Amity Regional
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 84.1327Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 6- 8 408 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 9- 2 415 H Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 7- 3 417 A Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 7- 6 422 A Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 6- 8 424 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 4-17 426 H Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 10- 9 429 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 3-17 501 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 14- 5 503 H Hamden (11- 6, 81.3) 12- 6 505 H Lyman Hall ( 5-11, 78.0) 16- 2 507 A Notre Dame-West Have (11- 6, 91.6) 4-13 513 A Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 2-17 515 A Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 16- 1 520 A Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 74.5) 15- 2 523 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 10- 2 604 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Brookfield 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.74
408 H Branford 9- 2 7 6 0.00
415 H Xavier 7- 3 4 1 + 2.64
417 A Foran 7- 6 1 0 0.75
422 A Guilford 6- 8 -2 -3 1.20
424 H Daniel Hand 4-17 -13 -4 -0.65
426 H Sheehan 10- 9 1 0 0.88
429 H Fairfield Prep 3-17 -14 -14 0.00
501 H Pomperaug 14- 5 9 5 0.06
503 H Hamden 12- 6 6 3 1.65
505 H Lyman Hall 16- 2 14 7 0.00
507 A Notre Dame-West Have 4-13 -9 -8 0.00
513 A Cheshire HS 2-17 -15 -11 0.00
515 A Norwalk 16- 1 15 14 0.00
520 A Jonathan Law 15- 2 13 9 0.00
523 H Shelton 10- 2 8 8 0.00
604 H New Milford 4-10 -6 1 -- -5.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 H New Milford 4-10 -6 1 -- -5.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Xavier 7- 3 4 1 + 2.64 |
Amity Regional Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avon HS | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Bacon Academy | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Berlin | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Branford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Brien McMahon | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Bristol Co-Op | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Amity Regional | |
| Canton | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Danbury | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| East Lyme | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Ellington | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Enfield | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| EO Smith | Amity Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Farmington | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Fitch Groton | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Foran | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Greenwich HS | |
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Hamden | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Holy Cross | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Immaculate Danbury | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Amity Regional | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow 4- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Jonathan Law | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Lakeview United | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Lewis Mills | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Lyman Hall | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Masuk | Amity Regional | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Middletown | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Montville | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Morgan School | Amity Regional | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| North Haven | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 7- 2 vs 2- 7 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Norwalk | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Norwich Tech | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Amity Regional | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Old Saybrook | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Pomperaug | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| RHAM | Amity Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville Co-op | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Rocky Hill | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Sheehan | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Shelton | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Amity Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | Amity Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Stamford | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Suffield | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Tolland | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Waterford | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Watertown | Amity Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| West Haven | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 7- 0 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Westhill | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Weston | Weston | Weston 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Wethersfield | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 7- 0 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Wolcott | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Woodstock Academy | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Xavier | Amity Regional | Amity Regional |
PowerWise = 71
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 6- 8 -14.98 25.27 0.47 1.00 -14.52
0 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 9- 2 -21.22 19.04 -0.47 1.00 18.58
0 H Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 7- 3 -16.65 23.60 -0.47 1.00 23.14
0 A Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 7- 6 -16.49 23.77 0.47 1.00 24.25
0 A Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 6- 8 -13.04 27.22 0.47 1.00 -12.57
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 4-17 -10.94 29.31 -0.47 1.00 -11.42
0 H Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 10- 9 -15.41 24.84 -0.47 1.00 24.38
0 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 3-17 -1.78 38.47 -0.47 1.00 -2.26
0 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 14- 5 -20.23 20.02 -0.47 1.00 19.56
0 H Hamden (11- 6, 81.3) 12- 6 -18.65 21.61 -0.47 1.00 21.15
0 H Lyman Hall ( 5-11, 78.0) 16- 2 -21.88 18.38 -0.47 1.00 17.92
0 A Notre Dame-Wes (11- 6, 91.6) 4-13 -8.26 31.99 0.47 1.00 -7.79
0 A Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 2-17 -5.60 34.65 0.47 1.00 -5.13
0 A Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 16- 1 -30.00 10.25 0.47 1.00 10.73
0 A Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 74.5) 15- 2 -25.35 14.90 0.47 1.00 15.39
0 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 10- 2 -23.71 16.55 -0.47 1.00 16.08
0 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 4-10 -16.07 24.19 -0.47 1.00 -16.55
------
120.93
|
winning pts = 191.1792 losing points = -70.2458
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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