Hickory LC
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 79.5113Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 H Grassfield LC ( 4- 5, 81.0) 3- 8 319 H Menchville LC ( 2- 6, 75.1) 9- 4 326 H Tabb LC ( 6- 3, 84.1) 0- 8 424 A Grafton LC ( 2- 7, 77.6) 11- 9 430 A Maury LC ( 8- 4, 83.0) 4-12 501 A Jamestown LC (10- 0, 87.8) 3-13 505 A York LC ( 0- 8, 73.4) 8- 4 507 H Grafton LC ( 2- 7, 77.6) 12- 4 512 A Grassfield LC ( 4- 5, 81.0) 10- 8 515 A Jamestown LC (10- 0, 87.8) 6-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 H Grassfield LC 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.12
319 H Menchville LC 9- 4 5 5 0.00
326 H Tabb LC 0- 8 -8 -4 -1.05
424 A Grafton LC 11- 9 2 1 0.70
430 A Maury LC 4-12 -8 -4 -0.89
501 A Jamestown LC 3-13 -10 -9 0.00
505 A York LC 8- 4 4 5 -1.00
507 H Grafton LC 12- 4 8 3 + 2.48
512 A Grassfield LC 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.10
515 A Jamestown LC 6-12 -6 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Grassfield LC 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Grassfield LC 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.10 507 H Grafton LC 12- 4 8 3 + 2.48 |
Hickory LC Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Clover Hill | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Forest Park | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Grassfield LC | |
| Green Run | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hidden Valley | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Kettle Run | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Matoaca | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Menchville LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Norfolk Collegiate | |
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Osbourn Park | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Park View | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Powhatan | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Princess Anne | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Tandem Friends | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Thomas Dale | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Unity Reed | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Veritas School | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Virginia Academy | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 52
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Grassfield LC ( 4- 5, 81.0) 3- 8 -18.90 16.10 -0.61 1.39 -27.20
0 H Menchville LC ( 2- 6, 75.1) 9- 4 -24.83 10.18 -0.61 1.39 13.34
0 H Tabb LC ( 6- 3, 84.1) 0- 8 -15.83 19.17 -0.61 1.39 -22.92
0 A Grafton LC ( 2- 7, 77.6) 11- 9 -22.30 12.71 0.61 1.39 18.56
0 A Maury LC ( 8- 4, 83.0) 4-12 -16.88 18.12 0.61 1.39 -22.69
0 A Jamestown LC (10- 0, 87.8) 3-13 -12.09 22.91 0.61 1.39 -16.01
0 A York LC ( 0- 8, 73.4) 8- 4 -26.46 8.54 0.61 1.39 12.76
0 H Grafton LC ( 2- 7, 77.6) 12- 4 -22.30 12.71 -0.61 1.39 16.87
0 A Grassfield LC ( 4- 5, 81.0) 10- 8 -18.90 16.10 0.61 1.39 23.30
0 A Jamestown LC (10- 0, 87.8) 6-12 -12.09 22.91 0.61 1.39 -16.01
------
-20.00
|
winning pts = 84.8345 losing points = -104.8307
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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