safe3step boys Apex 1

  
Apex                  
W-L: (18- 5)  PR =    95.5370
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 227 H Broughton                            (17- 5, 92.7)    11- 4   
 301 A Christ School                        (11- 4, 95.5)     8- 5   
 306 H Ashley                               (10-13, 90.9)    11- 8   
 307 A Chapel Hill                          (12- 8, 89.5)    11- 4   
 310 A Green Level                          (13- 7, 94.0)     8- 7   
 313 H Cary HS                              ( 7-17, 79.2)    18- 0   
 315 A Northwest Guilford                   (20- 5, 94.7)    12- 5   
 317 A Panther Creek                        ( 2-18, 79.4)    17- 1   
 325 A Middle Creek                         (21- 4, 97.7)     4-10   
 327 A Athens Drive                         (13- 8, 91.1)    17- 7   
 328 H Green Hope                           (10-11, 91.9)    13- 9   
 408 A Holly Springs                        (12- 9, 93.6)    12-11   
 414 H Apex Friendship                      (16- 7, 94.4)     9- 8   
 415 A Cary HS                              ( 7-17, 79.2)    16- 1   
 417 H Green Level                          (13- 7, 94.0)     7- 8   
 422 H Panther Creek                        ( 2-18, 79.4)    20- 1   
 425 A Apex Friendship                      (16- 7, 94.4)     8- 7   
 429 H Middle Creek                         (21- 4, 97.7)    11-12   
 501 A Green Hope                           (10-11, 91.9)     8- 4   
 506 H Holly Springs                        (12- 9, 93.6)    13-14   
 513 H Ashley                               (10-13, 90.9)    14- 5   
 516 A Pinecrest                            (13- 8, 86.5)    11- 5   
 520 A Cardinal Gibbons                     (21- 0, 99.9)     8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Broughton              11- 4       7     3           1.86
   301 A Christ School           8- 5       3     0    +      3.23
   306 H Ashley                 11- 8       3     5          -1.94
   307 A Chapel Hill            11- 4       7     6           0.00
   310 A Green Level             8- 7       1     1          -0.30
   313 H Cary HS                18- 0      18    17           0.00
   315 A Northwest Guilford     12- 5       7     1    ++     4.45
   317 A Panther Creek          17- 1      16    16           0.00
   325 A Middle Creek            4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.59
   327 A Athens Drive           17- 7      10     4           0.87
   328 H Green Hope             13- 9       4     4           0.13
   408 A Holly Springs          12-11       1     2          -0.64
   414 H Apex Friendship         9- 8       1     1          -0.39
   415 A Cary HS                16- 1      15    16           0.00
   417 H Green Level             7- 8      -1     2    -     -2.84
   422 H Panther Creek          20- 1      19    16           0.00
   425 A Apex Friendship         8- 7       1     1           0.15
   429 H Middle Creek           11-12      -1    -2           0.86
   501 A Green Hope              8- 4       4     3           0.68
   506 H Holly Springs          13-14      -1     2    -     -3.18
   513 H Ashley                 14- 5       9     5           0.06
   516 A Pinecrest              11- 5       6     9           0.00
   520 A Cardinal Gibbons        8-13      -5    -5          -0.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Middle Creek            4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.59
   417 H Green Level             7- 8      -1     2    -     -2.84
   506 H Holly Springs          13-14      -1     2    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Northwest Guilford     12- 5       7     1    ++     4.45
   301 A Christ School           8- 5       3     0    +      3.23

Apex Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Apex Friendship	Apex	Apex
Ardrey Kell	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
Arendell Parrott Aca	Apex			Apex
Asheville HS	Apex			Apex
Asheville School	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Ashley	Apex	Apex
Athens Drive	Apex	Apex
Atkins	Apex			Apex
Ballantyne Ridge	Apex			Apex
Bishop McGuinness	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Bradford Prep	Apex			Apex
Broughton	Apex	Apex
Butler	Apex			Apex
Cannon School	Apex		Apex 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cape Fear Academy	Apex			Apex
Cape Fear HS	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Cardinal Gibbons	Cardinal Gibbons	Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Cary Academy	Apex			Apex
Cary Christian	Apex			Apex
Cary HS	Apex	Apex
Cedar Ridge	Apex			Apex
Chapel Hill	Apex	Apex
Charlotte Catholic	Charlotte Catholic		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1)	Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
Charlotte Christian	Apex			Apex
Charlotte Latin	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Christ School	Apex	Apex
Christ The King	Apex			Apex
Clayton	Apex			Apex
Cleveland	Apex			Apex
Community School-Dav	Apex			Apex
Corinth Holders	Apex			Apex
Cornerstone Charter	Apex			Apex
Croatan	Apex		insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1)	Apex
Cuthbertson	Apex			Apex
Davie	Apex			Apex
DH Conley	Apex			Apex
Durham Academy	Apex		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Apex
East Chapel Hill	Apex		Apex 4- 0 vs 2- 2
East Forsyth	Apex			Apex
Eastern Alamance	Apex			Apex
Eastern Guilford	Apex			Apex
Enloe	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 3
Fike	Apex			Apex
First Flight	Apex			Apex
Forsyth Country Day	Apex			Apex
Fuquay-Varina	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 1
Garner	Apex			Apex
Glenn	Apex			Apex
Grays Creek	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Green Hope	Apex	Apex
Green Level	Apex		tied - ( 7- 2) ( 7- 1)	Apex
Greensboro Day	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Grimsley	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Havelock	Apex			Apex
Heritage	Apex		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)	Apex
Hickory	Apex			Apex
High Point Central	Apex			Apex
Hillsborough Orange	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Apex
Hoggard	Apex		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1)	Apex
Holly Springs	Apex		Apex 8- 2 vs 6- 4
Hough	Hough		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1)	Hough
Hunt	Apex			Apex
Independence	Apex			Apex
Jack Britt	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	Apex
Jacksonville	Apex			Apex
JF Webb	Apex			Apex
JH Rose	Apex			Apex
John Paul II Catholi	Apex			Apex
Jordan	Apex		Apex 4- 1 vs 1- 3
Lake Norman Charter	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Lake Norman HS	Lake Norman HS		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Lake Norman HS
Laney	Apex		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Apex
Leesville Road	Apex		Apex 4- 0 vs 2- 4
Lincoln Charter	Apex			Apex
Marvin Ridge	Apex			Apex
Middle Creek	Middle Creek	Middle Creek
Millbrook	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Mooresville	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Mount Tabor	Apex			Apex
Mountain Island Char	Apex			Apex
Myers Park	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
New Bern	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
New Hanover	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
North Brunswick	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
North Davidson	Apex			Apex
North Lincoln	Apex			Apex
North Raleigh Christ	Apex			Apex
Northern Durham	Apex		Apex 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Northern Guilford	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Northside	Apex			Apex
Northwest Guilford	Apex	Apex
Northwood	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Page	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Panther Creek	Apex	Apex
Parkwood	Apex			Apex
Patton Morganton	Apex			Apex
Pine Forest	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Pine Lake Prep	Apex			Apex
Pinecrest	Apex	Apex
Porter Ridge	Apex			Apex
Providence	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Providence Day	Apex		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Apex
Queens Grant	Apex			Apex
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Ragsdale	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Ravenscroft School	Apex			Apex
Reagan	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Riverside Durham	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2
RJ Reynolds	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Rolesville	Apex			Apex
Roxboro Community	Apex			Apex
Sanderson	Apex		Apex 4- 0 vs 1- 5
Seaforth	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
South Brunswick	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
South Garner	Apex		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Apex
South Iredell	Apex			Apex
South Mecklenburg	Apex			Apex
South View	Apex			Apex
Southeast Alamance	Apex			Apex
Southeast Guilford	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Southern Alamance	Apex			Apex
Southlake Christian	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Southwest Guilford	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
St Davids School	Apex			Apex
St Stephens	Apex			Apex
Sun Valley	Apex			Apex
Swansboro	Apex			Apex
TC Roberson	Apex			Apex
Terry Sanford	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Topsail	Apex		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Apex
Union Pines	Apex		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Vance Charter	Apex			Apex
Voyager Academy	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
Wake Forest	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Wake Prep	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Wakefield	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Walter M Williams	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Watauga	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Weddington	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
West Brunswick	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
West Carteret	Apex			Apex
West Forsyth	Apex			Apex
West Stokes	Apex			Apex
Western Alamance	Apex			Apex
Western Guilford	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Willow Spring	Apex		Apex 5- 2 vs 0- 6

PowerWise = 143

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Broughton       (17- 5, 92.7)    11- 4       -7.23      26.58      -0.27         0.78            20.51
   0 A Christ School   (11- 4, 95.5)     8- 5       -4.41      29.40       0.27         0.78            23.14
   0 H Ashley          (10-13, 90.9)    11- 8       -9.04      24.77      -0.27         0.78            19.10
   0 A Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)    11- 4      -10.38      23.43       0.27         0.78            18.48
   0 A Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)     8- 7       -5.94      27.87       0.27         0.78            21.94
   0 H Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)    18- 0      -20.72      13.08      -0.27         0.78             9.99
   0 A Northwest Guil  (20- 5, 94.7)    12- 5       -5.18      28.63       0.27         0.78            22.53
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)    17- 1      -20.55      13.26       0.27         0.78            10.55
   0 A Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     4-10       -2.23      31.58       0.27         0.78            -1.53
   0 A Athens Drive    (13- 8, 91.1)    17- 7       -8.76      25.05       0.27         0.78            19.74
   0 H Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)    13- 9       -7.96      25.85      -0.27         0.78            19.94
   0 A Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)    12-11       -6.28      27.53       0.27         0.78            21.68
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (16- 7, 94.4)     9- 8       -5.48      28.32      -0.27         0.78            21.87
   0 A Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)    16- 1      -20.72      13.08       0.27         0.78            10.41
   0 H Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)     7- 8       -5.94      27.87      -0.27         0.78            -4.84
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)    20- 1      -20.55      13.26      -0.27         0.78            10.13
   0 A Apex Friendshi  (16- 7, 94.4)     8- 7       -5.48      28.32       0.27         0.78            22.30
   0 H Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)    11-12       -2.23      31.58      -0.27         0.78            -1.95
   0 A Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)     8- 4       -7.96      25.85       0.27         0.78            20.37
   0 H Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)    13-14       -6.28      27.53      -0.27         0.78            -5.11
   0 H Ashley          (10-13, 90.9)    14- 5       -9.04      24.77      -0.27         0.78            19.10
   0 A Pinecrest       (13- 8, 86.5)    11- 5      -13.41      20.40       0.27         0.78            16.11
   0 A Cardinal Gibbo  (21- 0, 99.9)     8-13       -0.00      33.81       0.27         0.78            -0.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       314.27

winning pts = 327.9022 losing points = -13.6308

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------