Severn Run
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 76.9206Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 14- 5 325 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 10- 2 328 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 5-11 401 A Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 2- 4 404 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 1-10 407 A Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 10- 4 411 H Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 8- 7 416 H Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 1-16 419 N Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 0-17 419 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 0-16 423 H Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 2-12 425 H Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 0-27 429 H North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 1-13 502 A Southern AA ( 3-11, 80.1) 2-14 507 A Marriotts Ridge (11- 6, 88.8) 1-25
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Meade 14- 5 9 3 + 2.25
325 H Guilford Park 10- 2 8 3 + 2.19
328 H Old Mill 5-11 -6 -3 -1.85
401 A Long Reach 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.08
404 A Northeast AA 1-10 -9 -9 0.00
407 A Hammond 10- 4 6 2 + 3.03
411 H Meade 8- 7 1 4 - -2.64
416 H Chesapeake AA 1-16 -15 -11 0.00
419 N Westminster 0-17 -17 -9 0.00
419 A Fallston 0-16 -16 -14 0.00
423 H Glen Burnie 2-12 -10 -4 -1.44
425 H Severna Park 0-27 -27 -17 0.00
429 H North County 1-13 -12 -6 0.00
502 A Southern AA 2-14 -12 -4 -1.42
507 A Marriotts Ridge 1-25 -24 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Meade 8- 7 1 4 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Meade 14- 5 9 3 + 2.25 325 H Guilford Park 10- 2 8 3 + 2.19 407 A Hammond 10- 4 6 2 + 3.03 |
Severn Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Gunston School | Gunston School | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | ||
| Jemicy School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Landon | Landon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Landon | |
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | Maret | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Vincent Pallotti | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aberdeen | |
| Academy for College | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Arundel | |
| Atholton | Atholton | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Atholton | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cambridge SD | |
| Carver A&T | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | CM Wright | |
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eleanor Roosevelt | |
| Elkton | Severn Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Fairmont Heights | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Severn Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Gwynn Park | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Hammond | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Hereford | |
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Severn Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Kennedy | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Lake Clifton | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Lansdowne | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Laurel | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Leonardtown | |
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Mergenthaler | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| MJ McDonough | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North East Cecil | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Hagerstown | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Harford | |
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Northwood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Owings Mills | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Oxon Hill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Paint Branch | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Parkdale | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Patapsco | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Patterson HS | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Perryville | |
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| South River | South River | South River 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | Western STES | ||
| Westlake | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Wicomico | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Wilde Lake | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Woodlawn | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| DC International PCS | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 67
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 14- 5 -26.18 9.42 0.45 0.81 7.98
0 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 10- 2 -25.35 10.25 -0.45 0.81 7.93
0 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 5-11 -19.39 16.21 -0.45 0.81 -16.04
0 A Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 2- 4 -21.50 14.09 0.45 0.81 -17.04
0 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 1-10 -14.68 20.91 0.45 0.81 -11.52
0 A Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 10- 4 -25.39 10.20 0.45 0.81 8.61
0 H Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 8- 7 -26.18 9.42 -0.45 0.81 7.26
0 H Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 1-16 -11.96 23.63 -0.45 0.81 -10.04
0 N Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 0-17 -14.01 21.58 -0.00 0.81 -11.34
0 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 0-16 -9.06 26.53 0.45 0.81 -6.97
0 H Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 2-12 -18.98 16.62 -0.45 0.81 -15.71
0 H Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 0-27 -5.52 30.07 -0.45 0.81 -4.83
0 H North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 1-13 -16.45 19.14 -0.45 0.81 -13.67
0 A Southern AA ( 3-11, 80.1) 2-14 -19.84 15.75 0.45 0.81 -15.69
0 A Marriotts Ridg (11- 6, 88.8) 1-25 -11.08 24.52 0.45 0.81 -8.60
------
-99.67
|
winning pts = 31.7776 losing points = -131.4488
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------