---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys AMSA Charter 1
  
AMSA Charter          
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 86.2204

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Lunenburg (10- 7, 85.0) 5- 7 402 A St Bernards ( 8-10, 84.0) 10- 5 404 H Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 5-11 407 H Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 3- 2 410 H Tyngsborough (10- 7, 87.3) 4- 9 415 A Groton-Dunstable Reg ( 6-12, 88.0) 1- 0 417 A Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 5- 3 428 A North Middlesex ( 9-11, 89.1) 4- 6 430 H Littleton (17- 2, 89.6) 8- 9 501 A Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 1-10 505 A Malden Catholic ( 3-15, 86.8) 7- 6 512 H Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 5- 6 514 H Mansfield (20- 2, 98.1) 1-16 516 A Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 7-12 518 H Ashland ( 9-10, 86.3) 5- 7 519 A Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 92.7) 2-11 521 A Assabet Valley RVT (10-10, 81.0) 14- 1 523 A Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 6- 2 602 A Abington (14- 6, 88.8) 6- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Lunenburg               5- 7      -2     2    -     -3.82
   402 A St Bernards            10- 5       5     2    +      3.38
   404 H Nipmuc Regional         5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.10
   407 H Blackstone Valley RV    3- 2       1     3          -1.72
   410 H Tyngsborough            4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.57
   417 A Tantasqua Regional      5- 3       2    -2    ++     4.46
   428 A North Middlesex         4- 6      -2    -3           1.47
   430 H Littleton               8- 9      -1    -3           1.75
   501 A Algonquin               1-10      -9    -7           0.00
   505 A Malden Catholic         7- 6       1    -1    +      2.25
   512 H Tantasqua Regional      5- 6      -1    -1           0.19
   514 H Mansfield               1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   516 A Nipmuc Regional         7-12      -5    -3          -1.83
   518 H Ashland                 5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.56
   519 A Nashoba Regional        2-11      -9    -7           0.00
   521 A Assabet Valley RVT     14- 1      13     5           0.37
   523 A Blackstone Valley RV    6- 2       4     1    +      2.55
   602 A Abington                6- 8      -2    -3           1.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Tyngsborough            4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.57
   331 H Lunenburg               5- 7      -2     2    -     -3.82
   404 H Nipmuc Regional         5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.10
   518 H Ashland                 5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Tantasqua Regional      5- 3       2    -2    ++     4.46
   402 A St Bernards            10- 5       5     2    +      3.38
   505 A Malden Catholic         7- 6       1    -1    +      2.25
   523 A Blackstone Valley RV    6- 2       4     1    +      2.55

AMSA Charter Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington Abington  
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin Algonquin  
Amesbury AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Amherst-Pelham Reg AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Apponequet Regional   Apponequet Regional
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic   Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arlington HS
Ashland Ashland Ashland  
Assabet Valley RVT AMSA Charter AMSA Charter  
Attleboro AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) AMSA Charter
Auburn AMSA Charter tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 3) AMSA Charter
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bedford Bedford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bedford
Belchertown AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Bellingham AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) AMSA Charter
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley RV AMSA Charter AMSA Charter  
Blue Hills RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Boston College HS Boston College HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Braintree AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Brookline Brookline   Brookline
Burlington Burlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Cambridge Rindge-Lat   Cambridge Rindge-Lat
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cape Cod Academy AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Cape Cod Tech AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Cardinal Spellman AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic   Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Cohasset Cohasset insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Dartmouth AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Dedham AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Doherty Memorial AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut   Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Longmeadow
Essex Tech Essex Tech tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Essex Tech
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Falmouth Academy   Falmouth Academy
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Falmouth HS
Foxborough Foxborough tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foxborough
Framingham Framingham   Framingham
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin
Gloucester AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Grafton Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) Grafton
Granby AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Greater Lowell RVT AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Greater New Bedford AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Groton-Dunstable Reg AMSA Charter AMSA Charter  
Hamilton-Wenham Regi AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Hanover Hanover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill   Haverhill
Hingham Hingham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hingham
Holliston Holliston Holliston   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hoosac Valley AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Hopkinton Hopkinton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hopkinton
Hudson AMSA Charter tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) AMSA Charter
Hull AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Ipswich Ipswich insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Leominster AMSA Charter tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) AMSA Charter
Lexington Lexington   Lexington
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Littleton Littleton  
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Lowell Catholic AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Lunenburg Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Lynn Classical-Engli AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Lynnfield Lynnfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lynnfield
Malden AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Malden Catholic AMSA Charter AMSA Charter  
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg   Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield Mansfield  
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marshfield Marshfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
McCann Technical AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Medfield Medfield Medfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Medford Medford   Medford
Medway Medway tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Medway
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Methuen
Middleborough AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Milford Milford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Milford
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Monomoy Regional AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Monson AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Montachusett RVT AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mount Greylock Regio AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Mystic Valley Charte AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Nantucket Nantucket tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional  
Nashoba Valley Tech AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Newburyport Newburyport tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
North Andover North Andover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Attleboro
North Middlesex North Middlesex North Middlesex  
North Quincy Co-op AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Northeast Metro RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Norton AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Norwell Norwell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Norwell
Norwood AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   6- 3 vs 3- 6
Old Colony RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region   Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) AMSA Charter
Peabody Vets Memoria AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Pembroke Pembroke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Plymouth North Plymouth North insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Reading Memorial
Revere AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Rockland AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Salem AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Sandwich Sandwich tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sandwich
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Scituate
Seekonk AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Sharon Sharon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT   Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) AMSA Charter
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Somerset Berkley AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Somerville AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
South Hadley AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
South Shore RVT AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Southeastern RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Springfield Central AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
St Bernards AMSA Charter AMSA Charter  
St John Paul II AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
St Marys Westfield St Marys Westfield   St Marys Westfield
Stoneham AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Stoughton AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Sturgis Charter East AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Tantasqua Regional
Taunton AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Tech Boston Academy AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Triton Regional AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough Tyngsborough  
Upper Cape Cod RVT AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional   5- 1 vs 3- 4
Wahconah AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Waltham
Watertown AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Wayland AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough Westborough   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Westfield AMSA Charter insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) AMSA Charter
Westford Academy Westford Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westport AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westwood
Weymouth AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Whitman-Hanson AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Whittier RVT Whittier RVT insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Whittier RVT
Wilmington AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Winthrop
Woburn Memorial Woburn Memorial   Woburn Memorial
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 96


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lunenburg       (10- 7, 85.0)     5- 7      -14.87      17.67      -0.63         0.95           -14.72
   0 A St Bernards     ( 8-10, 84.0)    10- 5      -15.94      16.60       0.63         0.95            16.37
   0 H Nipmuc Regiona  (10- 8, 88.8)     5-11      -11.14      21.40      -0.63         0.95           -11.18
   0 H Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)     3- 2      -15.76      16.78      -0.63         0.95            15.34
   0 H Tyngsborough    (10- 7, 87.3)     4- 9      -12.62      19.92      -0.63         0.95           -12.59
   0 A Groton-Dunstab  ( 6-12, 88.0)     1- 0      -11.87      20.67       0.63         0.95            20.24
   0 A Tantasqua Regi  ( 7-13, 88.0)     5- 3      -11.86      20.68       0.63         0.95            20.25
   0 A North Middlese  ( 9-11, 89.1)     4- 6      -10.84      21.70       0.63         0.95            -9.69
   0 H Littleton       (17- 2, 89.6)     8- 9      -10.29      22.25      -0.63         0.95           -10.38
   0 A Algonquin       (16- 4, 93.1)     1-10       -6.85      25.69       0.63         0.95            -5.90
   0 A Malden Catholi  ( 3-15, 86.8)     7- 6      -13.07      19.47       0.63         0.95            19.10
   0 H Tantasqua Regi  ( 7-13, 88.0)     5- 6      -11.86      20.68      -0.63         0.95           -11.86
   0 H Mansfield       (20- 2, 98.1)     1-16       -1.81      30.73      -0.63         0.95            -2.32
   0 A Nipmuc Regiona  (10- 8, 88.8)     7-12      -11.14      21.40       0.63         0.95            -9.98
   0 H Ashland         ( 9-10, 86.3)     5- 7      -13.60      18.94      -0.63         0.95           -13.52
   0 A Nashoba Region  (15- 6, 92.7)     2-11       -7.18      25.36       0.63         0.95            -6.22
   0 A Assabet Valley  (10-10, 81.0)    14- 1      -18.94      13.60       0.63         0.95            13.52
   0 A Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)     6- 2      -15.76      16.78       0.63         0.95            16.54
   0 A Abington        (14- 6, 88.8)     6- 8      -11.13      21.41       0.63         0.95            -9.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         3.00

winning pts = 121.3510 losing points = -118.3503

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------