All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.0500031 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 H Lexington ( 9-10, 77.5) 11-10 401 A Acton Boxborough (17- 4, 88.2) 9-17 404 A Andover HS (13- 4, 88.0) 7-16 408 H Xaverian Brothers ( 9-11, 85.1) 7-10 411 H Billerica Memorial (22- 1, 91.0) 2-20 415 A Central Catholic ( 7-13, 80.6) 13- 5 418 H Chelmsford ( 2-17, 77.5) 15-10 422 H Duxbury (16- 6, 87.8) 2-11 424 A Needham (12- 8, 83.0) 16-11 426 H Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 8-11 429 H Andover HS (13- 4, 88.0) 10-11 502 H Marblehead (10- 9, 77.4) 13- 4 506 H Dracut (17- 4, 84.9) 13- 7 508 A Chelmsford ( 2-17, 77.5) 11- 4 512 H Central Catholic ( 7-13, 80.6) 13- 9 515 A Billerica Memorial (22- 1, 91.0) 5-16 519 H Mansfield (20- 2, 88.8) 5-15 522 A Burlington (11- 9, 81.0) 11-13 602 H Grafton ( 7-12, 77.9) 11- 4 604 A Mansfield (20- 2, 88.8) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Lexington 11-10 1 6 -- -5.36 401 A Acton Boxborough 9-17 -8 -5 -1.02 404 A Andover HS 7-16 -9 -5 -1.19 408 H Xaverian Brothers 7-10 -3 -1 -1.82 411 H Billerica Memorial 2-20 -18 -7 0.00 415 A Central Catholic 13- 5 8 1 ++ 5.36 418 H Chelmsford 15-10 5 6 -1.36 422 H Duxbury 2-11 -9 -3 - -3.06 424 A Needham 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.77 426 H Reading Memorial 8-11 -3 -3 0.49 429 H Andover HS 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.11 502 H Marblehead 13- 4 9 6 0.49 506 H Dracut 13- 7 6 0 +++ 7.00 508 A Chelmsford 11- 4 7 4 + 2.34 512 H Central Catholic 13- 9 4 3 0.66 515 A Billerica Memorial 5-16 -11 -8 0.00 519 H Mansfield 5-15 -10 -4 - -2.05 522 A Burlington 11-13 -2 1 - -3.19 602 H Grafton 11- 4 7 6 0.98 604 A Mansfield 6-14 -8 -6 -0.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Lexington 11-10 1 6 -- -5.36 422 H Duxbury 2-11 -9 -3 - -3.06 519 H Mansfield 5-15 -10 -4 - -2.05 522 A Burlington 11-13 -2 1 - -3.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H Dracut 13- 7 6 0 +++ 7.00 415 A Central Catholic 13- 5 8 1 ++ 5.36 424 A Needham 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.77 429 H Andover HS 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.11 508 A Chelmsford 11- 4 7 4 + 2.34
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.05 Power Rank................. 30 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 65.26 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7509 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .5626 RPI Rank................... 50 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 135 Selection sum ........... 147 Selection Rank ............ 38 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 66 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 94 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0