---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Amherst-Pelham Reg 1
  
Amherst-Pelham Reg    
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 85.2218

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Westfield ( 3-13, 83.7) 11- 7 402 H Lenox/Lee (10- 8, 80.7) 10- 5 407 A South Hadley ( 3-15, 81.7) 10- 4 411 A Agawam (13- 4, 91.8) 2-10 414 H Pope Francis Prep ( 4-10, 83.1) 6- 5 416 A Northampton (14- 3, 85.5) 5- 9 421 A Wahconah ( 3-12, 79.0) 15- 9 430 H Belchertown ( 6-11, 78.9) 15- 6 502 H South Hadley ( 3-15, 81.7) 14- 6 506 H Agawam (13- 4, 91.8) 10-16 510 H Wahconah ( 3-12, 79.0) 18- 5 513 A West Springfield (13- 4, 89.7) 6-17 515 A East Longmeadow (13- 4, 90.0) 0-14 517 H West Springfield (13- 4, 89.7) 4-11 519 H Granby ( 9- 9, 78.7) 17- 1 530 A Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 92.7) 1-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Westfield              11- 7       4     1    +      3.10
   402 H Lenox/Lee              10- 5       5     5           0.00
   407 A South Hadley           10- 4       6     3    +      2.10
   411 A Agawam                  2-10      -8    -7           0.00
   414 H Pope Francis Prep       6- 5       1     3          -1.71
   416 A Northampton             5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.11
   421 A Wahconah               15- 9       6     6           0.00
   430 H Belchertown            15- 6       9     7           0.00
   502 H South Hadley           14- 6       8     4           0.84
   506 H Agawam                 10-16      -6    -6           0.00
   510 H Wahconah               18- 5      13     7           0.00
   513 A West Springfield        6-17     -11    -5           0.00
   515 A East Longmeadow         0-14     -14    -5           0.00
   517 H West Springfield        4-11      -7    -4          -1.14
   519 H Granby                 17- 1      16     7           0.00
   530 A Nashoba Regional        1-16     -15    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Northampton             5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Westfield              11- 7       4     1    +      3.10
   407 A South Hadley           10- 4       6     3    +      2.10

Amherst-Pelham Reg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington   Abington
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam Agawam  
Algonquin Algonquin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Algonquin
Amesbury Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
AMSA Charter AMSA Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) AMSA Charter
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Apponequet Regional   Apponequet Regional
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic   Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS   Arlington HS
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belchertown Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Bellingham Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly Beverly   Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley RV Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Blue Hills RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Boston College HS Boston College HS   Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Braintree Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Brookline Brookline   Brookline
Burlington Burlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Cambridge Rindge-Lat   Cambridge Rindge-Lat
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Cape Cod Tech Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Cardinal Spellman Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial   Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford   Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Danvers   Danvers
Dartmouth Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Dedham Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Doherty Memorial Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut   Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow East Longmeadow  
Essex Tech Essex Tech   Essex Tech
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Falmouth Academy   Falmouth Academy
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Foxborough Foxborough   Foxborough
Framingham Framingham   Framingham
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gloucester Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Grafton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Granby Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Greater Lowell RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Greater New Bedford Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Groton-Dunstable Reg Groton-Dunstable Reg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Groton-Dunstable Reg
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill   Haverhill
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Holliston   Holliston
Hoosac Valley Amherst-Pelham Reg tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Amherst-Pelham Reg
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Hull Amherst-Pelham Reg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amherst-Pelham Reg
Ipswich Ipswich tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Leominster Leominster tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Leominster
Lexington Lexington   Lexington
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Littleton   Littleton
Longmeadow Longmeadow Longmeadow   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lowell Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Lowell Catholic Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Lunenburg Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Lynn Classical-Engli Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Lynnfield Lynnfield   Lynnfield
Malden Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Malden Catholic Malden Catholic   Malden Catholic
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg   Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Marthas Vineyard   Marthas Vineyard
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
McCann Technical Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Medford   Medford
Medway Medway   Medway
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleborough Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Minuteman Regional Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Monomoy Regional Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Monson Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Montachusett RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Mount Greylock Regio Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mystic Valley Charte Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Nantucket Nantucket tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional  
Nashoba Valley Tech Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover   North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro   North Attleboro
North Middlesex North Middlesex tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Middlesex
North Quincy Co-op Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton Northampton Northampton  
Northeast Metro RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Norton Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region   Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Peabody Vets Memoria Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Pembroke Pembroke   Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial   Reading Memorial
Revere Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Rockland Rockland   Rockland
Salem Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT   Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Amherst-Pelham Reg insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Amherst-Pelham Reg
Somerset Berkley Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Somerville Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
South Hadley Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
South Shore RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Southeastern RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Springfield Central Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Bernards Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
St John Paul II Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury   St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
St Marys Westfield St Marys Westfield   St Marys Westfield
Stoneham Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Stoughton Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Sturgis Charter East Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tantasqua Regional
Taunton Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Tech Boston Academy Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial   Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Triton Regional Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough   Tyngsborough
Upper Cape Cod RVT Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wachusett Regional
Wahconah Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Wayland Wayland   Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield  
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg  
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westport Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Whitman-Hanson Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Whittier RVT Whittier RVT   Whittier RVT
Wilmington Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Winthrop   Winthrop
Woburn Memorial Woburn Memorial   Woburn Memorial
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers   Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 85


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Westfield       ( 3-13, 83.7)    11- 7      -16.21      16.33       0.63         1.13            19.13
   0 H Lenox/Lee       (10- 8, 80.7)    10- 5      -19.23      13.31      -0.63         1.13            14.30
   0 A South Hadley    ( 3-15, 81.7)    10- 4      -18.21      14.33       0.63         1.13            16.88
   0 A Agawam          (13- 4, 91.8)     2-10       -8.12      24.42       0.63         1.13            -8.44
   0 H Pope Francis P  ( 4-10, 83.1)     6- 5      -16.76      15.78      -0.63         1.13            17.09
   0 A Northampton     (14- 3, 85.5)     5- 9      -14.42      18.12       0.63         1.13           -15.55
   0 A Wahconah        ( 3-12, 79.0)    15- 9      -20.88      11.66       0.63         1.13            13.87
   0 H Belchertown     ( 6-11, 78.9)    15- 6      -21.04      11.50      -0.63         1.13            12.26
   0 H South Hadley    ( 3-15, 81.7)    14- 6      -18.21      14.33      -0.63         1.13            15.45
   0 H Agawam          (13- 4, 91.8)    10-16       -8.12      24.42      -0.63         1.13            -9.87
   0 H Wahconah        ( 3-12, 79.0)    18- 5      -20.88      11.66      -0.63         1.13            12.44
   0 A West Springfie  (13- 4, 89.7)     6-17      -10.18      22.36       0.63         1.13           -10.77
   0 A East Longmeado  (13- 4, 90.0)     0-14       -9.87      22.67       0.63         1.13           -10.42
   0 H West Springfie  (13- 4, 89.7)     4-11      -10.18      22.36      -0.63         1.13           -12.20
   0 H Granby          ( 9- 9, 78.7)    17- 1      -21.16      11.38      -0.63         1.13            12.12
   0 A Nashoba Region  (15- 6, 92.7)     1-16       -7.18      25.36       0.63         1.13            -7.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        58.90

winning pts = 133.5406 losing points = -74.6427

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------