---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Atholton 1
  
Atholton              
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 77.1275

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Reservoir ( 7- 6, 83.3) 0-14 325 H Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 1-14 327 A Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 17- 6 401 A Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 3- 7 403 A Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 8- 3 407 H Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 2-18 409 A Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 2- 7 411 A Howard (13- 4, 87.1) 1-15 422 H River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 7-12 423 H Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 5-12 428 H Arundel ( 3-12, 79.9) 3- 6 430 H Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 0-12 502 A Wilde Lake ( 5-10, 80.0) 5- 9 507 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 10- 7 509 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 3-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Reservoir               0-14     -14    -6           0.00
   325 H Chesapeake  AA          1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   327 A Hammond                17- 6      11     2    +      2.83
   401 A Old Mill                3- 7      -4    -4          -0.17
   403 A Guilford Park           8- 3       5     2    +      2.87
   407 H Mount Hebron            2-18     -16    -8           0.00
   409 A Long Reach              2- 7      -5    -2    -     -3.29
   411 A Howard                  1-15     -14   -10           0.00
   422 H River Hill              7-12      -5    -6           0.00
   423 H Oakland Mills           5-12      -7    -3          -1.58
   428 H Arundel                 3- 6      -3    -2          -0.65
   430 H Winters Mill            0-12     -12    -5          -0.26
   502 A Wilde Lake              5- 9      -4    -3          -0.65
   507 H Guilford Park          10- 7       3     3          -0.02
   509 A Sherwood                3-20     -17   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Long Reach              2- 7      -5    -2    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Hammond                17- 6      11     2    +      2.83
   403 A Guilford Park           8- 3       5     2    +      2.87

Atholton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Atholton   Atholton
Bishop McNamara Atholton   Atholton
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Atholton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Atholton
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Atholton   Atholton
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Atholton   Atholton
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Gunston School   Gunston School
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Atholton   Atholton
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Key School   Key School
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Maret   Maret
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Atholton   Atholton
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Atholton   Atholton
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr St Johns Catholic Pr   St Johns Catholic Pr
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti St Vincent Pallotti tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Vincent Pallotti
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Aberdeen   Aberdeen
Academy for College Atholton   Atholton
Annapolis Annapolis Annapolis   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Arundel Arundel Arundel  
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Atholton   Atholton
Blair Blair tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Blair
Blake Blake insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Blake
Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor   Bohemia Manor
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Atholton   Atholton
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Atholton   Atholton
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial   6- 3 vs 1- 8
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Century
CH Flowers Atholton   Atholton
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Atholton   Atholton
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton Crofton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Damascus Damascus insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Damascus
Digital Harbor Atholton   Atholton
Dr Henry Wise Atholton   Atholton
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Atholton   Atholton
Dundalk Dundalk   Dundalk
DuVal Atholton   Atholton
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Atholton   Atholton
Edmondson-Westside Atholton   Atholton
Einstein Einstein   Einstein
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton Atholton   Atholton
Fairmont Heights Atholton   Atholton
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Atholton   Atholton
Frederick Douglass B Frederick Douglass B   Frederick Douglass B
Frederick Douglass P Atholton   Atholton
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Gov Thomas Johnson Atholton   Atholton
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park Atholton Atholton  
Gwynn Park Atholton   Atholton
Hammond Atholton Atholton  
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Howard Howard  
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Atholton   Atholton
Kennedy Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Kent County Kent County   Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Atholton   Atholton
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Atholton   Atholton
Lake Clifton Atholton   Atholton
Lansdowne Atholton   Atholton
Laurel Atholton   Atholton
Leonardtown Leonardtown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Long Reach Long Reach  
Magruder Atholton   Atholton
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Meade Atholton insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Atholton
Mergenthaler Atholton   Atholton
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Atholton   Atholton
MJ McDonough Atholton   Atholton
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town Atholton   Atholton
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County North County   2- 2 vs 0- 4
North Dorchester Atholton   Atholton
North East Cecil Atholton   Atholton
North Hagerstown Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast AA Northeast AA Northeast AA   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest   Northwest
Northwestern PG Atholton   Atholton
Northwood Atholton   Atholton
Oakdale Oakdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oakdale
Oakland Mills Oakland Mills Oakland Mills  
Old Mill Old Mill Old Mill  
Overlea Atholton   Atholton
Owings Mills Atholton   Atholton
Oxon Hill Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Paint Branch Atholton   Atholton
Parkdale Atholton   Atholton
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Atholton   Atholton
Patapsco Atholton   Atholton
Patterson HS Atholton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Atholton
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Quince Orchard
Randallstown Atholton   Atholton
Reginald F Lewis Atholton   Atholton
Reservoir Reservoir Reservoir  
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill River Hill  
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Atholton tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Atholton
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood  
Smithsburg Smithsburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Carroll
South Hagerstown Atholton   Atholton
South River South River South River   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Southern AA Southern AA Southern AA   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Atholton   Atholton
St Charles St Charles   St Charles
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland Atholton   Atholton
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Atholton   Atholton
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Atholton   Atholton
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Atholton   Atholton
Westminster Westminster Westminster   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wheaton Atholton   Atholton
Wicomico Atholton   Atholton
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake Wilde Lake  
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Woodlawn Atholton   Atholton
Wootton Wootton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Atholton   Atholton
DC International PCS Atholton   Atholton
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Reservoir       ( 7- 6, 83.3)     0-14      -16.61      18.98      -0.45         0.81           -13.80
   0 H Chesapeake  AA  (13- 4, 87.9)     1-14      -11.96      23.63      -0.45         0.81           -10.04
   0 A Hammond         ( 2-11, 74.5)    17- 6      -25.39      10.20       0.45         0.81             8.61
   0 A Old Mill        ( 4- 8, 80.5)     3- 7      -19.39      16.21       0.45         0.81           -15.32
   0 A Guilford Park   ( 2-11, 74.6)     8- 3      -25.35      10.25       0.45         0.81             8.65
   0 H Mount Hebron    ( 6- 8, 85.9)     2-18      -14.04      21.56      -0.45         0.81           -11.72
   0 A Long Reach      ( 4- 8, 78.4)     2- 7      -21.50      14.09       0.45         0.81           -17.04
   0 A Howard          (13- 4, 87.1)     1-15      -12.82      22.77       0.45         0.81           -10.01
   0 H River Hill      ( 8- 6, 83.5)     7-12      -16.38      19.22      -0.45         0.81           -13.61
   0 H Oakland Mills   ( 6- 7, 81.0)     5-12      -18.91      16.68      -0.45         0.81           -15.66
   0 H Arundel         ( 3-12, 79.9)     3- 6      -19.97      15.62      -0.45         0.81           -16.52
   0 H Winters Mill    ( 7- 7, 82.3)     0-12      -17.59      18.01      -0.45         0.81           -14.59
   0 A Wilde Lake      ( 5-10, 80.0)     5- 9      -19.87      15.73       0.45         0.81           -15.71
   0 H Guilford Park   ( 2-11, 74.6)    10- 7      -25.35      10.25      -0.45         0.81             7.93
   0 A Sherwood        (15- 2, 89.6)     3-20      -10.31      25.28       0.45         0.81            -7.98
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -136.80

winning pts = 25.1939 losing points = -161.9972

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------