Alvirne
W-L: ( 1-15) PR = 79.3414Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 A Hanover ( 6-10, 86.1) 1-13 421 A Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 1-17 423 H Spaulding ( 0-16, 74.7) 9- 4 425 A Oyster River-Newmark ( 9- 8, 87.7) 0-14 428 H St Thomas Aquinas (13- 6, 90.4) 3-22 502 H Keene-Monadnock ( 3-12, 84.0) 2-16 505 H Winnacunnet (13- 4, 90.7) 4-17 507 A Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 2-15 514 H Portsmouth (16- 4, 92.5) 4-14 515 A Timberlane (12- 5, 89.3) 4-17 519 H Merrimack Valley ( 6-10, 86.1) 3-16 520 H Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 1- 8 521 A Pembroke Academy ( 2-13, 81.9) 1- 8 523 H Hollis-Brookline (13- 6, 89.9) 4-12 527 A Kingswood ( 4-10, 84.3) 2-14 530 H Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A Hanover 1-13 -12 -7 0.00
421 A Derryfield 1-17 -16 -14 0.00
423 H Spaulding 9- 4 5 5 0.00
425 A Oyster River-Newmark 0-14 -14 -9 0.00
428 H St Thomas Aquinas 3-22 -19 -11 0.00
502 H Keene-Monadnock 2-16 -14 -4 -0.67
505 H Winnacunnet 4-17 -13 -11 0.00
507 A Goffstown 2-15 -13 -9 0.00
514 H Portsmouth 4-14 -10 -13 0.00
515 A Timberlane 4-17 -13 -10 0.00
519 H Merrimack Valley 3-16 -13 -6 0.00
520 H Nashua South 1- 8 -7 -7 0.00
521 A Pembroke Academy 1- 8 -7 -3 - -2.07
523 H Hollis-Brookline 4-12 -8 -10 0.00
527 A Kingswood 2-14 -12 -5 0.00
530 H Souhegan 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 A Pembroke Academy 1- 8 -7 -3 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 530 H Souhegan 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.85 |
Alvirne Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bishop Brady | Bishop Brady | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Brady | |
| Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Guertin | |
| Bow | Bow | Bow | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Campbell | |
| Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Coe-Brown | |
| Concord | Concord | Concord 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| ConVal | ConVal | ConVal | ||
| Derryfield | Derryfield | Derryfield | ||
| Dover | Dover | Dover 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Exeter HS | Exeter HS | Exeter HS 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Gilford | Gilford | Gilford | ||
| Goffstown | Goffstown | Goffstown | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hollis-Brookline | Hollis-Brookline | Hollis-Brookline | ||
| Hopkinton | Hopkinton | Hopkinton | ||
| Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | ||
| John Stark | John Stark | John Stark | ||
| Kearsarge | Kearsarge | Kearsarge | ||
| Keene-Monadnock | Keene-Monadnock | Keene-Monadnock | ||
| Kennett | Kennett | Kennett | ||
| Kingswood | Kingswood | Kingswood | ||
| Laconia | Laconia | Laconia | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Londonderry | Londonderry | Londonderry 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Manchester Memorial- | Manchester Memorial- | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Manchester Memorial- | |
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Milford | Alvirne | Alvirne | ||
| Nashua North | Nashua North | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Nashua North | |
| Nashua South | Nashua South | Nashua South | ||
| Oyster River-Newmark | Oyster River-Newmark | Oyster River-Newmark | ||
| Pelham | Pelham | Pelham | ||
| Pembroke Academy | Pembroke Academy | Pembroke Academy | ||
| Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | Portsmouth | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Salem | |
| Souhegan | Souhegan | Souhegan | ||
| Spaulding | Alvirne | Alvirne | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stevens | Alvirne | Alvirne | ||
| Timberlane | Timberlane | Timberlane | ||
| Trinity Manchester | Trinity Manchester | Trinity Manchester | ||
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Windham | |
| Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet |
PowerWise = 3
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.30
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hanover ( 6-10, 86.1) 1-13 -13.78 12.82 0.38 1.02 -13.65
0 A Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 1-17 -6.94 19.66 0.38 1.02 -6.69
0 H Spaulding ( 0-16, 74.7) 9- 4 -25.23 1.37 -0.38 1.02 1.01
0 A Oyster River-N ( 9- 8, 87.7) 0-14 -12.21 14.38 0.38 1.02 -12.06
0 H St Thomas Aqui (13- 6, 90.4) 3-22 -9.47 17.12 -0.38 1.02 -10.03
0 H Keene-Monadnoc ( 3-12, 84.0) 2-16 -15.85 10.74 -0.38 1.02 -16.53
0 H Winnacunnet (13- 4, 90.7) 4-17 -9.22 17.37 -0.38 1.02 -9.78
0 A Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 2-15 -11.75 14.85 0.38 1.02 -11.58
0 H Portsmouth (16- 4, 92.5) 4-14 -7.37 19.22 -0.38 1.02 -7.89
0 A Timberlane (12- 5, 89.3) 4-17 -10.58 16.01 0.38 1.02 -10.40
0 H Merrimack Vall ( 6-10, 86.1) 3-16 -13.82 12.78 -0.38 1.02 -14.46
0 H Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 1- 8 -13.67 12.93 -0.38 1.02 -14.30
0 A Pembroke Acade ( 2-13, 81.9) 1- 8 -18.01 8.59 0.38 1.02 -17.96
0 H Hollis-Brookli (13- 6, 89.9) 4-12 -10.03 16.56 -0.38 1.02 -10.61
0 A Kingswood ( 4-10, 84.3) 2-14 -15.60 11.00 0.38 1.02 -15.50
0 H Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 9-10 -16.33 10.27 -0.38 1.02 -17.02
------
-187.45
|
winning pts = 1.0075 losing points = -188.4539
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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