Northern VA Home Sch
W-L: ( 1- 9) PR = 72.5881Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Virginia Academy ( 4- 9, 75.0) 4- 8 313 A Norfolk Christian ( 7-10, 80.9) 0-15 320 A St John Paul the Gre ( 5- 9, 81.4) 4-12 327 H Virginia Academy ( 4- 9, 75.0) 7- 9 410 H Virginia Academy ( 4- 9, 75.0) 5- 9 421 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 7-10 425 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4- 6 426 A Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 1-15 501 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 3-16 509 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 15- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Virginia Academy 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.01
313 A Norfolk Christian 0-15 -15 -9 0.00
320 A St John Paul the Gre 4-12 -8 -9 0.00
327 H Virginia Academy 7- 9 -2 -2 -0.23
410 H Virginia Academy 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.23
421 A Annandale 7-10 -3 -2 -0.79
425 A Thomas Jefferson 4- 6 -2 -6 + 3.00
426 A Gainesville 1-15 -14 -17 0.00
501 A Seton School 3-16 -13 -10 0.00
509 H Osbourn 15- 5 10 7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Virginia Academy 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Thomas Jefferson 4- 6 -2 -6 + 3.00 |
Northern VA Home Sch Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Annandale | Annandale | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Benedictine | Benedictine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Benedictine | |
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Ireton | |
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop OConnell | |
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brooke Point | |
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cape Henry Collegiat | |
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Christiansburg | Christiansburg | ||
| Clover Hill | Clover Hill | Clover Hill | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colonial Forge | |
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Covenant School | |
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Culpeper County | Culpeper County | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fork Union Military | |
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Fredericksburg Acade | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fredericksburg Acade | |
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Grafton LC | Grafton LC | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Handley | Handley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Hidden Valley | Hidden Valley | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Highland School | |
| Highland Springs | Highland Springs | Highland Springs | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hylton | |
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Justice | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Justice | |
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Kempsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kempsville | |
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Massaponax | Massaponax | Massaponax | ||
| Matoaca | Matoaca | Matoaca | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | McLean | |
| Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | ||
| Menchville LC | Menchville LC | Menchville LC | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Mount Vernon | Mount Vernon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mountain View | |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | |
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Norfolk Academy | |
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Norfolk Collegiate | |
| North Cross School | North Cross School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Cross School | |
| North Stafford | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ocean Lakes | |
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Osbourn Park | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Park View | Northern VA Home Sch | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Powhatan | Powhatan | Powhatan | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Rock Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rock Ridge | |
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South County | |
| South Lakes | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Lakes | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Steward School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Steward School | |
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Tandem Friends | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Thomas Dale | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Trinity Episcopal | |
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tuscarora | |
| Unity Reed | Northern VA Home Sch | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northern VA Home Sch | |
| Veritas School | Veritas School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Veritas School | |
| Virginia Academy | Virginia Academy | Virginia Academy | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia Episcopal S | |
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Northern VA Home Sch | Northern VA Home Sch | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Woodbridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodbridge | |
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodson | |
| York LC | York LC | York LC | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 18
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Virginia Acade ( 4- 9, 75.0) 4- 8 -24.93 10.07 0.61 1.39 -33.91
0 A Norfolk Christ ( 7-10, 80.9) 0-15 -18.97 16.03 0.61 1.39 -25.61
0 A St John Paul t ( 5- 9, 81.4) 4-12 -18.50 16.51 0.61 1.39 -24.94
0 H Virginia Acade ( 4- 9, 75.0) 7- 9 -24.93 10.07 -0.61 1.39 -35.61
0 H Virginia Acade ( 4- 9, 75.0) 5- 9 -24.93 10.07 -0.61 1.39 -35.61
0 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 7-10 -25.71 9.29 0.61 1.39 -35.00
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 4- 6 -21.72 13.28 0.61 1.39 -29.43
0 A Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 1-15 -11.37 23.63 0.61 1.39 -15.01
0 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 3-16 -18.30 16.70 0.61 1.39 -24.67
0 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 15- 5 -33.59 1.41 -0.61 1.39 1.12
------
-258.67
|
winning pts = 1.1195 losing points = -259.7909
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------