Aurora
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 73.9594Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Stow-Munroe Falls ( 4-12, 77.3) 4-12 404 H Padua Franciscan ( 6-12, 80.0) 1-12 405 A Willoughby South ( 4-11, 72.3) 10- 2 408 A Revere ( 5- 9, 83.6) 2-16 414 H West Geauga ( 4-10, 74.7) 7- 9 415 H Brecksville-Broadvie ( 9- 7, 83.8) 1-18 417 A Copley (10- 6, 87.0) 1-21 419 H Solon ( 6-11, 80.5) 1-15 422 H Kent Roosevelt ( 9-10, 81.4) 1-17 426 H Holy Name (16- 2, 83.4) 3-19 503 A Southeast Ravenna ( 7- 9, 76.4) 10-14 508 H Highland (13- 3, 88.9) 2-16 510 A Orange (10- 3, 82.0) 1-12 514 A Notre Dame-Cathedral ( 9-10, 76.6) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Stow-Munroe Falls 4-12 -8 -4 -1.22
404 H Padua Franciscan 1-12 -11 -6 0.00
405 A Willoughby South 10- 2 8 1 + 3.79
408 A Revere 2-16 -14 -10 0.00
414 H West Geauga 7- 9 -2 0 -1.67
415 H Brecksville-Broadvie 1-18 -17 -9 0.00
417 A Copley 1-21 -20 -13 0.00
419 H Solon 1-15 -14 -6 0.00
422 H Kent Roosevelt 1-17 -16 -7 0.00
426 H Holy Name 3-19 -16 -9 0.00
503 A Southeast Ravenna 10-14 -4 -3 -1.09
508 H Highland 2-16 -14 -14 0.00
510 A Orange 1-12 -11 -8 0.00
514 A Notre Dame-Cathedral 4- 7 -3 -3 0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Willoughby South 10- 2 8 1 + 3.79 |
Aurora Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Anderson | Anderson | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Anthony Wayne | Anthony Wayne | ||
| Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Archbishop McNichola | Archbishop McNichola | Archbishop McNichola | ||
| Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | ||
| Avon | Avon | Avon | ||
| Avon Lake | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Bay | Bay | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bay | |
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Bellbrook | Bellbrook | ||
| Benedictine Clevela | Benedictine Clevela | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Benedictine Clevela | |
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Boardman | Boardman 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Brecksville-Broadvie | Brecksville-Broadvie | Brecksville-Broadvie | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Buckeye Valley | Buckeye Valley | ||
| Canal Winchester | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Canfield | Canfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Canfield | |
| Canton Central Catho | Canton Central Catho | Canton Central Catho 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cardinal Mooney | |
| Carroll | Carroll | Carroll | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chagrin Falls | |
| Chaminade Julienne | Chaminade Julienne | Chaminade Julienne | ||
| Chardon | Chardon | Chardon 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Chr | Cincinnati Hills Chr | Cincinnati Hills Chr | ||
| Clay | Clay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Clay | |
| Cleveland Heights | Aurora | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Aurora | |
| Clinton-Massie | Clinton-Massie | Clinton-Massie | ||
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | ||
| Copley | Copley | Copley | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Chri | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | Cuyahoga Valley Chri 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | ||
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Elder Cincinnati | Elder Cincinnati | Elder Cincinnati | ||
| Elyria Catholic | Aurora | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Aurora | |
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairmont Kettering | Fairmont Kettering | Fairmont Kettering | ||
| Findlay | Findlay | Findlay | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| GlenOak-Canton | GlenOak-Canton | GlenOak-Canton 3- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Granville | Granville | Granville | ||
| Green | Green | Green 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Grove City | Grove City | Grove City | ||
| Hawken School | Hawken School | Hawken School 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Highland | Highland | Highland | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Hilliard Bradley | Hilliard Bradley | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | ||
| Holy Name | Holy Name | Holy Name | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hoover North Canton | |
| Hudson | Hudson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hudson | |
| Hudson Blue | Hudson Blue | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Hudson Blue | |
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | Indian Hill | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | ||
| John Glenn | John Glenn | John Glenn | ||
| Johnstown | Johnstown | Johnstown | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | ||
| Kenston | Kenston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Kenston | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Kent Roosevelt | Kent Roosevelt | ||
| Keystone | Aurora | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Aurora | |
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Kirtland | Kirtland | Kirtland | ||
| La Salle | La Salle | La Salle | ||
| Lake Uniontown | Lake Uniontown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lake Uniontown | |
| Lakewood | Lakewood | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Lakewood | |
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Licking Valley | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Lima | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Lincoln Gahanna | Lincoln Gahanna | Lincoln Gahanna | ||
| Little Miami | Little Miami | Little Miami | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Louisville | |
| Loveland | Loveland | Loveland | ||
| Madeira | Madeira | Madeira | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Marysville | Marysville | ||
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Medina | Medina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Medina | |
| Mentor | Mentor | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Mentor | |
| Miamisburg | Miamisburg | Miamisburg | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Monroe | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany | ||
| Newark | Newark | Newark | ||
| North Ridgeville | North Ridgeville | North Ridgeville | ||
| Northmont | Northmont | Northmont | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral | Notre Dame-Cathedral | Notre Dame-Cathedral | ||
| Oak Hills | Oak Hills | Oak Hills | ||
| Oakwood | Oakwood | Oakwood | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | ||
| Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Orange | Orange | Orange | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | ||
| Padua Franciscan | Padua Franciscan | Padua Franciscan | ||
| Perrysburg | Perrysburg | Perrysburg | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Aurora | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Aurora | |
| Revere | Revere | Revere | ||
| Riverside Painesvill | Riverside Painesvill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Riverside Painesvill | |
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Seven Hills | Seven Hills | Seven Hills | ||
| Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | ||
| Solon | Solon | Solon | ||
| Southeast Ravenna | Southeast Ravenna | Southeast Ravenna | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | ||
| St Edward | St Edward | St Edward | ||
| St Francis De Sales | St Francis De Sales | St Francis De Sales | ||
| St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | ||
| St Ignatius Cle Blu | St Ignatius Cle Blu | St Ignatius Cle Blu | ||
| St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | ||
| St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit | ||
| St Vincent-St Mary | St Vincent-St Mary | St Vincent-St Mary 2- 5 vs 0- 7 | ||
| St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Stow-Munroe Falls | Stow-Munroe Falls | ||
| Strongsville | Strongsville | Strongsville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Summit CDS | Summit CDS | Summit CDS | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Sylvania Northview | Sylvania Northview | ||
| Sylvania Southview | Sylvania Southview | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sylvania Southview | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tipp City | Tipp City | Tipp City | ||
| Toledo United | Toledo United | Toledo United | ||
| Turpin | Turpin | Turpin | ||
| University School Cl | University School Cl | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | University School Cl | |
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Wadsworth | Wadsworth | Wadsworth 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Waynesville | Waynesville | Waynesville | ||
| West Geauga | West Geauga | West Geauga | ||
| Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | ||
| Westerville Central | Westerville Central | Westerville Central | ||
| Westerville North | Westerville North | Westerville North | ||
| Westerville South | Westerville South | Westerville South | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Westlake | |
| Willoughby South | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Wilmington | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Winton Woods | Winton Woods | Winton Woods | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Xenia | Xenia | Xenia |
PowerWise = 10
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Stow-Munroe Fa ( 4-12, 77.3) 4-12 -22.61 9.58 0.45 1.12 -24.89
0 H Padua Francisc ( 6-12, 80.0) 1-12 -19.89 12.30 -0.45 1.12 -22.84
0 A Willoughby Sou ( 4-11, 72.3) 10- 2 -27.60 4.59 0.45 1.12 5.65
0 A Revere ( 5- 9, 83.6) 2-16 -16.30 15.88 0.45 1.12 -17.81
0 H West Geauga ( 4-10, 74.7) 7- 9 -25.17 7.02 -0.45 1.12 -28.76
0 H Brecksville-Br ( 9- 7, 83.8) 1-18 -16.14 16.04 -0.45 1.12 -18.63
0 A Copley (10- 6, 87.0) 1-21 -12.90 19.28 0.45 1.12 -13.99
0 H Solon ( 6-11, 80.5) 1-15 -19.37 12.81 -0.45 1.12 -22.26
0 H Kent Roosevelt ( 9-10, 81.4) 1-17 -18.54 13.65 -0.45 1.12 -21.32
0 H Holy Name (16- 2, 83.4) 3-19 -16.50 15.69 -0.45 1.12 -19.03
0 A Southeast Rave ( 7- 9, 76.4) 10-14 -23.48 8.71 0.45 1.12 -25.87
0 H Highland (13- 3, 88.9) 2-16 -11.00 21.19 -0.45 1.12 -12.85
0 A Orange (10- 3, 82.0) 1-12 -17.94 14.25 0.45 1.12 -19.65
0 A Notre Dame-Cat ( 9-10, 76.6) 4- 7 -23.26 8.93 0.45 1.12 -25.62
------
-267.87
|
winning pts = 5.6542 losing points = -273.5228
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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