Avon Old Farms
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 93.1778
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
329 H Tabor Academy (11- 5, 95.2) 7-15
402 A Belmont Hill (14- 3, 95.7) 10-13
409 H Berkshire School (10- 7, 92.9) 9- 8
412 H Salisbury School (12- 2, 98.8) 3-20
416 A Choate Rosemary Hall (11- 4, 97.8) 6-14
418 A Loomis Chaffee Schoo (15- 1, 99.9) 11-18
423 A Westminster School ( 3-10, 90.9) 9- 7
426 A Kent School ( 0-16, 78.6) 22- 1
430 H Hotchkiss School ( 4-11, 91.0) 10- 9
503 H Trinity-Pawling Scho ( 6-10, 91.3) 13- 5
507 H Brunswick School ( 6- 2, 98.7) 7-10
510 A Deerfield Academy (11- 3, 97.4) 8-14
514 A Taft School ( 8- 6, 95.4) 9-11
518 A Loomis Chaffee Schoo (15- 1, 99.9) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 H Tabor Academy 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.18
402 A Belmont Hill 10-13 -3 -3 -0.28
409 H Berkshire School 9- 8 1 0 0.52
412 H Salisbury School 3-20 -17 -5 0.00
416 A Choate Rosemary Hall 6-14 -8 -5 -0.26
418 A Loomis Chaffee Schoo 11-18 -7 -7 0.00
423 A Westminster School 9- 7 2 2 -0.10
426 A Kent School 22- 1 21 14 0.00
430 H Hotchkiss School 10- 9 1 2 -1.38
503 H Trinity-Pawling Scho 13- 5 8 2 + 2.92
507 H Brunswick School 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.00
510 A Deerfield Academy 8-14 -6 -4 -0.63
514 A Taft School 9-11 -2 -2 0.37
518 A Loomis Chaffee Schoo 6-19 -13 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 H Tabor Academy 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.18
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
503 H Trinity-Pawling Scho 13- 5 8 2 + 2.92
507 H Brunswick School 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.00
|
Avon Old Farms Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Albany Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
Avon Old Farms   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Austin Prep |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms II |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Bancroft School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Beaver CDS |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Belmont Hill |
Belmont Hill |
Belmont Hill |
 
| |
Berkshire School |
Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms |
 
| |
Berwick Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Brewster Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Brimmer and May |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Brooks School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Brunswick School |
Brunswick School |
Brunswick School |
 
| |
Brunswick School II |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Buckingham B&N |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Avon Old Farms |
Canterbury School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Chapel Hill-Chauncy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Cheshire Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Choate Rosemary Hall |
Choate Rosemary Hall |
Choate Rosemary Hall |
 
| |
Christian Heritage |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Concord Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Cushing Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Darrow School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Deerfield Academy |
Deerfield Academy |
Deerfield Academy |
 
| |
Dexter School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Dublin School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Eagle Hill School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Forman School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Frederick Gunn Schoo |
Avon Old Farms |
|
Avon Old Farms   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Gann Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Gould Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Governors Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Avon Old Farms |
Greens Farms Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Greenwich CDS |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Avon Old Farms |
Groton School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Hamden Hall |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Harvey School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Hebron Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Holderness School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Hoosac School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Hopkins School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Hotchkiss School |
Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms |
 
| |
Hyde School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Kent School |
Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms |
 
| |
Kents Hill School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Kimball Union Academ |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
King School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Kingswood Oxford |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Landmark School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Lawrence Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Lexington Christian |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Loomis Chaffee Schoo |
Loomis Chaffee Schoo |
Loomis Chaffee Schoo |
 
| |
Marianapolis Prep |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Marvelwood School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Masters Dobbs Ferry |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Middlesex School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Avon Old Farms |
Millbrook School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
Avon Old Farms   5- 2 vs 1- 6 |
|
Milton Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Mount St Charles |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Mount St Charles II |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
New Hampton School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Noble & Greenough |
Noble & Greenough |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Noble & Greenough |
Northfield Mt Hermon |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Phillips Academy And |
Phillips Academy And |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) |
Phillips Academy And |
Phillips Exeter Acad |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Avon Old Farms |
Pingree School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
Pomfret School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Portsmouth Abbey |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Proctor Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Rivers School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Avon Old Farms |
Rocky Hill Country D |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Roxbury Latin School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Avon Old Farms |
Rye CDS |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
Salisbury School |
 
| |
Salisbury School II |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
South Kent School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Avon Old Farms |
St Georges School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Avon Old Farms |
St Lukes School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Avon Old Farms |
St Marks School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Avon Old Farms |
St Pauls School |
St Pauls School |
|
 
| St Pauls School |
St Sebastians School |
St Sebastians School |
|
St Sebastians School   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Storm King School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Suffield Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Tabor Academy |
Tabor Academy |
Tabor Academy |
 
| |
Taft School |
Taft School |
Taft School |
 
| |
Thayer Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Avon Old Farms |
Tilton School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Trinity-Pawling Scho |
Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms |
 
| |
Vermont Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Waring School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Westminster School |
Avon Old Farms |
Avon Old Farms |
 
| |
Wheeler School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Wilbraham & Monson |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Williams School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Williston Northampto |
Avon Old Farms |
|
Avon Old Farms   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Winchendon School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Woodhall School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Wooster School |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
Worcester Academy |
Avon Old Farms |
|
 
| Avon Old Farms |
PowerWise = 86

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.95
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Tabor Academy (11- 5, 95.2) 7-15 -4.74 29.81 -0.16 0.92 -4.53
0 A Belmont Hill (14- 3, 95.7) 10-13 -4.16 30.38 0.16 0.92 -3.71
0 H Berkshire Scho (10- 7, 92.9) 9- 8 -7.04 27.50 -0.16 0.92 25.29
0 H Salisbury Scho (12- 2, 98.8) 3-20 -1.14 33.41 -0.16 0.92 -1.20
0 A Choate Rosemar (11- 4, 97.8) 6-14 -2.14 32.40 0.16 0.92 -1.84
0 A Loomis Chaffee (15- 1, 99.9) 11-18 -0.00 34.55 0.16 0.92 -0.15
0 A Westminster Sc ( 3-10, 90.9) 9- 7 -8.98 25.56 0.16 0.92 23.79
0 A Kent School ( 0-16, 78.6) 22- 1 -21.29 13.26 0.16 0.92 12.41
0 H Hotchkiss Scho ( 4-11, 91.0) 10- 9 -8.95 25.60 -0.16 0.92 23.53
0 H Trinity-Pawlin ( 6-10, 91.3) 13- 5 -8.65 25.90 -0.16 0.92 23.81
0 H Brunswick Scho ( 6- 2, 98.7) 7-10 -1.25 33.30 -0.16 0.92 -1.30
0 A Deerfield Acad (11- 3, 97.4) 8-14 -2.51 32.04 0.16 0.92 -2.17
0 A Taft School ( 8- 6, 95.4) 9-11 -4.51 30.04 0.16 0.92 -4.02
0 A Loomis Chaffee (15- 1, 99.9) 6-19 -0.00 34.55 0.16 0.92 -0.15
------
89.78
|
winning pts = 108.8330 losing points = -19.0543
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------