---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:53 PDT

safe3step boys Alpharetta 1
  
Alpharetta            
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 89.2339

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Marist (18- 3, 94.4) 1- 9 214 A Walton (10-11, 91.6) 6- 5 219 A Mill Creek (16- 3, 91.7) 5-15 221 A Johns Creek ( 7-11, 85.2) 13- 2 228 H Richmond Hill ( 7- 6, 82.8) 12- 6 305 A Harrison ( 7-10, 87.3) 9- 8 310 A Milton (10- 6, 93.3) 6-14 317 A Riverwood (11- 7, 84.4) 16-11 320 A Lambert (19- 0, 99.9) 1-19 321 H Centennial ( 5-10, 83.5) 13- 5 325 H South Forsyth (15- 7, 91.0) 11-12 328 H West Forsyth (11- 7, 91.1) 6- 5 402 H North Paulding (13- 7, 91.1) 8-14 414 H Forsyth Central ( 7-10, 81.1) 18- 8 418 A North Forsyth (10- 7, 87.6) 7- 5 422 A Cambridge (14- 4, 95.1) 3-13 429 H McEachern ( 2-16, 64.0) 22- 0 501 A North Paulding (13- 7, 91.1) 8-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Marist                  1- 9      -8    -5          -0.43
   214 A Walton                  6- 5       1    -3    +      3.94
   219 A Mill Creek              5-15     -10    -3          -1.95
   221 A Johns Creek            13- 2      11     3           1.54
   228 H Richmond Hill          12- 6       6     7           0.00
   305 A Harrison                9- 8       1     1          -0.40
   310 A Milton                  6-14      -8    -5          -0.38
   317 A Riverwood              16-11       5     4           0.68
   320 A Lambert                 1-19     -18   -11           0.00
   321 H Centennial             13- 5       8     6           0.00
   325 H South Forsyth          11-12      -1    -1           0.17
   328 H West Forsyth            6- 5       1    -1    +      2.32
   402 H North Paulding          8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.70
   414 H Forsyth Central        18- 8      10     9           0.00
   418 A North Forsyth           7- 5       2     1           0.91
   422 A Cambridge               3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   429 H McEachern              22- 0      22    26           0.00
   501 A North Paulding          8-15      -7    -2    -     -2.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H North Paulding          8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.70
   501 A North Paulding          8-15      -7    -2    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Walton                  6- 5       1    -3    +      3.94
   328 H West Forsyth            6- 5       1    -1    +      2.32

Alpharetta Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Allatoona
Archer Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Benedictine Military Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) Blessed Trinity
Bremen Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Brookwood Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Buford Buford insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Buford
Calvary Day Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Cambridge Cambridge Cambridge  
Campbell Alpharetta Alpharetta   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Carrollton Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Centennial Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Chamblee Charter Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chattahoochee Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherokee Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Alpharetta
Cherokee Bluff Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Collins Hill Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Creekview Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Alpharetta
Dacula Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Dalton Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Darlington Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Decatur Alpharetta tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Alpharetta
Denmark Denmark insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) Denmark
Druid Hills Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Duluth Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Dunwoody Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Dutchtown Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Eagles Landing Chris Alpharetta   Alpharetta
East Coweta Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
East Forsyth Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 1 vs 0- 4
East Paulding Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Effingham County Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Etowah Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Evans Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Fayette County Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Fellowship Christian Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Alpharetta
Flowery Branch Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Forsyth Central Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Gainesville Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
George Walton Academ Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Grayson Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Greater Atlanta Chri Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Alpharetta
Greenbrier Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Grovetown Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Harrison Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Hebron Christian Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Hillgrove Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Alpharetta
Holy Innocents Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Islands Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Jackson Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Jackson County Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Johns Creek Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Johnson Savannah Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Kell Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Kennesaw Mountain Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Kings Ridge Christia Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Lakeside-DeKalb Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Lakeside-Evans Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Lambert Lambert Lambert  
Lanier Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Lovett Lovett insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lovett
Marietta Marietta insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Marietta
Marist Marist Marist  
Mays Alpharetta   Alpharetta
McEachern Alpharetta Alpharetta  
McIntosh Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Midtown Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Alpharetta
Mill Creek Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Milton Milton Milton  
Mount Bethel Christi Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Mount Paran Christia Alpharetta tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Alpharetta
Mount Pisgah Christi Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Mount Vernon Presbyt Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Mountain View Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Alpharetta
Newnan Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Norcross Alpharetta   Alpharetta
North Atlanta Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 1 vs 1- 3
North Cobb North Cobb insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) North Cobb
North Cobb Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
North Forsyth Alpharetta Alpharetta  
North Gwinnett Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Alpharetta
North Oconee Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
North Paulding North Paulding North Paulding  
North Springs Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northgate Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Northview Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oconee County Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Ola Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Pace Academy Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Parkview Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Peachtree Ridge Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Pope Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Alpharetta
Richmond Hill Alpharetta Alpharetta  
River Ridge Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Alpharetta
Riverwood Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Roswell Roswell Roswell   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Savannah Christian Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Savannah Country Day Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Seckinger Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Sequoyah Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Alpharetta
South Effingham Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
South Forsyth South Forsyth South Forsyth  
Southwest DeKalb Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Sprayberry Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
St Pius X St Pius X tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Pius X
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Starrs Mill
Strong Rock Christia Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Trinity Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Union Grove Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Walker School Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Walton Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School Wesleyan School   3- 2 vs 0- 5
West Forsyth Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Westminster Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Wheeler Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Whitefield Academy Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Whitewater Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Woodstock Woodstock insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Woodstock
Woodward Academy Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Alpharetta

PowerWise = 100


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Marist          (18- 3, 94.4)     1- 9       -5.54      33.12      -0.56         0.84            -5.14
   0 A Walton          (10-11, 91.6)     6- 5       -8.29      30.37       0.56         0.84            26.05
   0 A Mill Creek      (16- 3, 91.7)     5-15       -8.18      30.48       0.56         0.84            -6.41
   0 A Johns Creek     ( 7-11, 85.2)    13- 2      -14.69      23.97       0.56         0.84            20.66
   0 H Richmond Hill   ( 7- 6, 82.8)    12- 6      -17.10      21.56      -0.56         0.84            17.68
   0 A Harrison        ( 7-10, 87.3)     9- 8      -12.63      26.03       0.56         0.84            22.39
   0 A Milton          (10- 6, 93.3)     6-14       -6.61      32.05       0.56         0.84            -5.09
   0 A Riverwood       (11- 7, 84.4)    16-11      -15.55      23.11       0.56         0.84            19.94
   0 A Lambert         (19- 0, 99.9)     1-19       -0.00      38.66       0.56         0.84            -0.47
   0 H Centennial      ( 5-10, 83.5)    13- 5      -16.40      22.26      -0.56         0.84            18.27
   0 H South Forsyth   (15- 7, 91.0)    11-12       -8.94      29.72      -0.56         0.84            -8.00
   0 H West Forsyth    (11- 7, 91.1)     6- 5       -8.79      29.87      -0.56         0.84            24.68
   0 H North Paulding  (13- 7, 91.1)     8-14       -8.80      29.86      -0.56         0.84            -7.88
   0 H Forsyth Centra  ( 7-10, 81.1)    18- 8      -18.76      19.90      -0.56         0.84            16.29
   0 A North Forsyth   (10- 7, 87.6)     7- 5      -12.31      26.35       0.56         0.84            22.66
   0 A Cambridge       (14- 4, 95.1)     3-13       -4.83      33.83       0.56         0.84            -3.60
   0 H McEachern       ( 2-16, 64.0)    22- 0      -35.86       2.80      -0.56         0.84             1.89
   0 A North Paulding  (13- 7, 91.1)     8-15       -8.80      29.86       0.56         0.84            -6.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       146.97

winning pts = 190.5055 losing points = -43.5341

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------