---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Ashley 1
  
Ashley                
W-L: (10-13) PR = 90.8641

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 8-11 315 H Providence Day ( 7-12, 92.9) 5- 7 318 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 8-10 321 A West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 20- 1 325 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 6-10 327 A New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 19- 4 328 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 15-18 401 A Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 12-13 404 H South Brunswick ( 2-12, 79.1) 17- 3 408 A North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 15- 2 410 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 9-10 411 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 14- 8 414 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 11-14 422 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 15- 2 424 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 13-14 426 H Charlotte Catholic (15- 5, 96.0) 12-17 428 H Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 12-14 429 H West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 19- 2 502 A Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 5-14 505 A South Brunswick ( 2-12, 79.1) 16- 7 507 H North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 19- 9 508 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 13- 9 513 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 5-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Apex                    8-11      -3    -5           1.94
   315 H Providence Day          5- 7      -2    -2          -0.21
   318 H Topsail                 8-10      -2     0          -1.99
   321 A West Brunswick         20- 1      19    13           0.00
   325 H Laney                   6-10      -4    -2          -1.98
   327 A New Hanover            19- 4      15    10           0.00
   328 A Croatan                15-18      -3    -4           0.79
   401 A Hoggard                12-13      -1    -1           0.26
   404 H South Brunswick        17- 3      14    12           0.00
   408 A North Brunswick        15- 2      13    12           0.00
   410 H Topsail                 9-10      -1     0          -0.99
   411 A Willow Spring          14- 8       6     3    +      2.40
   414 H Hough                  11-14      -3    -5           1.56
   422 H New Hanover            15- 2      13    10           0.00
   424 H Hoggard                13-14      -1    -1          -0.28
   426 H Charlotte Catholic     12-17      -5    -5          -0.13
   428 H Croatan                12-14      -2    -3           1.24
   429 H West Brunswick         19- 2      17    14           0.00
   502 A Laney                   5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.44
   505 A South Brunswick        16- 7       9    11           0.00
   507 H North Brunswick        19- 9      10    13           0.00
   508 A Pinecrest              13- 9       4     4          -0.10
   513 A Apex                    5-14      -9    -5          -0.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Laney                   5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Willow Spring          14- 8       6     3    +      2.40

Ashley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Arendell Parrott Aca Ashley   Ashley
Asheville HS Ashley   Ashley
Asheville School Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Athens Drive
Atkins Ashley   Ashley
Ballantyne Ridge Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Bishop McGuinness Ashley   Ashley
Bradford Prep Ashley   Ashley
Broughton Broughton Broughton   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Butler Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Ashley tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Ashley
Cape Fear HS Ashley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Carrboro Ashley   Ashley
Cary Academy Ashley   Ashley
Cary Christian Ashley   Ashley
Cary HS Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Cedar Ridge Ashley   Ashley
Chapel Hill Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 3) Ashley
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic  
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christ The King
Clayton Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Cleveland Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Community School-Dav Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Corinth Holders Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Cornerstone Charter Ashley   Ashley
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Ashley   Ashley
Davie Ashley   Ashley
DH Conley Ashley   Ashley
Durham Academy Durham Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Ashley   Ashley
East Forsyth Ashley   Ashley
Eastern Alamance Ashley   Ashley
Eastern Guilford Ashley   Ashley
Enloe Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Fike Ashley   Ashley
First Flight Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Forsyth Country Day Ashley   Ashley
Fuquay-Varina Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Ashley
Garner Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Glenn Ashley   Ashley
Grays Creek Ashley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Level
Greensboro Day Ashley   Ashley
Grimsley Ashley   Ashley
Havelock Ashley   Ashley
Heritage Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage
Hickory Ashley   Ashley
High Point Central Ashley   Ashley
Hillsborough Orange Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Ashley
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) Holly Springs
Hough Hough Hough  
Hunt Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Independence Ashley   Ashley
Jack Britt Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Ashley
Jacksonville Ashley insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Ashley
JF Webb Ashley   Ashley
JH Rose Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
John Paul II Catholi Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Jordan Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Ashley
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Laney Laney Laney  
Leesville Road Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) Ashley
Lincoln Charter Ashley   Ashley
Marvin Ridge Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Middle Creek
Millbrook Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ashley
Mooresville Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Mount Tabor Ashley   Ashley
Mountain Island Char Ashley   Ashley
Myers Park Ashley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ashley
New Bern Ashley tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 4) Ashley
New Hanover Ashley Ashley  
North Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
North Davidson Ashley   Ashley
North Lincoln Ashley   Ashley
North Raleigh Christ Ashley   Ashley
Northern Durham Ashley   Ashley
Northern Guilford Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Northside Ashley tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Ashley
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Ashley   Ashley
Page Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Panther Creek Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Parkwood Ashley   Ashley
Patton Morganton Ashley   Ashley
Pine Forest Ashley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Pine Lake Prep Ashley   Ashley
Pinecrest Ashley Ashley  
Porter Ridge Ashley   Ashley
Providence Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day  
Queens Grant Ashley   Ashley
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Ashley   Ashley
Ravenscroft School Ashley   Ashley
Reagan Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ashley
Riverside Durham Ashley   Ashley
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Ashley   Ashley
Roxboro Community Ashley   Ashley
Sanderson Ashley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Seaforth Ashley   Ashley
South Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
South Garner Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
South Iredell Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
South Mecklenburg Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
South View Ashley   Ashley
Southeast Alamance Ashley   Ashley
Southeast Guilford Ashley   Ashley
Southern Alamance Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ashley
Southlake Christian Ashley   Ashley
Southwest Guilford Ashley   Ashley
St Davids School Ashley   Ashley
St Stephens Ashley   Ashley
Sun Valley Ashley   Ashley
Swansboro Ashley insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Ashley
TC Roberson Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Terry Sanford Ashley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Ashley
Topsail Topsail Topsail  
Union Pines Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Vance Charter Ashley   Ashley
Voyager Academy Ashley   Ashley
Wake Forest Ashley   Ashley
Wake Prep Ashley   Ashley
Wakefield Ashley   Ashley
Walter M Williams Ashley   Ashley
Watauga Ashley   Ashley
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Weddington
West Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
West Carteret Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ashley
West Forsyth Ashley   Ashley
West Stokes Ashley   Ashley
Western Alamance Ashley   Ashley
Western Guilford Ashley   Ashley
Willow Spring Ashley Ashley  

PowerWise = 117


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     8-11       -4.36      29.45       0.27         0.78            -3.19
   0 H Providence Day  ( 7-12, 92.9)     5- 7       -6.98      26.83      -0.27         0.78            -5.65
   0 H Topsail         (15- 6, 91.1)     8-10       -8.75      25.06      -0.27         0.78            -7.03
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2-14, 77.1)    20- 1      -22.76      11.05       0.27         0.78             8.83
   0 H Laney           (17- 3, 93.2)     6-10       -6.75      27.06      -0.27         0.78            -5.47
   0 A New Hanover     ( 6-13, 81.1)    19- 4      -18.84      14.97       0.27         0.78            11.88
   0 A Croatan         (21- 2, 94.4)    15-18       -5.52      28.29       0.27         0.78            -4.09
   0 A Hoggard         (15- 6, 91.9)    12-13       -8.05      25.76       0.27         0.78            -6.06
   0 H South Brunswic  ( 2-12, 79.1)    17- 3      -20.79      13.02      -0.27         0.78             9.94
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 8-14, 78.1)    15- 2      -21.79      12.02       0.27         0.78             9.59
   0 H Topsail         (15- 6, 91.1)     9-10       -8.75      25.06      -0.27         0.78            -7.03
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 7, 88.0)    14- 8      -11.91      21.90       0.27         0.78            17.29
   0 H Hough           (18- 4, 95.7)    11-14       -4.21      29.60      -0.27         0.78            -3.49
   0 H New Hanover     ( 6-13, 81.1)    15- 2      -18.84      14.97      -0.27         0.78            11.46
   0 H Hoggard         (15- 6, 91.9)    13-14       -8.05      25.76      -0.27         0.78            -6.49
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (15- 5, 96.0)    12-17       -3.89      29.92      -0.27         0.78            -3.25
   0 H Croatan         (21- 2, 94.4)    12-14       -5.52      28.29      -0.27         0.78            -4.52
   0 H West Brunswick  ( 2-14, 77.1)    19- 2      -22.76      11.05      -0.27         0.78             8.40
   0 A Laney           (17- 3, 93.2)     5-14       -6.75      27.06       0.27         0.78            -5.05
   0 A South Brunswic  ( 2-12, 79.1)    16- 7      -20.79      13.02       0.27         0.78            10.36
   0 H North Brunswic  ( 8-14, 78.1)    19- 9      -21.79      12.02      -0.27         0.78             9.16
   0 A Pinecrest       (13- 8, 86.5)    13- 9      -13.41      20.40       0.27         0.78            16.11
   0 A Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     5-14       -4.36      29.45       0.27         0.78            -3.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        48.50

winning pts = 113.0198 losing points = -64.5150

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------