Arrowhead
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 94.1249Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Janesville ( 9- 9, 93.0) 8- 7 409 A Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 13- 4 410 A Verona (12- 4, 96.6) 6- 7 412 H Wausau ( 6-11, 91.5) 16- 6 416 H Oconomowoc ( 7-11, 89.8) 18- 8 421 H Oak Creek ( 1-16, 84.7) 18- 3 424 H West Bend ( 5-12, 89.7) 16- 6 426 H Neenah (13- 7, 97.7) 5-19 426 H Marquette University (15- 5, 95.5) 6- 9 430 A Kettle Moraine (17- 2, 98.9) 7-17 507 H Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 7- 9 514 A Catholic Memorial ( 2-14, 86.6) 13- 1 516 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 10- 8 520 H Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 16- 6 530 H Wauwatosa ( 7-11, 89.5) 12- 8 604 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Janesville 8- 7 1 2 -0.98
409 A Waukesha 13- 4 9 0 ++ 4.64
410 A Verona 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.37
412 H Wausau 16- 6 10 3 1.55
416 H Oconomowoc 18- 8 10 5 0.00
421 H Oak Creek 18- 3 15 10 0.00
424 H West Bend 16- 6 10 5 0.00
426 H Neenah 5-19 -14 -3 - -2.29
426 H Marquette University 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.50
430 A Kettle Moraine 7-17 -10 -6 0.00
507 H Mukwonago 7- 9 -2 -3 0.56
514 A Catholic Memorial 13- 1 12 7 0.00
516 H Homestead 10- 8 2 1 0.54
520 H Muskego 16- 6 10 7 0.00
530 H Wauwatosa 12- 8 4 5 -1.00
604 H Homestead 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Neenah 5-19 -14 -3 - -2.29 426 H Marquette University 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.50 604 H Homestead 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Waukesha 13- 4 9 0 ++ 4.64 410 A Verona 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.37 |
Arrowhead Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Appleton | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) | Appleton | |
| Bay Port | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Brookfield | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Catholic Memorial | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Cedarburg | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 6- 3 vs 4- 4 | ||
| De Pere | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| DeForest | DeForest | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | DeForest | |
| Elkhorn | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Franklin | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 7- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Hamilton | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| Homestead | Arrowhead | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) | Arrowhead | |
| Hudson | Hudson | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Hudson | |
| Janesville | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Kenosha | Arrowhead | tied - ( 6- 0) ( 6- 0) | Arrowhead | |
| Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Kimberly | Kimberly | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 1) | Kimberly | |
| La Crosse | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Madison | |
| Marquette University | Marquette University | Marquette University | ||
| Middleton | Middleton | Middleton 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Mukwonago | Mukwonago | Mukwonago | ||
| Muskego | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Neenah | Neenah | Neenah | ||
| Notre Dame Green Ba | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Arrowhead | |
| Oak Creek | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Oconomowoc | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Oneida Nation | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Oregon | |
| Pulaski | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Sauk Prairie | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Sun Prairie | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| Superior | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| University Milwauke | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) | Arrowhead | |
| Verona | Verona | Verona | ||
| Waukesha | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Waunakee | Waunakee | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Waunakee | |
| Wausau | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Wauwatosa | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| West Bend | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Whitefish Bay | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 6- 1 vs 3- 3 |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Janesville ( 9- 9, 93.0) 8- 7 -6.90 10.48 -0.85 1.05 10.07
0 A Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 13- 4 -6.99 10.39 0.85 1.05 11.76
0 A Verona (12- 4, 96.6) 6- 7 -3.26 14.13 0.85 1.05 -2.51
0 H Wausau ( 6-11, 91.5) 16- 6 -8.37 9.01 -0.85 1.05 8.53
0 H Oconomowoc ( 7-11, 89.8) 18- 8 -10.09 7.29 -0.85 1.05 6.73
0 H Oak Creek ( 1-16, 84.7) 18- 3 -15.24 2.14 -0.85 1.05 1.35
0 H West Bend ( 5-12, 89.7) 16- 6 -10.19 7.20 -0.85 1.05 6.63
0 H Neenah (13- 7, 97.7) 5-19 -2.21 15.18 -0.85 1.05 -3.20
0 H Marquette Univ (15- 5, 95.5) 6- 9 -4.42 12.96 -0.85 1.05 -5.52
0 A Kettle Moraine (17- 2, 98.9) 7-17 -0.99 16.40 0.85 1.05 -0.14
0 H Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 7- 9 -2.36 15.02 -0.85 1.05 -3.36
0 A Catholic Memor ( 2-14, 86.6) 13- 1 -13.34 4.05 0.85 1.05 5.12
0 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 10- 8 -6.38 11.00 -0.85 1.05 10.61
0 H Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 16- 6 -12.17 5.21 -0.85 1.05 4.56
0 H Wauwatosa ( 7-11, 89.5) 12- 8 -10.35 7.03 -0.85 1.05 6.46
0 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 4- 5 -6.38 11.00 -0.85 1.05 -7.57
------
49.52
|
winning pts = 71.8224 losing points = -22.3027
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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