---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:00 PDT

safe3step boys Austin Prep 1
  
Austin Prep           
W-L: ( 7-15) PR = 84.0293

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Brewster Academy ( 4- 9, 86.9) 6- 8 328 H Phillips Exeter Acad (14- 6, 92.4) 0-16 402 A Cushing Academy ( 9-10, 88.5) 3-16 404 A Hoosac School ( 2- 6, 78.8) 10- 3 405 H Hebron Academy ( 8- 5, 80.6) 7- 3 409 H Mount St Charles ( 5- 8, 81.7) 9- 8 411 A Proctor Academy ( 7- 6, 90.4) 1-13 414 H Holderness School ( 8- 6, 91.9) 2-18 416 A Phillips Academy And (13- 5, 93.7) 0-19 419 A Mount St Charles ( 5- 8, 81.7) 9- 5 423 H Portsmouth Abbey ( 8- 4, 89.5) 7-16 426 H Albany Academy (11- 3, 89.6) 1-17 430 A Northfield Mt Hermon ( 5-10, 86.2) 5- 9 502 H Dexter School (10- 5, 91.4) 2-13 503 A Greens Farms Academy ( 7- 4, 84.9) 9-13 507 H Pomfret School ( 7- 9, 87.6) 3-15 509 H Tilton School ( 6- 8, 84.8) 13- 8 510 A Vermont Academy ( 4- 6, 80.3) 12- 3 512 H Pingree School (16- 4, 93.0) 1-13 514 H Cheshire Academy ( 4-13, 81.4) 13- 8 517 A Northfield Mt Hermon ( 5-10, 86.2) 6-17 521 H St Marks School ( 4-14, 87.8) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Brewster Academy        6- 8      -2    -3           0.72
   328 H Phillips Exeter Acad    0-16     -16    -8           0.00
   402 A Cushing Academy         3-16     -13    -5          -0.38
   404 A Hoosac School          10- 3       7     5           0.00
   405 H Hebron Academy          7- 3       4     4           0.43
   409 H Mount St Charles        9- 8       1     2          -1.45
   411 A Proctor Academy         1-13     -12    -6           0.00
   414 H Holderness School       2-18     -16    -8           0.00
   416 A Phillips Academy And    0-19     -19   -10           0.00
   419 A Mount St Charles        9- 5       4     2           1.87
   423 H Portsmouth Abbey        7-16      -9    -5           0.00
   426 H Albany Academy          1-17     -16    -5           0.00
   430 A Northfield Mt Hermon    5- 9      -4    -2          -1.72
   502 H Dexter School           2-13     -11    -7           0.00
   503 A Greens Farms Academy    9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.96
   507 H Pomfret School          3-15     -12    -3          -1.59
   509 H Tilton School          13- 8       5    -1    ++     5.66
   510 A Vermont Academy        12- 3       9     4           1.45
   512 H Pingree School          1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   514 H Cheshire Academy       13- 8       5     3    +      2.17
   517 A Northfield Mt Hermon    6-17     -11    -2    -     -2.72
   521 H St Marks School         6-14      -8    -4          -1.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Greens Farms Academy    9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.96
   517 A Northfield Mt Hermon    6-17     -11    -2    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Tilton School          13- 8       5    -1    ++     5.66
   514 H Cheshire Academy       13- 8       5     3    +      2.17

Austin Prep Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albany Academy Albany Academy Albany Academy  
Avon Old Farms Avon Old Farms   Avon Old Farms
Avon Old Farms II Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Bancroft School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Beaver CDS Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Belmont Hill Belmont Hill insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Belmont Hill
Berkshire School Berkshire School Berkshire School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Berwick Academy Berwick Academy insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Berwick Academy
Brewster Academy Brewster Academy Brewster Academy  
Brimmer and May Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Brooks School Brooks School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 2) Brooks School
Brunswick School Brunswick School   Brunswick School
Brunswick School II Brunswick School II insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brunswick School II
Buckingham B&N Buckingham B&N insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Buckingham B&N
Canterbury School Canterbury School tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Canterbury School
Chapel Hill-Chauncy Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Cheshire Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Christian Heritage Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Concord Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Cushing Academy Cushing Academy Cushing Academy  
Darrow School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Deerfield Academy Deerfield Academy Deerfield Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dexter School Dexter School Dexter School  
Dublin School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Eagle Hill School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Forman School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Frederick Gunn Schoo Frederick Gunn Schoo Frederick Gunn Schoo   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Gann Academy Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Gould Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Austin Prep
Governors Academy Governors Academy insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Governors Academy
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy  
Greenwich CDS Greenwich CDS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Greenwich CDS
Groton School Groton School insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Groton School
Hamden Hall Austin Prep insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Austin Prep
Harvey School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Hebron Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Holderness School Holderness School Holderness School  
Hoosac School Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Hopkins School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin Prep
Hotchkiss School Hotchkiss School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hotchkiss School
Hyde School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Kent School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Austin Prep
Kents Hill School Austin Prep Austin Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kimball Union Academ Kimball Union Academ Kimball Union Academ   6- 3 vs 2- 7
King School King School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) King School
Kingswood Oxford Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin Prep
Landmark School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Lawrence Academy Lawrence Academy insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Lawrence Academy
Lexington Christian Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Loomis Chaffee Schoo Loomis Chaffee Schoo Loomis Chaffee Schoo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marianapolis Prep Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Marvelwood School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Masters Dobbs Ferry Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Middlesex School Middlesex School Middlesex School   3- 0 vs 0- 2
Millbrook School Millbrook School tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Millbrook School
Milton Academy Milton Academy insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Milton Academy
Mount St Charles Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Mount St Charles II Austin Prep   Austin Prep
New Hampton School New Hampton School New Hampton School   3- 6 vs 1- 8
Noble & Greenough Noble & Greenough insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Noble & Greenough
Northfield Mt Hermon Northfield Mt Hermon Northfield Mt Hermon  
Phillips Academy And Phillips Academy And Phillips Academy And  
Phillips Exeter Acad Phillips Exeter Acad Phillips Exeter Acad  
Pingree School Pingree School Pingree School  
Pomfret School Pomfret School Pomfret School  
Portsmouth Abbey Portsmouth Abbey Portsmouth Abbey  
Proctor Academy Proctor Academy Proctor Academy  
Rivers School Rivers School insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Rivers School
Rocky Hill Country D Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Roxbury Latin School Roxbury Latin School Roxbury Latin School   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Rye CDS Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Salisbury School II Salisbury School II   Salisbury School II
South Kent School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Austin Prep
St Georges School St Georges School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 2) St Georges School
St Lukes School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin Prep
St Marks School St Marks School St Marks School  
St Pauls School St Pauls School St Pauls School   7- 2 vs 1- 8
St Sebastians School St Sebastians School insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) St Sebastians School
Storm King School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Suffield Academy Austin Prep tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Austin Prep
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Tabor Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Taft School Taft School   Taft School
Thayer Academy Thayer Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Thayer Academy
Tilton School Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Trinity-Pawling Scho Trinity-Pawling Scho   Trinity-Pawling Scho
Vermont Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Waring School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Westminster School Westminster School   Westminster School
Wheeler School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Wilbraham & Monson Wilbraham & Monson insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Wilbraham & Monson
Williams School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Williston Northampto Williston Northampto Williston Northampto   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Winchendon School Austin Prep tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Austin Prep
Woodhall School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Wooster School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Worcester Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 6) Austin Prep

PowerWise = 45


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.95

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Brewster Acade  ( 4- 9, 86.9)     6- 8      -13.00      21.55      -0.16         0.59            -7.74
   0 H Phillips Exete  (14- 6, 92.4)     0-16       -7.47      27.07      -0.16         0.59            -4.49
   0 A Cushing Academ  ( 9-10, 88.5)     3-16      -11.41      23.13       0.16         0.59            -6.62
   0 A Hoosac School   ( 2- 6, 78.8)    10- 3      -21.07      13.48       0.16         0.59             8.03
   0 H Hebron Academy  ( 8- 5, 80.6)     7- 3      -19.28      15.27      -0.16         0.59             8.89
   0 H Mount St Charl  ( 5- 8, 81.7)     9- 8      -18.16      16.38      -0.16         0.59             9.55
   0 A Proctor Academ  ( 7- 6, 90.4)     1-13       -9.54      25.01       0.16         0.59            -5.52
   0 H Holderness Sch  ( 8- 6, 91.9)     2-18       -7.99      26.55      -0.16         0.59            -4.80
   0 A Phillips Acade  (13- 5, 93.7)     0-19       -6.22      28.32       0.16         0.59            -3.57
   0 A Mount St Charl  ( 5- 8, 81.7)     9- 5      -18.16      16.38       0.16         0.59             9.74
   0 H Portsmouth Abb  ( 8- 4, 89.5)     7-16      -10.41      24.14      -0.16         0.59            -6.22
   0 H Albany Academy  (11- 3, 89.6)     1-17      -10.31      24.23      -0.16         0.59            -6.16
   0 A Northfield Mt   ( 5-10, 86.2)     5- 9      -13.74      20.80       0.16         0.59            -8.00
   0 H Dexter School   (10- 5, 91.4)     2-13       -8.50      26.04      -0.16         0.59            -5.10
   0 A Greens Farms A  ( 7- 4, 84.9)     9-13      -14.99      19.56       0.16         0.59            -8.73
   0 H Pomfret School  ( 7- 9, 87.6)     3-15      -12.30      22.25      -0.16         0.59            -7.33
   0 H Tilton School   ( 6- 8, 84.8)    13- 8      -15.05      19.49      -0.16         0.59            11.38
   0 A Vermont Academ  ( 4- 6, 80.3)    12- 3      -19.58      14.97       0.16         0.59             8.90
   0 H Pingree School  (16- 4, 93.0)     1-13       -6.85      27.70      -0.16         0.59            -4.13
   0 H Cheshire Acade  ( 4-13, 81.4)    13- 8      -18.54      16.00      -0.16         0.59             9.33
   0 A Northfield Mt   ( 5-10, 86.2)     6-17      -13.74      20.80       0.16         0.59            -8.00
   0 H St Marks Schoo  ( 4-14, 87.8)     6-14      -12.11      22.43      -0.16         0.59            -7.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -27.82

winning pts = 65.8188 losing points = -93.6355

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------