---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Lowell 1
  
Lowell                
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 72.2141

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Sequoia ( 9- 8, 76.2) 7-12 225 A Lick Wilmerding (12- 6, 83.7) 1-13 308 A Moreau Catholic ( 0-13, 66.8) 15- 0 311 A Burlingame (12- 5, 83.1) 2-14 314 H Archie Williams ( 3-11, 72.2) 4- 5 318 H Woodside ( 3-12, 73.4) 7- 8 324 A Branson ( 2-14, 73.8) 2- 8 326 A Bay School ( 0- 5, 67.1) 5- 2 407 A Washington Fremont ( 3-18, 69.9) 13- 9 409 A Archbishop Riordan ( 7- 7, 76.2) 2- 4 415 A Urban School ( 4-10, 76.6) 1- 8 421 A Carlmont ( 5- 9, 79.5) 1-16 424 A Aragon ( 0-11, 70.8) 5- 3 428 A Los Altos (10- 5, 77.1) 9-12 430 A Bay School ( 0- 5, 67.1) 12- 3 501 A Archbishop Riordan ( 7- 7, 76.2) 3- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Sequoia                 7-12      -5    -4          -0.63
   225 A Lick Wilmerding         1-13     -12   -12           0.00
   308 A Moreau Catholic        15- 0      15     5           0.00
   311 A Burlingame              2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   314 H Archie Williams         4- 5      -1     0          -1.38
   318 H Woodside                7- 8      -1    -1          -0.13
   324 A Branson                 2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.06
   326 A Bay School              5- 2       3     5          -1.75
   407 A Washington  Fremont    13- 9       4     2    +      2.03
   409 A Archbishop Riordan      2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.37
   415 A Urban School            1- 8      -7    -5          -0.29
   421 A Carlmont                1-16     -15    -8           0.00
   424 A Aragon                  5- 3       2     1           0.90
   428 A Los Altos               9-12      -3    -5    +      2.00
   430 A Bay School             12- 3       9     5           0.25
   501 A Archbishop Riordan      3- 9      -6    -4          -0.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Branson                 2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Washington  Fremont    13- 9       4     2    +      2.03
   409 A Archbishop Riordan      2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.37
   428 A Los Altos               9-12      -3    -5    +      2.00

Lowell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Acalanes
Alhambra Alhambra insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Alhambra
Amador Valley Amador Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Amador Valley
Archie Williams Archie Williams Archie Williams  
Bay School Lowell Lowell  
Bentley School Bentley School   Bentley School
Berean Christian Berean Christian   Berean Christian
Berkeley Berkeley insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Bishop ODowd
Branson Branson Branson  
California California   California
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart Clayton Valley Chart   Clayton Valley Chart
College Park College Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) College Park
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dougherty Valley
Drew Drew   Drew
Dublin Dublin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dublin
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce Head-Royce   Head-Royce
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding  
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Marin Academy Marin Academy Marin Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Miramonte Miramonte tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Lowell Lowell  
Napa Lowell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lowell
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato Novato   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Petaluma Petaluma   Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Redwood Redwood Redwood   2- 0 vs 0- 2
San Marin San Marin San Marin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
San Rafael San Rafael insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) San Rafael
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy Sonoma Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Sonoma Academy
Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley   Sonoma Valley
St Vincent de Paul St Vincent de Paul   St Vincent de Paul
Stuart Hall Stuart Hall Stuart Hall   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Tamalpais Tamalpais Tamalpais   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Terra Linda Terra Linda Terra Linda   3- 0 vs 0- 3
University SF University SF University SF   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Urban School Urban School Urban School  
Vintage Vintage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vintage
Washington Fremont Lowell Lowell  
Windsor Windsor insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Windsor
Birmingham Charter Lowell   Lowell
El Camino Real Chart El Camino Real Chart   El Camino Real Chart
North Valley Militar North Valley Militar   North Valley Militar
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University Los Angel Lowell   Lowell
Aptos Aptos   Aptos
Aragon Lowell Lowell  
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Archbishop Mitty
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan  
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Burlingame Burlingame  
Carlmont Carlmont Carlmont  
Carmel Carmel   Carmel
Christopher Christopher   Christopher
Gunn Gunn Gunn   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Harbor Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lowell
Hillsdale Hillsdale Hillsdale   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Hollister-San Benito Lowell   Lowell
Latino College Prep Lowell tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Lowell
Leland Lowell   Lowell
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos Los Altos  
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Monte Vista Christia Monte Vista Christia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monte Vista Christia
Monterey Monterey   Monterey
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Pacific Grove Pacific Grove   Pacific Grove
Palma Palma   Palma
Palo Alto Palo Alto Palo Alto   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pioneer Pioneer insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Pioneer
Priory Priory Priory   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Sacred Heart Cathedr Sacred Heart Cathedr Sacred Heart Cathedr   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Cruz Lowell   Lowell
Saratoga Lowell   Lowell
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley   Scotts Valley
Sequoia Sequoia Sequoia  
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Serra San Mateo
Sobrato Lowell   Lowell
Soquel Soquel   Soquel
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Valley Christian Valley Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Valley Christian
Woodside Woodside Woodside  
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Lowell   Lowell
Brentwood School Brentwood School   Brentwood School
Calabasas Calabasas   Calabasas
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Capistrano Valley   Capistrano Valley
Castaic Castaic   Castaic
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Compton   Compton
Corona Corona   Corona
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran   Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Crespi Crespi   Crespi
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Damien Damien   Damien
Dana Hills Dana Hills   Dana Hills
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Downey   Downey
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena El Modena   El Modena
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza   Esperanza
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Lowell   Lowell
Grace Brethren Grace Brethren   Grace Brethren
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake   Harvard-Westlake
Hemet Hemet   Hemet
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian   Heritage Christian
Heritage HS Lowell   Lowell
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Lowell   Lowell
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada La Canada   La Canada
Laguna Hills Lowell   Lowell
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linfield Christian Linfield Christian   Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly Long Beach Poly   Long Beach Poly
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood Lowell   Lowell
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan   Millikan
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo   Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Norco   Norco
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Notre Dame Sherman   Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Lowell   Lowell
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Portola   Portola
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Riverside Poly   Riverside Poly
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Lowell   Lowell
Servite Servite   Servite
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon   Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Simi Royal   Simi Royal
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada   St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco St John Bosco   St John Bosco
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop   St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari Valencia Santa Clari   Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School Viewpoint School   Viewpoint School
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson   Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy Lowell   Lowell
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Bonita Vista   Bonita Vista
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Lowell   Lowell
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Lowell   Lowell
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Clairemont   Clairemont
Classical Academy Classical Academy   Classical Academy
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Del Lago Academy   Del Lago Academy
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Fallbrook   Fallbrook
Foothills Christian Lowell   Lowell
Francis Parker Francis Parker   Francis Parker
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Grossmont   Grossmont
Helix Charter Helix Charter   Helix Charter
Hilltop Lowell   Lowell
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Lowell   Lowell
Mar Vista Lowell   Lowell
Mater Dei Chula Vist Mater Dei Chula Vist   Mater Dei Chula Vist
Mira Mesa Lowell   Lowell
Mission Bay Lowell   Lowell
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Monte Vista Spring V Lowell   Lowell
Morse Lowell   Lowell
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Olympian   Olympian
Otay Ranch Lowell   Lowell
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Preuss School   Preuss School
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   Rancho Buena Vista
Sage Creek Lowell   Lowell
San Diego San Diego   San Diego
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Lowell   Lowell
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Santana   Santana
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Valhalla   Valhalla
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
West Hills West Hills   West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Bear River Bear River   Bear River
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Grant Union Lowell   Lowell
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Lincoln Stockton   Lincoln Stockton
Lincoln Sacramento Lincoln Sacramento   Lincoln Sacramento
Nevada Union Nevada Union   Nevada Union
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Oakmont   Oakmont
Rio Americano Rio Americano   Rio Americano
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Marys Stockton St Marys Stockton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Sequoia         ( 9- 8, 76.2)     7-12      -23.67      16.47       0.36         1.04           -24.23
   0 A Lick Wilmerdin  (12- 6, 83.7)     1-13      -16.21      23.93       0.36         1.04           -16.48
   0 A Moreau Catholi  ( 0-13, 66.8)    15- 0      -33.10       7.04       0.36         1.04             7.69
   0 A Burlingame      (12- 5, 83.1)     2-14      -16.83      23.31       0.36         1.04           -17.12
   0 H Archie William  ( 3-11, 72.2)     4- 5      -27.71      12.43      -0.36         1.04           -29.17
   0 H Woodside        ( 3-12, 73.4)     7- 8      -26.46      13.68      -0.36         1.04           -27.87
   0 A Branson         ( 2-14, 73.8)     2- 8      -26.10      14.04       0.36         1.04           -26.76
   0 A Bay School      ( 0- 5, 67.1)     5- 2      -32.80       7.34       0.36         1.04             8.01
   0 A Washington  Fr  ( 3-18, 69.9)    13- 9      -30.01      10.13       0.36         1.04            10.90
   0 A Archbishop Rio  ( 7- 7, 76.2)     2- 4      -23.67      16.47       0.36         1.04           -24.23
   0 A Urban School    ( 4-10, 76.6)     1- 8      -23.33      16.81       0.36         1.04           -23.88
   0 A Carlmont        ( 5- 9, 79.5)     1-16      -20.43      19.71       0.36         1.04           -20.86
   0 A Aragon          ( 0-11, 70.8)     5- 3      -29.15      10.99       0.36         1.04            11.80
   0 A Los Altos       (10- 5, 77.1)     9-12      -22.77      17.37       0.36         1.04           -23.30
   0 A Bay School      ( 0- 5, 67.1)    12- 3      -32.80       7.34       0.36         1.04             8.01
   0 A Archbishop Rio  ( 7- 7, 76.2)     3- 9      -23.67      16.47       0.36         1.04           -24.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -211.73

winning pts = 46.3985 losing points = -258.1270

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------