---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Albemarle 1
  
Albemarle             
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 84.6024

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Rockbridge County ( 4- 9, 81.4) 8- 6 324 H Eastern View ( 0-13, 72.3) 23- 0 408 H Jefferson Forest (14- 3, 89.0) 4-11 415 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 13- 4 416 H Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 91.7) 4-13 422 H Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 14- 5 423 A Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 1-13 429 A Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 6- 8 502 A Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 11- 5 506 H Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 12- 3 507 H Matoaca ( 2- 7, 72.9) 17- 0 514 H James River (10- 7, 85.9) 9- 8 515 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 9- 8 519 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 2- 9 521 H Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 8-10 527 H Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 6- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Rockbridge County       8- 6       2     3          -0.55
   324 H Eastern View           23- 0      23    13           0.00
   408 H Jefferson Forest        4-11      -7    -4          -1.16
   415 H Goochland              13- 4       9     3    +      2.43
   416 H Douglas Freeman         4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   422 H Charlottesville        14- 5       9     6           0.00
   423 A Salem                   1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   429 A Western Albemarle       6- 8      -2    -3           0.75
   502 A Orange County          11- 5       6     4           0.76
   506 H Fluvanna County        12- 3       9     6           0.00
   507 H Matoaca                17- 0      17    12           0.00
   514 H James River             9- 8       1    -1           1.68
   515 A Glen Allen              9- 8       1     1          -0.32
   519 H Monticello              2- 9      -7    -2    -     -3.37
   521 H Western Albemarle       8-10      -2    -2          -0.47
   527 H Midlothian              6- 7      -1    -1           0.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Monticello              2- 9      -7    -2    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Goochland              13- 4       9     3    +      2.43

Albemarle Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Albemarle   Albemarle
Atlee Atlee Atlee   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Albemarle   Albemarle
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Albemarle tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Albemarle
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broad Run
Brooke Point Albemarle   Albemarle
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Albemarle tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Albemarle
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Albemarle Albemarle  
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Albemarle
Clover Hill Albemarle Albemarle   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Colgan Albemarle   Albemarle
Collegiate School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Albemarle   Albemarle
Cosby Cosby Cosby   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Albemarle   Albemarle
Culpeper County Albemarle Albemarle   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Deep Run Deep Run insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Deep Run
Dominion Albemarle   Albemarle
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Eastern View Albemarle Albemarle  
EC Glass EC Glass insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) EC Glass
Edison Albemarle   Albemarle
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Albemarle   Albemarle
Fairfax Albemarle   Albemarle
Falls Church Albemarle   Albemarle
Fauquier Albemarle tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Albemarle
First Colonial Albemarle   Albemarle
Fishburne Military A Albemarle   Albemarle
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Albemarle Albemarle  
Forest Park Albemarle   Albemarle
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Albemarle Albemarle   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Fredericksburg Acade Albemarle   Albemarle
Fredericksburg Chris Albemarle   Albemarle
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Albemarle   Albemarle
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Albemarle   Albemarle
Glen Allen Albemarle Albemarle  
Goochland Albemarle Albemarle  
Grafton LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Grassfield LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Green Run Albemarle   Albemarle
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Albemarle   Albemarle
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Hidden Valley Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Albemarle
Highland School Albemarle   Albemarle
Highland Springs Albemarle Albemarle   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hylton Albemarle   Albemarle
Independence Independence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Independence
James Monroe Albemarle tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Albemarle
James River Albemarle Albemarle  
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest  
John Champe Albemarle   Albemarle
Justice Albemarle   Albemarle
Kellam Kellam insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Kellam
Kempsville Albemarle   Albemarle
Kettle Run Albemarle insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Albemarle
Lafayette LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Albemarle   Albemarle
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Albemarle   Albemarle
Liberty Bealeton Albemarle tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Albemarle
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Albemarle   Albemarle
Lord Botetourt Albemarle   Albemarle
Loudoun County Loudoun County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Albemarle   Albemarle
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Manchester insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Manchester
Marshall Albemarle   Albemarle
Massaponax Albemarle tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albemarle
Matoaca Albemarle Albemarle  
Maury LC Albemarle   Albemarle
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Albemarle Albemarle   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Menchville LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Meridian Meridian Meridian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Midlothian Midlothian Midlothian  
Mills Godwin Albemarle Albemarle   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Monacan Albemarle insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Albemarle
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mount Vernon Albemarle   Albemarle
Mountain View Albemarle   Albemarle
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albemarle
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Albemarle   Albemarle
Norfolk Collegiate Albemarle   Albemarle
North Cross School North Cross School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Cross School
North Stafford Albemarle   Albemarle
Northern VA Home Sch Albemarle   Albemarle
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Albemarle   Albemarle
Orange County Albemarle Albemarle  
Osbourn Albemarle   Albemarle
Osbourn Park Albemarle   Albemarle
Park View Albemarle   Albemarle
Patrick Henry Ashla Albemarle Albemarle   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Albemarle   Albemarle
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Albemarle   Albemarle
Powhatan Albemarle Albemarle   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Princess Anne Albemarle   Albemarle
Riverbend Albemarle tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albemarle
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Albemarle   Albemarle
Rockbridge County Albemarle Albemarle  
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem Salem  
Salem Virginia Beach Albemarle   Albemarle
Seton School Albemarle   Albemarle
South County South County   South County
South Lakes Albemarle   Albemarle
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Albemarle   Albemarle
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Albemarle   Albemarle
Steward School Albemarle   Albemarle
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Tabb LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Tallwood Albemarle   Albemarle
Tandem Friends Albemarle   Albemarle
Thomas Dale Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albemarle
Thomas Jefferson Albemarle   Albemarle
Trinity Christian Albemarle   Albemarle
Trinity Episcopal Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albemarle
Trinity Meadow View Albemarle   Albemarle
Tuscarora Albemarle   Albemarle
Unity Reed Albemarle   Albemarle
Veritas School Albemarle   Albemarle
Virginia Academy Albemarle   Albemarle
Virginia Episcopal S Albemarle   Albemarle
Wakefield HS Albemarle   Albemarle
Wakefield School Albemarle   Albemarle
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield Albemarle   Albemarle
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd Albemarle tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Albemarle
William Fleming Albemarle   Albemarle
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Albemarle   Albemarle
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Albemarle   Albemarle
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 107


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Rockbridge Cou  ( 4- 9, 81.4)     8- 6      -18.46      16.54       0.61         0.87            14.95
   0 H Eastern View    ( 0-13, 72.3)    23- 0      -27.61       7.39      -0.61         0.87             5.91
   0 H Jefferson Fore  (14- 3, 89.0)     4-11      -10.85      24.15      -0.61         0.87            -9.99
   0 H Goochland       (12- 5, 82.6)    13- 4      -17.26      17.75      -0.61         0.87            14.93
   0 H Douglas Freema  (14- 6, 91.7)     4-13       -8.19      26.81      -0.61         0.87            -7.67
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 3-11, 78.8)    14- 5      -21.10      13.90      -0.61         0.87            11.59
   0 A Salem           (17- 3, 91.8)     1-13       -8.12      26.88       0.61         0.87            -6.55
   0 A Western Albema  (14- 5, 86.7)     6- 8      -13.16      21.84       0.61         0.87           -10.94
   0 A Orange County   ( 4-12, 79.8)    11- 5      -20.14      14.86       0.61         0.87            13.48
   0 H Fluvanna Count  ( 5- 9, 79.3)    12- 3      -20.61      14.40      -0.61         0.87            12.02
   0 H Matoaca         ( 2- 7, 72.9)    17- 0      -27.03       7.97      -0.61         0.87             6.42
   0 H James River     (10- 7, 85.9)     9- 8      -14.01      21.00      -0.61         0.87            17.77
   0 A Glen Allen      ( 6-10, 82.7)     9- 8      -17.23      17.77       0.61         0.87            16.02
   0 H Monticello      (14- 3, 86.8)     2- 9      -13.06      21.95      -0.61         0.87           -11.91
   0 H Western Albema  (14- 5, 86.7)     8-10      -13.16      21.84      -0.61         0.87           -12.00
   0 H Midlothian      ( 7- 9, 86.5)     6- 7      -13.40      21.60      -0.61         0.87           -12.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        41.82

winning pts = 113.0771 losing points = -71.2524

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------