Arcadia
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 91.1993Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 20- 2 212 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 10- 9 227 A Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 15-14 306 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 11-12 317 A Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 5- 6 319 H Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 5-14 325 H Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 10-13 328 H Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 17- 5 401 H Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 4, 93.7) 3- 6 404 A Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 8- 3 415 A Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 0- 8 422 H Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 15- 4 425 A Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 3-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Salpointe Catholic 20- 2 18 8 0.00
212 A Corona del Sol 10- 9 1 0 1.12
227 A Higley 15-14 1 3 -1.67
306 H Desert Vista 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.18
317 A Scottsdale 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.16
319 H Brophy Prep 5-14 -9 -9 0.00
325 H Chandler 10-13 -3 -4 1.35
328 H Oro Valley 17- 5 12 4 1.07
401 H Notre Dame Prep 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.64
404 A Boulder Creek 8- 3 5 2 + 3.35
415 A Pinnacle 0- 8 -8 -1 -- -4.05
422 H Oro Valley 15- 4 11 4 1.07
425 A Desert Vista 3-11 -8 -4 -0.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Scottsdale 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.16 415 A Pinnacle 0- 8 -8 -1 -- -4.05 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Desert Vista 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.18 404 A Boulder Creek 8- 3 5 2 + 3.35 |
Arcadia Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulder Creek | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | ||
| Brophy Prep II | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arcadia | |
| Cactus | Arcadia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Arcadia | |
| Cactus Shadows | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arcadia | |
| Catalina Foothills | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arcadia | |
| Chandler | Chandler | Chandler | ||
| Corona del Sol | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Desert Vista | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Desert Vista II | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arcadia | |
| Higley | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Notre Dame Prep II | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arcadia | |
| Oro Valley | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Pinnacle | Pinnacle | Pinnacle | ||
| Salpointe Catholic | Arcadia | Arcadia | ||
| Scottsdale | Scottsdale | Scottsdale | ||
| West Valley | Arcadia | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Arcadia |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 20- 2 -16.84 1.29 -0.12 1.05 1.23
0 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 10- 9 -8.71 9.43 0.12 1.05 10.05
0 A Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 15-14 -11.50 6.64 0.12 1.05 7.12
0 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 11-12 -4.40 13.73 -0.12 1.05 -4.76
0 A Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 5- 6 -11.99 6.15 0.12 1.05 -12.49
0 H Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 5-14 -0.00 18.13 -0.12 1.05 -0.13
0 H Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 10-13 -4.23 13.90 -0.12 1.05 -4.58
0 H Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 17- 5 -12.51 5.63 -0.12 1.05 5.79
0 H Notre Dame Pre ( 7- 4, 93.7) 3- 6 -6.21 11.92 -0.12 1.05 -6.67
0 A Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 8- 3 -10.47 7.66 0.12 1.05 8.20
0 A Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 0- 8 -7.87 10.26 0.12 1.05 -8.16
0 H Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 15- 4 -12.51 5.63 -0.12 1.05 5.79
0 A Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 3-11 -4.40 13.73 0.12 1.05 -4.50
------
-3.11
|
winning pts = 38.1765 losing points = -41.2867
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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