Annapolis Area Chris
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 81.3489Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A St Vincent Pallotti ( 3-10, 78.8) 13- 7 313 H Indian Creek School ( 3- 8, 79.9) 7- 4 318 A Concordia Prep ( 7- 3, 85.9) 4-20 321 H Maret ( 3- 5, 79.3) 9- 5 404 A Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 10- 9 408 H Cristo Rey Jesuit ( 0-10, 66.0) 22- 0 410 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 15- 4 416 A Chapelgate Christian ( 5- 7, 74.2) 11- 4 422 A Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 13-10 424 H Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 19- 1 429 A Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 17- 3 502 A Glenelg Country (11- 2, 80.5) 6- 7 506 H Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 11- 1 513 H Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A St Vincent Pallotti 13- 7 6 2 + 2.88
313 H Indian Creek School 7- 4 3 2 1.14
318 A Concordia Prep 4-20 -16 -5 0.00
321 H Maret 9- 5 4 3 1.50
404 A Gunston School 10- 9 1 3 - -2.50
408 H Cristo Rey Jesuit 22- 0 22 16 0.00
410 H Friends 15- 4 11 6 0.00
416 A Chapelgate Christian 11- 4 7 7 0.00
422 A Key School 13-10 3 1 1.61
424 H Beth TFiloh 19- 1 18 8 0.00
429 A Mount Carmel 17- 3 14 10 0.00
502 A Glenelg Country 6- 7 -1 0 -1.38
506 H Jemicy School 11- 1 10 8 0.00
513 H Key School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Gunston School 10- 9 1 3 - -2.50 513 H Key School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A St Vincent Pallotti 13- 7 6 2 + 2.88 |
Annapolis Area Chris Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Annapolis Area Chris | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Friends | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Garrett County LC | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Georgetown Day | Annapolis Area Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Jemicy School | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 9- 1) ( 9- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Annapolis Area Chris | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Salisbury School | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Sidwell Friends | |
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Andrews Episcopal | |
| St James | St James | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | St Johns Catholic Pr | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Academy for College | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Atholton | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Blair | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Carver A&T | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Clarksburg | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Dundalk | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| DuVal | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Einstein | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Elkton | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Friendly | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Gaithersburg | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Glen Burnie | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Great Mills | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Guilford Park | Annapolis Area Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Gwynn Park | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Hammond | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Harford Tech | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Havre De Grace | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Kennedy | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Kent County | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Lake Clifton | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Lansdowne | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Laurel | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Long Reach | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Magruder | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Mergenthaler | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| MJ McDonough | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| New Town | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| North East Cecil | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| North Hagerstown | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Northwestern PG | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Northwood | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Old Mill | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Overlea | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Owings Mills | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Oxon Hill | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Paint Branch | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Parkdale | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Patapsco | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Patterson HS | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Perry Hall | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Perryville | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Pikesville | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Poolesville | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Severn Run | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| St Charles | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Surrattsville | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Thomas Stone | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Western STES | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Westlake | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Wicomico | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Wilde Lake | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Wootton | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| DC International PCS | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Jackson Reed | Annapolis Area Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris |
PowerWise = 123
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A St Vincent Pal ( 3-10, 78.8) 13- 7 -21.12 14.48 0.45 0.87 12.93
0 H Indian Creek S ( 3- 8, 79.9) 7- 4 -19.96 15.63 -0.45 0.87 13.16
0 A Concordia Prep ( 7- 3, 85.9) 4-20 -13.97 21.63 0.45 0.87 -11.72
0 H Maret ( 3- 5, 79.3) 9- 5 -20.61 14.99 -0.45 0.87 12.60
0 A Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 10- 9 -22.50 13.10 0.45 0.87 11.74
0 H Cristo Rey Jes ( 0-10, 66.0) 22- 0 -33.86 1.73 -0.45 0.87 1.11
0 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 15- 4 -23.65 11.94 -0.45 0.87 9.97
0 A Chapelgate Chr ( 5- 7, 74.2) 11- 4 -25.68 9.92 0.45 0.87 8.98
0 A Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 13-10 -20.39 15.21 0.45 0.87 13.57
0 H Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 19- 1 -26.49 9.11 -0.45 0.87 7.51
0 A Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 17- 3 -28.56 7.04 0.45 0.87 6.49
0 A Glenelg Countr (11- 2, 80.5) 6- 7 -19.37 16.22 0.45 0.87 -16.41
0 H Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 11- 1 -25.72 9.88 -0.45 0.87 8.17
0 H Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 7- 8 -20.39 15.21 -0.45 0.87 -18.06
------
60.05
|
winning pts = 106.2393 losing points = -46.1854
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------