Aspen
W-L: (16- 1) PR = 89.3343Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 H Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 17- 1 317 H Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 8- 6 320 A Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 8- 5 403 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 7- 3 405 H Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 11- 1 408 A Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 14- 1 412 A Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 14- 5 415 A Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 14- 1 416 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 1- 0 417 A Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 1- 0 422 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 15- 4 424 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 10- 6 428 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 14- 7 501 A Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 8- 7 509 H Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 14- 4 513 H Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 9- 4 517 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 3-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 H Eagle Valley 17- 1 16 14 0.00
317 H Vail Mountain 8- 6 2 5 - -3.00
320 A Steamboat Springs 8- 5 3 2 1.34
403 A Vail Mountain 7- 3 4 4 -0.47
405 H Battle Mountain 11- 1 10 5 0.20
408 A Glenwood Springs 14- 1 13 6 0.00
412 A Battle Mountain 14- 5 9 4 0.93
415 A Fruita Monument 14- 1 13 5 0.06
422 H Telluride 15- 4 11 3 + 2.00
424 A Grand Junction 10- 6 4 3 0.55
428 H Grand Junction 14- 7 7 4 0.81
501 A Steamboat Springs 8- 7 1 2 -0.66
509 H Green Mountain 14- 4 10 7 0.00
513 H Steamboat Springs 9- 4 5 2 + 2.61
517 H Air Academy 3-10 -7 -1 -- -4.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Air Academy 3-10 -7 -1 -- -4.16 317 H Vail Mountain 8- 6 2 5 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Telluride 15- 4 11 3 + 2.00 513 H Steamboat Springs 9- 4 5 2 + 2.61 |
Aspen Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Boulder | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Castle View | |
| Chaparral | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Aspen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Conifer | Aspen | Aspen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Crested Butte | Aspen | Aspen 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Durango | Aspen | Aspen 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Eagle Valley | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Eaglecrest | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Erie | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fountain Valley | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Fruita Monument | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Golden | Aspen | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Aspen | |
| Grand Junction | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Grandview | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Green Mountain | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Heritage | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Holy Family | Aspen | Aspen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Kent Denver | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Littleton | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Lutheran | Aspen | Aspen 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Middle Park | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Monarch | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Montrose | Aspen | Aspen 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Mountain Range | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Northfield | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Palmer | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Pine Creek | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Ponderosa | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Prairie View | Aspen | Aspen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pueblo West | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rangeview | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| St Marys HS | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Summit | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Telluride | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Thompson Valley | Aspen | Aspen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| ThunderRidge | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Vail Mountain | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Aspen | |
| Windsor | Aspen | Aspen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 52
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 17- 1 -24.29 9.22 -0.37 0.88 7.83
0 H Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 8- 6 -15.41 18.09 -0.37 0.88 15.68
0 A Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 8- 5 -12.59 20.91 0.37 0.88 18.83
0 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 7- 3 -15.41 18.09 0.37 0.88 16.34
0 H Battle Mountai ( 8- 8, 84.9) 11- 1 -15.00 18.50 -0.37 0.88 16.05
0 A Glenwood Sprin ( 7- 8, 82.7) 14- 1 -17.19 16.32 0.37 0.88 14.76
0 A Battle Mountai ( 8- 8, 84.9) 14- 5 -15.00 18.50 0.37 0.88 16.70
0 A Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 14- 1 -15.87 17.63 0.37 0.88 15.93
0 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 1- 0 -20.90 12.60 -0.37 0.88 10.82
0 A Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 1- 0 -24.29 9.22 0.37 0.88 8.48
0 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 15- 4 -13.20 20.31 -0.37 0.88 17.64
0 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 10- 6 -14.39 19.11 0.37 0.88 17.24
0 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 14- 7 -14.39 19.11 -0.37 0.88 16.59
0 A Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 8- 7 -12.59 20.91 0.37 0.88 18.83
0 H Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 14- 4 -16.80 16.70 -0.37 0.88 14.45
0 H Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 9- 4 -12.59 20.91 -0.37 0.88 18.18
0 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 3-10 -9.36 24.14 -0.37 0.88 -8.61
------
235.72
|
winning pts = 244.3228 losing points = -8.6057
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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