 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 7-14 -16.87 23.39 -0.47 1.06 -18.44
0 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 4-18 -11.84 28.41 -0.47 1.06 -13.09
0 H Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 12- 3 -28.82 11.43 -0.47 1.06 11.65
------
-112.92
|
winning pts = 70.9434 losing points = -183.8585
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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