Air Academy
W-L: (16- 2) PR = 90.5414Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 8- 2 311 H Vanguard School ( 7- 8, 76.4) 18- 1 313 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 15- 8 318 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 15- 8 321 H Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 15- 5 325 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 12- 4 326 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 22- 1 404 H Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 14- 7 409 H Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 18- 2 412 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 16- 6 416 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 25- 4 425 A Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 11-12 430 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 12- 4 501 A Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 18- 4 509 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 10- 9 513 H Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 15- 9 517 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 10- 3 519 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Lewis Palmer 8- 2 6 2 + 2.81
311 H Vanguard School 18- 1 17 14 0.00
313 A Pine Creek 15- 8 7 6 0.00
318 A Pueblo West 15- 8 7 8 0.00
321 H Steamboat Springs 15- 5 10 4 1.40
325 A Vail Mountain 12- 4 8 6 0.00
326 A Crested Butte 22- 1 21 11 0.00
404 H Douglas County 14- 7 7 10 0.00
409 H Smoky Hill 18- 2 16 16 0.00
412 H Lutheran 16- 6 10 6 0.00
416 A Rangeview 25- 4 21 15 0.00
425 A Cheyenne Mountain 11-12 -1 2 - -3.46
430 H Ponderosa 12- 4 8 12 0.00
501 A Green Mountain 18- 4 14 7 0.00
509 H Cheyenne Mountain 10- 9 1 3 - -2.19
513 H Resurrection Christi 15- 9 6 4 1.26
517 A Aspen 10- 3 7 1 ++ 4.16
519 A Dakota Ridge 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Cheyenne Mountain 11-12 -1 2 - -3.46 509 H Cheyenne Mountain 10- 9 1 3 - -2.19 519 A Dakota Ridge 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A Aspen 10- 3 7 1 ++ 4.16 308 A Lewis Palmer 8- 2 6 2 + 2.81 |
Air Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Arvada West | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Aspen | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Battle Mountain | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Boulder | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Castle View | Air Academy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Chaparral | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Air Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Conifer | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Crested Butte | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Denver South | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Douglas County | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Durango | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Eagle Valley | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Eaglecrest | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Erie | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Evergreen | Air Academy | tied - ( 7- 2) ( 7- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fountain Valley | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Glenwood Springs | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Golden | Air Academy | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Grand Junction | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grandview | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Green Mountain | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Heritage | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Holy Family | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Lakewood | Air Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Legend | Legend | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Legend | |
| Lewis Palmer | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Littleton | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Lutheran | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Middle Park | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Monarch | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Montrose | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Mountain Range | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Air Academy | Air Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northfield | Air Academy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Palmer | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Pine Creek | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Ponderosa | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pueblo West | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rangeview | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Rock Canyon | Air Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Smoky Hill | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| St Marys HS | Air Academy | Air Academy 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Summit | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Telluride | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Thompson Valley | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| ThunderRidge | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Vail Mountain | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Windsor | Air Academy | Air Academy 5- 1 vs 2- 4 |
PowerWise = 58
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 8- 2 -11.92 21.59 0.37 0.84 18.35
0 H Vanguard Schoo ( 7- 8, 76.4) 18- 1 -23.47 10.03 -0.37 0.84 8.08
0 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 15- 8 -15.71 17.79 0.37 0.84 15.17
0 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 15- 8 -17.62 15.88 0.37 0.84 13.58
0 H Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 15- 5 -12.59 20.91 -0.37 0.84 17.17
0 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 12- 4 -15.41 18.09 0.37 0.84 15.43
0 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 22- 1 -20.43 13.07 0.37 0.84 11.23
0 H Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 14- 7 -18.78 14.73 -0.37 0.84 12.00
0 H Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 18- 2 -24.80 8.70 -0.37 0.84 6.97
0 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 16- 6 -15.49 18.01 -0.37 0.84 14.74
0 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 25- 4 -24.99 8.51 0.37 0.84 7.42
0 A Cheyenne Mount ( 8- 7, 87.7) 11-12 -12.19 21.32 0.37 0.84 -9.88
0 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 12- 4 -20.57 12.93 -0.37 0.84 10.50
0 A Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 18- 4 -16.80 16.70 0.37 0.84 14.26
0 H Cheyenne Mount ( 8- 7, 87.7) 10- 9 -12.19 21.32 -0.37 0.84 17.51
0 H Resurrection C (11- 4, 87.2) 15- 9 -12.73 20.77 -0.37 0.84 17.05
0 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 10- 3 -10.57 22.94 0.37 0.84 19.47
0 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 7-12 -8.69 24.81 0.37 0.84 -6.95
------
202.08
|
winning pts = 218.9116 losing points = -16.8297
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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