Patrick Henry Ashla
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 79.2985Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 5-11 318 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 4-12 321 H Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 6- 2 326 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 3- 9 409 H Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 7- 4 414 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 13- 5 417 A Mechanicsville ( 8- 8, 77.7) 3- 6 424 A Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 4-13 428 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 4- 6 501 A Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 2-20 506 A Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 2 508 H Mechanicsville ( 8- 8, 77.7) 15- 5 515 H Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 1-20 522 A Monacan ( 9- 9, 82.5) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Glen Allen 5-11 -6 -4 -1.02
318 H Goochland 4-12 -8 -3 - -2.26
321 H Fluvanna County 6- 2 4 1 + 3.39
326 A Monticello 3- 9 -6 -8 0.00
409 H Massaponax 7- 4 3 5 -1.89
414 H Powhatan 13- 5 8 3 + 2.09
417 A Mechanicsville 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.03
424 A Hanover 4-13 -9 -8 0.00
428 A Mills Godwin 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.09
501 A Atlee 2-20 -18 -12 0.00
506 A Powhatan 15- 2 13 2 + 3.30
508 H Mechanicsville 15- 5 10 2 + 2.76
515 H Hanover 1-20 -19 -7 0.00
522 A Monacan 4-10 -6 -4 -1.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Mechanicsville 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.03 318 H Goochland 4-12 -8 -3 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Fluvanna County 6- 2 4 1 + 3.39 414 H Powhatan 13- 5 8 3 + 2.09 506 A Powhatan 15- 2 13 2 + 3.30 508 H Mechanicsville 15- 5 10 2 + 2.76 |
Patrick Henry Ashla Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brooke Point | |
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Patrick Henry Ashla | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Christchurch | Christchurch | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christchurch | |
| Christiansburg | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Clover Hill | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla 2- 4 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Collegiate School | |
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colonial Forge | |
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Patrick Henry Ashla | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Eastern View | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fauquier | |
| First Colonial | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Forest Park | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla 2- 6 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | James Monroe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | James Monroe | |
| James River | James River | James River 5- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Matoaca | Patrick Henry Ashla | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Patrick Henry Ashla | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Menchville LC | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Midlothian | |
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mountain View | |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Patrick Henry Ashla | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Northern VA Home Sch | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Orange County | |
| Osbourn | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Osbourn Park | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Park View | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Powhatan | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Annes-Belfield | |
| St Christophers | St Christophers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Christophers | |
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stafford | |
| Steward School | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Tandem Friends | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Thomas Dale | Patrick Henry Ashla | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Unity Reed | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Veritas School | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Virginia Academy | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodberry Forest | |
| Woodbridge | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 5-11 -17.23 17.77 0.61 1.00 -16.55
0 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 4-12 -17.26 17.75 -0.61 1.00 -17.79
0 H Fluvanna Count ( 5- 9, 79.3) 6- 2 -20.61 14.40 -0.61 1.00 13.73
0 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 3- 9 -13.06 21.95 0.61 1.00 -12.40
0 H Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 7- 4 -24.88 10.12 -0.61 1.00 9.47
0 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 13- 5 -22.91 12.09 -0.61 1.00 11.44
0 A Mechanicsville ( 8- 8, 77.7) 3- 6 -22.24 12.77 0.61 1.00 -21.54
0 A Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 4-13 -13.44 21.56 0.61 1.00 -12.78
0 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 4- 6 -20.30 14.70 0.61 1.00 -19.61
0 A Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 2-20 -9.04 25.96 0.61 1.00 -8.40
0 A Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 2 -22.91 12.09 0.61 1.00 12.65
0 H Mechanicsville ( 8- 8, 77.7) 15- 5 -22.24 12.77 -0.61 1.00 12.11
0 H Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 1-20 -13.44 21.56 -0.61 1.00 -14.00
0 A Monacan ( 9- 9, 82.5) 4-10 -17.44 17.56 0.61 1.00 -16.77
------
-80.42
|
winning pts = 59.4064 losing points = -139.8314
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------