Avon Lake
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 87.9942Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Riverside Painesvill ( 7- 8, 84.7) 18-10 325 H Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 7-13 327 A Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 7-13 401 A Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 3- 8 403 H Keystone ( 0- 6, 67.9) 21- 0 408 A Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 13- 9 411 A Bowling Green ( 7-12, 77.8) 15- 3 412 A Ottawa Hills ( 4-12, 84.1) 12- 6 415 H GlenOak-Canton (10-10, 81.1) 15- 2 417 A Bay ( 5- 8, 81.7) 15- 1 429 H Avon ( 8- 9, 86.8) 10- 7 503 A Highland (13- 3, 88.9) 6- 7 508 H Strongsville (11- 8, 85.7) 11- 5 510 H Lakewood ( 7-11, 78.1) 16- 3 516 H Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 16- 5 521 A Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 H Riverside Painesvill 18-10 8 4 1.27
325 H Olmsted Falls 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.13
327 A Rocky River 7-13 -6 -6 0.00
401 A Brunswick 3- 8 -5 1 -- -5.62
403 H Keystone 21- 0 21 21 0.00
408 A Westlake 13- 9 4 3 1.07
411 A Bowling Green 15- 3 12 10 0.00
412 A Ottawa Hills 12- 6 6 3 1.53
415 H GlenOak-Canton 15- 2 13 7 0.00
417 A Bay 15- 1 14 6 0.00
429 H Avon 10- 7 3 2 1.36
503 A Highland 6- 7 -1 -1 0.35
508 H Strongsville 11- 5 6 3 + 2.23
510 H Lakewood 16- 3 13 10 0.00
516 H Westlake 16- 5 11 4 1.18
521 A Olmsted Falls 6-13 -7 -4 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Brunswick 3- 8 -5 1 -- -5.62 325 H Olmsted Falls 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Strongsville 11- 5 6 3 + 2.23 |
Avon Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Archbishop Alter | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Archbishop Hoban | |
| Archbishop McNichola | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | ||
| Aurora | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Avon | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bay | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Benedictine Clevela | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Bowling Green | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Brecksville-Broadvie | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Canal Winchester | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Canfield | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Canton Central Catho | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Cardinal Mooney | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Carroll | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Chagrin Falls | |
| Chaminade Julienne | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Chardon | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Chr | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Clay | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cleveland Heights | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clinton-Massie | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Columbus Academy | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Copley | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Cuyahoga Valley Chri | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | |
| Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | ||
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Edgewood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Elder Cincinnati | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Elyria Catholic | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fairfield | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Fairmont Kettering | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Findlay | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Franklin | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | ||
| GlenOak-Canton | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Granville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Green | Avon Lake | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Grove City | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Hawken School | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Highland | Highland | Highland | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | ||
| Holy Name | Avon Lake | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hoover North Canton | |
| Hudson | Hudson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hudson | |
| Hudson Blue | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Indian Hill | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| John Glenn | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Johnstown | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | ||
| Kenston | Kenston | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Kenston | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Keystone | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Kings | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Kirtland | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| La Salle | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Lake Uniontown | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Lakewood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Lebanon | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Licking Valley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Lima | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Lincoln Gahanna | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Little Miami | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Louisville | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Loveland | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Madeira | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Medina | Medina | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Medina | |
| Mentor | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Miamisburg | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Monroe | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany | ||
| Newark | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| North Ridgeville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Northmont | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Oak Hills | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Oakwood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | ||
| Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | ||
| Orange | Avon Lake | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Ottawa Hills | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Padua Franciscan | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Perrysburg | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Pickerington Central | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Revere | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Riverside Painesvill | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Seven Hills | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Shaker Heights | |
| Solon | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Southeast Ravenna | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Springboro | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | ||
| St Edward | St Edward | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Edward | |
| St Francis De Sales | St Francis De Sales | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | St Francis De Sales | |
| St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | ||
| St Ignatius Cle Blu | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | ||
| St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | St Johns Jesuit | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Strongsville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Summit CDS | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Sylvania Southview | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tipp City | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Toledo United | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Turpin | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| University School Cl | University School Cl | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | University School Cl | |
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Wadsworth | Wadsworth | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Wadsworth | |
| Walnut Hills | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Walsh Jesuit | |
| Waynesville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| West Geauga | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Western Reserve B | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westerville Central | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westerville North | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westerville South | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westlake | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Willoughby South | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Wilmington | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Winton Woods | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | ||
| Wyoming | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Xenia | Avon Lake | Avon Lake |
PowerWise = 109
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Riverside Pain ( 7- 8, 84.7) 18-10 -15.19 17.00 -0.45 0.98 16.27
0 H Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 7-13 -8.59 23.59 -0.45 0.98 -8.88
0 A Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 7-13 -6.41 25.78 0.45 0.98 -5.86
0 A Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 3- 8 -12.97 19.22 0.45 0.98 -12.31
0 H Keystone ( 0- 6, 67.9) 21- 0 -32.00 1.00 -0.45 0.98 0.54
0 A Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 13- 9 -15.28 16.90 0.45 0.98 17.05
0 A Bowling Green ( 7-12, 77.8) 15- 3 -22.10 10.08 0.45 0.98 10.35
0 A Ottawa Hills ( 4-12, 84.1) 12- 6 -15.83 16.36 0.45 0.98 16.52
0 H GlenOak-Canton (10-10, 81.1) 15- 2 -18.77 13.41 -0.45 0.98 12.74
0 A Bay ( 5- 8, 81.7) 15- 1 -18.17 14.02 0.45 0.98 14.21
0 H Avon ( 8- 9, 86.8) 10- 7 -13.10 19.08 -0.45 0.98 18.31
0 A Highland (13- 3, 88.9) 6- 7 -11.00 21.19 0.45 0.98 -10.37
0 H Strongsville (11- 8, 85.7) 11- 5 -14.23 17.95 -0.45 0.98 17.20
0 H Lakewood ( 7-11, 78.1) 16- 3 -21.77 10.41 -0.45 0.98 9.79
0 H Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 16- 5 -15.28 16.90 -0.45 0.98 16.17
0 A Olmsted Falls (12- 3, 91.3) 6-13 -8.59 23.59 0.45 0.98 -8.00
------
103.74
|
winning pts = 149.1581 losing points = -45.4212
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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